Major-Lizard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

3,234

Trades

20,381

lifetime

Volume

$141.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 267 days

Categories

Sports

57% 84% +$2,135

Other

43% 70% +$4,605

Politics

0% 50% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes		-15	-$1	8¢	$-1	+$0	10-20 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	628	$5.3K	12,442	11,841	+600	No	-$20	05-27 03:13
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	448	$2.1K	7,750	7,796	-46	No	+$65	05-03 22:05
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	125	$1.6K	1,783	1,329	+455	Yes	+$351	05-27 08:20
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	150	$1.4K	3,320	2,380	+940	No	-$362	06-11 06:28
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	126	$1.3K	2,333	1,833	+500	No	-$69	05-28 01:12
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	111	$1.3K	2,350	1,450	+900	Yes	+$571	06-10 21:07
ahl cal san 2026 01 31	49	$887	413	540	-126	San Jose Barracuda	+$65	02-02 10:21
khl sha hcs 2026 01 12	73	$834	564	549	+15	HC Sochi	+$47	04-24 21:57
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	261	$819	5,596	5,424	+171	No	+$15	04-27 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	76	$747	417	417	+0	Yes	+$68	05-13 16:39
nhl pit cal 2026 01 21	61	$677	634	766	-131	Penguins	+$58	01-21 02:24
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?	113	$661	1,938	1,749	+190	No	+$44	05-19 01:52
will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	86	$533	194	469	-275	Yes	-$32	02-24 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	34	$508	229	285	-56	No	+$5	04-28 09:04
khl met sib 2026 03 24	15	$482	641	0	+641	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$160	03-24 16:09
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk	34	$478	563	88	+475	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	+$29	05-06 21:36
nhl bos dal 2026 01 20	28	$473	301	491	-190	Stars	-$64	01-19 17:33
nhl buf car 2026 01 19	53	$468	472	270	+201	Hurricanes	+$84	01-19 03:35
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	32	$463	596	227	+368	No	+$168	03-06 03:30
khl sal hcd 2026 03 13	22	$456	710	10	+700	HC Dynamo Moscow	+$264	03-13 16:55
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	45	$456	227	248	-21	Oilers	+$1	04-09 04:00
khl hcs amu 2026 03 15	13	$453	268	268	+0	Amur Khabarovsk	+$7	03-15 13:50
will galatasaray reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	22	$447	350	300	+50	No	+$20	03-18 13:55
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	27	$441	440	450	-10	Senators	+$4	04-06 22:06
nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	19	$439	377	350	+28	Canadiens	-$12	03-30 22:16
khl met sib 2026 03 26	50	$434	686	39	+647	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$50	03-26 15:47
will club brugge advance to the round of 16	46	$433	228	327	-100	No	+$9	02-24 07:25
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	96	$420	2,935	2,122	+813	No	-$69	05-28 03:02
khl ava nef 2026 03 24	19	$404	519	0	+519	Avangard Omsk	+$114	03-24 15:41
mwoh fin ita 2026 02 14	19	$402	174	249	-75	Finland	+$4	02-13 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:39:51	Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x778990…
10-27 10:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x173d36…
10-27 10:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fdee8…
10-27 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x537de0…
10-27 09:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x39ca5c…
10-27 09:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5473e8…
10-27 09:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31cb27…
10-27 09:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3de5f8…
10-27 09:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x95c5a7…
10-27 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5171b0…
10-27 09:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fbf1c…
10-27 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x70d49d…
10-27 08:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3b2224…
10-27 08:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc57647…
10-27 08:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca2204…
10-27 04:06:11	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc87023…
10-27 00:59:18	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7daf29…
10-27 00:23:54	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x427120…
10-27 00:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdae708…
10-26 23:35:47	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x955abe…
10-26 23:33:42	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe7a3ee…
10-26 23:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x890a2a…
10-26 22:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0416c0…
10-26 22:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1a85f…
10-26 22:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ed873…
10-26 22:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa56c71…
10-26 22:32:48	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xe0e64e…
10-26 22:32:47	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x0689e9…
10-26 20:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x715184…
10-26 20:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x55cd1b…
10-26 19:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6e1c25…
10-26 19:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x80b4cc…
10-26 19:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x383e7d…
10-26 19:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd98b2a…
10-26 18:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x990d70…
10-26 18:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3833d1…
10-26 17:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbd360e…
10-26 17:03:15	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd2e2b5…
10-26 14:13:39	KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9033f0…
10-26 14:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbfa0d2…
10-26 13:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe77e61…
10-26 13:02:21	KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8df7ba…
10-26 13:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5e9f1…
10-26 12:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d00e3…
10-26 12:44:51	KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x307c13…
10-26 12:34:03	KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaa678…
10-26 12:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9faa79…
10-26 12:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x871eaf…
10-26 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c33ad…
10-26 11:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8dec3f…
10-26 11:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd71820…
10-26 11:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x29125e…
10-26 10:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x850769…
10-26 10:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43d9ac…
10-26 10:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3dfac0…
10-26 09:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb478cd…
10-26 08:50:11	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x9f347d…
10-26 08:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75556b…
10-26 08:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x076503…
10-26 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b356e…
10-26 04:27:42	Wild vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd82b78…
10-26 02:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x919e30…
10-26 02:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x323b3e…
10-26 01:32:44	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcfbbf9…
10-25 23:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa6f481…
10-25 23:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb9c2f5…
10-25 22:43:27	Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5bfd1d…
10-25 22:11:23	Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9987c1…
10-25 20:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa83a63…
10-25 19:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95ef19…
10-25 19:19:57	Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x60d67a…
10-25 19:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b0897…
10-25 18:57:23	Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe74008…
10-25 18:38:24	Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x32e660…
10-25 18:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24a906…
10-25 18:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x620f54…
10-25 18:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc36b70…
10-25 17:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x776400…
10-25 17:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc1ba4a…
10-25 17:28:00	Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x57e13e…
10-25 17:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf96e79…
10-25 17:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x069e97…
10-25 16:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x77c604…
10-25 16:35:47	KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2fd369…
10-25 16:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x89f4b4…
10-25 16:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x661e9b…
10-25 16:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6580a1…
10-25 16:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2dee8f…
10-25 15:57:18	Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7c0da2…
10-25 15:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x248953…
10-25 15:38:26	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x933d9f…
10-25 15:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2ca6c8…
10-25 14:38:53	Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf39cf3…
10-25 14:36:33	Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x84d7c6…
10-25 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72b74c…
10-25 13:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x01147c…
10-25 13:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x422295…
10-25 13:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x83bd6f…
10-25 13:23:47	Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5205dd…
10-25 12:59:08	Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6a95df…