Little-Agent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

845

Trades

1,110

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$113

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-29 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

63% 32% +$890

Crypto

30% 92% -$19

Other

4% 39% +$127

Sports

2% 40% +$61

Tech

1% 67% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 508 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+139	$45	25¢	$34	-$11	10-29 14:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+34	$30	96¢	$33	+$3	10-25 08:19
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-24	-$23	96¢	$-23	$0	10-25 07:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+41	$15	32¢	$13	-$2	10-25 11:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	10-26 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,442	03-02 00:06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	3	$830	500	500	+0	No	+$90	06-07 18:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$608	600	600	+0	Yes	+$589	03-02 00:06
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	5	$607	720	0	+720	Yes	+$113	03-03 19:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$472	1,350	278	+1,072	No	-$321	03-19 20:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$368	300	300	+0	Yes	+$230	03-02 00:06
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$354	200	200	+0	Yes	+$46	03-09 19:58
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	2	$258	510	0	+510	No	-$258	03-05 10:09
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	1	$243	300	0	+300	Yes	+$57	03-02 00:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$240	400	0	+400	Yes	-$240	04-08 16:59
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	15	$227	7,294	7,294	+0	No	+$97	02-20 18:33
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	16	$213	4,317	4,317	+0	No	+$133	02-19 21:38
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	1	$186	300	0	+300	Yes	-$186	03-29 10:15
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	5	$138	200	0	+200	No	+$62	03-29 10:20
nba mil chi 2026 03 01	4	$135	100	100	+0	Bulls	+$65	03-02 00:07
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	3	$106	5,718	5,718	+0	No	+$26	02-24 17:40
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	8	$106	1,692	0	+1,692	No	-$106	03-02 00:08
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$105	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$105	03-02 00:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$100	128	0	+128	Yes	-$100	06-07 18:37
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	5	$85	100	0	+100	No	-$85	03-20 02:33
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$84	600	0	+600	No	-$84	03-02 00:18
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	1	$83	100	0	+100	Yes	+$17	03-29 10:16
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	10	$82	5,230	2,615	+2,615	No	+$12	02-24 18:31
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$75	500	0	+500	No	-$75	03-09 20:01
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$72	600	0	+600	No	-$72	03-19 20:52
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$70	102	0	+102	Yes	+$32	02-14 17:13
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	4	$63	350	0	+350	No	-$63	03-29 15:33
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	3	$60	2,929	2,929	+0	No	-$2	02-26 20:48
iran closes its airspace by june 15	1	$60	125	0	+125	Yes	+$65	06-07 18:35
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	1	$60	97	0	+97	Yes	-$60	07-23 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:53:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x1f45b4…
10-29 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xfeeb06…
10-29 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x6375e0…
10-29 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0x6d46f6…
10-29 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x26efd8…
10-29 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x2c964b…
10-29 14:28:02	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x2f4797…
10-29 14:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xac2cea…
10-29 14:13:08	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xa24628…
10-29 14:13:04	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xad804c…
10-29 13:28:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xca2806…
10-29 13:28:05	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5a675f…
10-29 13:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x89df4b…
10-29 13:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xadfd49…
10-29 12:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xd6bd93…
10-29 12:43:32	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x041759…
10-29 11:28:11	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf59317…
10-29 11:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0584e6…
10-29 11:13:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x793c53…
10-29 08:58:04	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb05d5a…
10-29 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x90a050…
10-29 08:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd36bd4…
10-29 08:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9235a0…
10-29 04:28:20	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xddd56f…
10-29 04:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1c1cd5…
10-29 03:43:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x47ec80…
10-29 03:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x293dc4…
10-29 03:28:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe32144…
10-29 03:13:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8b185…
10-29 03:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x791bf2…
10-29 02:13:14	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcb7446…
10-29 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a8694…
10-29 01:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2ebb7a…
10-29 01:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x266eea…
10-29 00:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4a3fe5…
10-29 00:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6104de…
10-29 00:28:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x679611…
10-28 23:13:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8d9ea3…
10-28 23:13:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f3410…
10-28 21:43:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa9720b…
10-28 21:28:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8440c0…
10-28 21:13:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xca87c4…
10-28 21:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb6b991…
10-28 21:13:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x16a0b7…
10-28 20:13:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe48a26…
10-28 20:13:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e3c94…
10-28 19:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd0d3e9…
10-28 19:28:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6110f8…
10-28 19:13:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x56464c…
10-28 18:13:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x229a6f…
10-28 18:13:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x718267…
10-28 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb77ca8…
10-28 17:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x15903f…
10-28 17:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8dd8c4…
10-28 17:18:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x59b405…
10-28 17:13:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd7eb90…
10-28 17:08:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x694f73…
10-28 17:08:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x489408…
10-28 17:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xceb621…
10-28 16:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xecff5e…
10-28 16:58:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0ce16f…
10-28 16:58:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x33aad4…
10-28 16:53:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf588e0…
10-28 16:48:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x75d1b1…
10-28 16:48:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7318ce…
10-28 16:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x233134…
10-28 16:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x772bf8…
10-28 16:28:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4f4e9…
10-28 16:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xebfec1…
10-28 16:18:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdd8c4b…
10-28 16:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x413d7e…
10-28 15:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcee44c…
10-28 15:58:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x11fb87…
10-28 15:43:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xeac48d…
10-28 15:38:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd1b5c4…
10-28 15:38:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7faca8…
10-28 15:38:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x401d13…
10-28 15:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f46eb…
10-28 15:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x796cae…
10-28 15:23:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x79f1aa…
10-28 15:23:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb69677…
10-28 15:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0aa3f7…
10-28 15:18:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d3fb5…
10-28 14:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x76c870…
10-28 14:48:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc0a4a…
10-28 14:38:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xad6dec…
10-28 14:38:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x389174…
10-28 14:33:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3df34e…
10-28 14:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8e4095…
10-28 14:13:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa564b2…
10-28 14:08:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x63d83a…
10-28 14:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfde005…
10-28 14:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3e96b…
10-28 14:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf631ae…
10-28 13:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe7e124…
10-28 13:43:40	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4b17f…
10-28 13:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe05c5…
10-28 13:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7361a9…
10-28 13:38:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1c700d…
10-28 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xba4f3a…