Flashy-Month — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,503

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-04 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$8

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-13

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771698600	2	$387	302	298	+3	open	—	02-21 18:35
btc updown 5m 1771701900	2	$334	239	236	+4	open	—	02-21 19:30
btc updown 15m 1769576400	6	$292	213	211	+3	open	—	01-28 05:08
btc updown 15m 1771560000	4	$249	326	322	+4	open	—	02-20 04:05
bitcoin up or down february 19 11pm et	11	$233	616	418	+199	open	—	02-20 04:46
btc updown 5m 1772607300	4	$198	171	169	+3	open	—	03-04 07:00
btc updown 5m 1771701300	1	$188	252	0	+252	open	—	02-21 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	11	$187	377	215	+162	open	—	05-14 22:29
btc updown 5m 1771697700	2	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	02-21 18:20
bitcoin up or down february 19 10pm et	4	$164	943	943	+0	open	—	02-20 03:42
btc updown 5m 1772525700	4	$144	121	120	+1	open	—	03-03 08:19
btc updown 5m 1772607000	4	$139	135	134	+1	open	—	03-04 06:54
btc updown 5m 1771527000	2	$137	101	100	+1	open	—	02-19 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$133	126	126	+0	open	—	05-14 22:12
bitcoin up or down february 7 9am et	6	$130	181	106	+75	open	—	02-07 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$125	87	87	+0	open	—	05-14 17:40
btc updown 15m 1769586300	3	$118	113,332	0	+113,332	open	—	01-28 08:01
btc updown 5m 1772423100	2	$114	95	95	+1	open	—	03-02 03:50
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	6	$108	316	316	+0	open	—	02-01 18:49
btc updown 5m 1771563300	5	$107	210	145	+65	open	—	02-20 04:58
btc updown 5m 1772606400	7	$106	76	75	+1	open	—	03-04 06:45
btc updown 5m 1772606100	7	$105	150	101	+49	open	—	03-04 06:39
btc updown 5m 1772526000	3	$105	182	145	+37	open	—	03-03 08:22
bitcoin up or down february 6 9am et	11	$104	228	176	+52	open	—	02-06 14:41
btc updown 5m 1771564500	1	$102	270	0	+270	open	—	02-20 05:18
btc updown 5m 1771841400	3	$102	166	152	+14	open	—	02-23 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$102	122	117	+6	open	—	05-14 22:45
btc updown 5m 1771839600	5	$102	122	107	+15	open	—	02-23 09:44
btc updown 5m 1772468100	4	$99	186	184	+2	open	—	03-02 16:17
btc updown 5m 1771840500	3	$96	224	173	+51	open	—	02-23 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 09:11:10	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc058b1…
06-04 09:10:52	will trump say ceasefire this week	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xcd6a0e…
06-04 09:09:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x29b3b1…
06-04 09:01:13	btc updown 15m 1780563600	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7bf6f8…
06-04 09:00:36	btc updown 15m 1780563600	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8e68cb…
06-04 08:58:42	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x901112…
06-04 08:57:18	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa11a68…
06-03 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xd4e7db…
06-03 17:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x48b903…
06-03 10:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x1e4745…
06-03 10:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa7f29b…
06-03 10:47:12	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x8b3743…
06-03 10:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xb7d386…
06-03 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x685ea1…
06-03 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x0d68a4…
06-03 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdca726…
06-03 10:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x07640c…
06-03 10:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x61c229…
06-03 10:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbdf816…
05-28 12:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	139	5¢	$7	0x5c78bd…
05-28 12:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x7f07ee…
05-28 12:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2a4d74…
05-28 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x604be5…
05-28 12:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x40bd47…
05-28 00:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x397ac3…
05-28 00:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfa9fe3…
05-28 00:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x1f01ae…
05-28 00:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf975e6…
05-27 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0dfa16…
05-27 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x3afaaa…
05-27 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x74e46f…
05-27 17:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x98281a…
05-27 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5ffb1a…
05-23 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1557fd…
05-23 08:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe1c4a0…
05-23 08:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xeb8dd7…
05-23 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf4caf8…
05-16 18:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x1c2028…
05-16 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2c3110…
05-16 17:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x578543…
05-16 17:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0x4b3aae…
05-16 17:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c8e33…
05-16 17:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf50bcc…
05-16 17:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb53172…
05-16 17:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x944011…
05-16 16:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x9b5b77…
05-16 16:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc0995c…
05-15 08:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7207be…
05-15 08:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x860f81…
05-15 08:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x8fc5eb…
05-15 08:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xbc6ee8…
05-15 08:18:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x1570ac…
05-15 07:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xae2da3…
05-15 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8099ba…
05-15 07:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6deca5…
05-14 23:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	59	26¢	$15	0x5c53a0…
05-14 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0291e7…
05-14 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7cce2c…
05-14 23:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x17edcc…
05-14 23:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	61	21¢	$13	0x0e14de…
05-14 23:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6db8ed…
05-14 23:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x735a5f…
05-14 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a2709…
05-14 22:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8e6e62…
05-14 22:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x565457…
05-14 22:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x29b805…
05-14 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x4816d2…
05-14 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xd84e06…
05-14 22:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x94840a…
05-14 22:50:20	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xce81d4…
05-14 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x245cc3…
05-14 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	59	38¢	$22	0x94bbf8…
05-14 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf4a829…
05-14 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7527ca…
05-14 22:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x9153c1…
05-14 22:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x67fdc1…
05-14 22:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x633548…
05-14 22:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5b4f7b…
05-14 22:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0xa472f1…
05-14 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x1d1934…
05-14 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x0fac73…
05-14 22:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc2eab1…
05-14 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0xf38dab…
05-14 22:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb2b6ea…
05-14 22:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc1816b…
05-14 22:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	192	12¢	$23	0x141405…
05-14 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x32bd53…
05-14 22:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	162	10¢	$16	0x54894c…
05-14 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	81	24¢	$20	0x8f6ede…
05-14 22:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x9f362b…
05-14 22:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xaf5cad…
05-14 22:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x7f9597…
05-14 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0x021e18…
05-14 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x425871…
05-14 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x178924…
05-14 22:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5c215f…
05-14 22:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xefc861…
05-14 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xdaed8f…
05-14 22:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x74654d…
05-14 22:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xf014b1…