Flashy-Month — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,021 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$387

$21.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-09 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 40% -$775

Other

16% 32% -$284

Sports

2% 30% -$15

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+130	$3	2¢	$3	+$0	11-09 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on November 10?	Yes		+5	$1	21¢	$1	+$0	11-09 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:30 UTC	2	$387	302	298	+3	Up	+$207	02-21 18:35
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$378	240	240	+0	Spain	+$78	07-06 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 19:25 UTC	2	$334	239	236	+4	Up	+$137	02-21 19:30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	4	$294	382	155	+227	No	-$126	07-05 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	6	$292	213	211	+3	Down	+$13	01-28 05:08
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$253	167	167	+0	Yes	+$74	07-04 18:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 04:00 UTC	4	$249	326	322	+4	Down	+$52	02-20 04:05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$235	283	283	+0	Yes	-$145	07-07 17:23
bitcoin up or down february 19 11pm et	11	$233	616	418	+199	Down	+$6	02-20 04:46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	3	$224	231	231	+0	Yes	-$16	07-06 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:55 UTC	4	$198	171	169	+3	Up	+$5	03-04 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 19:15 UTC	1	$188	252	0	+252	Up	-$188	02-21 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	11	$187	377	215	+162	Up	-$26	05-14 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:15 UTC	2	$176	93	93	+0	Up	+$8	02-21 18:20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	3	$174	252	0	+252	Yes	+$78	07-04 01:05
bitcoin up or down february 19 10pm et	4	$164	943	943	+0	Up	+$80	02-20 03:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$156	237	237	+0	No	+$26	07-14 11:49
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	5	$144	5,210	109	+5,102	No	-$46	07-01 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:15 UTC	4	$144	121	120	+1	Down	-$25	03-03 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:50 UTC	4	$139	135	134	+1	Down	+$3	03-04 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:50 UTC	2	$137	101	100	+1	Up	+$62	02-19 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$133	126	126	+0	Up	+$33	05-14 22:12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	2	$131	91	91	+0	Yes	+$51	07-01 03:53
bitcoin up or down february 7 9am et	6	$130	181	106	+75	Down	-$17	02-07 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$125	87	87	+0	Up	+$10	05-14 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 08:15 UTC	2	$122	73	73	+0	Up	+$22	06-20 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:45 UTC	3	$118	113,332	0	+113,332	Down	-$118	01-28 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 03:45 UTC	2	$114	95	95	+1	Up	+$75	03-02 03:50
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	6	$108	316	316	+0	Up	+$8	02-01 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 04:55 UTC	5	$107	210	145	+65	Down	+$1	02-20 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 10:16:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0x49b7bb…
11-09 07:42:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 8?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbea217…
11-09 07:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1c5629…
11-08 11:54:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e1ad9…
11-08 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xe46fd6…
10-17 03:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9c57d7…
10-17 03:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf8b011…
10-17 03:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe0a2b2…
10-17 03:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x30e5c0…
10-17 03:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3ff10a…
10-17 03:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x42da06…
10-17 03:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x04d09b…
10-16 05:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbf5ee8…
10-15 05:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xaf03f0…
10-15 05:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x748c1c…
10-14 05:00:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x058031…
10-14 04:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x508481…
10-14 04:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4d908d…
10-14 04:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xffa936…
10-14 04:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x113301…
10-14 04:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x296593…
09-07 18:13:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x570e6c…
09-07 06:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xd9eb64…
09-06 19:28:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x58cbda…
09-05 15:20:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5dae40…
09-05 14:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x343f18…
09-04 18:20:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xed893a…
09-04 18:18:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x31f8f8…
09-02 06:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x14e7eb…
08-31 21:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb2b818…
08-31 21:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6bd315…
08-31 21:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x05f236…
08-30 12:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbb41a3…
08-28 08:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x906e45…
08-28 08:22:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe61eba…
08-27 13:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x505cf7…
08-14 06:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3a02d2…
08-14 06:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc41eb8…
08-12 08:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xc30f5d…
08-12 08:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x025a4d…
08-12 08:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0x2c6099…
08-12 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x02a32c…
08-12 08:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x0007cf…
08-12 08:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9b04d0…
08-12 07:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xaae5c2…
08-12 07:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xdc18a2…
08-12 07:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x75d977…
08-12 07:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0x50408b…
08-12 07:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x58c872…
08-12 07:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xd45b80…
08-12 07:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x74eba5…
08-12 07:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xbabe00…
08-12 07:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd4b560…
08-12 07:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xda461f…
08-12 07:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x40c4ad…
08-12 07:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x865fa6…
08-12 07:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd68f1f…
08-12 07:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x200f35…
08-12 07:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x21e7b9…
08-12 06:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xef32b0…
08-12 06:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf684b2…
08-12 06:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0x5e9f0c…
08-12 06:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x97a48c…
08-12 06:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x3d1e03…
08-12 06:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc57de7…
08-12 06:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x42c8d8…
08-12 06:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x745222…
08-12 06:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb0b69e…
08-12 06:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xbc069f…
08-12 06:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa94e1d…
08-12 06:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x099076…
08-12 03:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xba5131…
08-12 03:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4b32ed…
08-06 16:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x4d540b…
08-06 16:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcc43d9…
08-05 04:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x583c3c…
08-05 04:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe36d25…
08-05 04:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdaaaee…
08-05 04:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xab8420…
08-05 04:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa93ea1…
08-05 04:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ad8c3…
08-05 04:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfab894…
07-21 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x60b56b…
07-20 08:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd1e99c…
07-20 08:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x22808d…
07-20 08:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x64543f…
07-20 08:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x219b22…
07-20 08:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2ab4e1…
07-20 08:43:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xabb7ea…
07-20 08:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xde805c…
07-20 08:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x024bec…
07-20 08:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa2126d…
07-20 08:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb5b41d…
07-19 18:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x4473bf…
07-19 16:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6a0317…
07-19 16:46:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x5cdf70…
07-19 16:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xef5277…
07-19 16:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x638083…
07-19 15:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf86bcb…
07-19 15:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x056f8a…