Fuzzy-Kimono — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

174

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$6.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-24 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

58% 59% -$183

Other

37% 67% -$124

Sports

3% 17% +$44

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Crypto

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+0	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-11 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	46	$1.7K	963	960	+3	No	+$2	01-23 09:51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	17	$647	549	549	+0	Yes	-$2	01-04 21:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$317	165	165	+0	Yes	+$3	02-15 13:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$315	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	02-04 14:26
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	5	$250	183	101	+82	Argentina	-$4	07-12 03:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$232	149	140	+9	Yes	-$8	02-24 19:24
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	2	$186	150	117	+33	Down	+$81	02-17 15:12
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$152	110	110	+0	Yes	-$18	07-19 22:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$145	243	243	+0	No	+$50	07-18 21:45
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$129	133	10	+123	Yes	-$112	02-24 19:26
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$123	376	376	+0	open	—	10-13 12:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	6	$120	357	357	+0	open	—	09-15 13:51
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$112	77	77	+0	England	-$30	07-18 22:31
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	3	$109	186	50	+136	Under	-$106	02-17 21:55
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$80	89	0	+89	Spain	+$8	07-10 19:33
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	4	$69	130	130	+0	open	—	10-14 19:50
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	2	$63	81	0	+81	France	+$18	07-09 21:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$57	32	32	+0	No	+$1	01-31 14:24
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	01-07 15:55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	4	$57	53	53	+0	Yes	-$12	10-24 13:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$56	228	228	+0	Yes	+$0	09-28 09:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$52	190	10	+180	Yes	-$47	07-29 16:35
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$49	43	43	+0	Yes	-$25	07-18 21:43
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$46	116	116	-0	open	—	09-22 18:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$43	842	525	+317	No	-$11	05-17 00:12
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$42	26	26	+0	No	$0	02-16 19:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-18 09:41
Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	2	$40	56	0	+56	Yes	+$16	10-16 16:27
will elon musk attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	2	$39	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 01:23
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	1	$37	45	0	+45	No	-$37	10-20 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:10:21	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xba5e07…
10-24 13:07:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x38c9d0…
10-24 12:51:21	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7d16de…
10-24 12:50:48	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb06691…
10-24 12:44:21	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7c2c28…
10-24 12:43:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf3248b…
10-24 11:46:05	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4511ae…
10-24 11:44:51	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x8eb812…
10-22 20:54:00	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x2bfa16…
10-22 20:53:47	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe2d9af…
10-22 20:37:23	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe1dd34…
10-22 20:36:26	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b4545…
10-22 20:27:36	Jagiellonia Białystok vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x437f4a…
10-22 20:22:48	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6ad70a…
10-22 20:21:24	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xef6671…
10-22 20:20:59	FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfbc771…
10-22 20:20:39	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x30e115…
10-22 20:19:47	FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcfb9a6…
10-22 20:17:53	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7ee62…
10-22 20:16:15	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa238b0…
10-22 20:15:06	FC Midtjylland vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x155350…
10-22 20:14:00	SC Braga vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbc57e0…
10-22 20:07:11	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x850ada…
10-22 20:06:32	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd817ce…
10-22 20:04:18	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x58aaf9…
10-22 19:59:48	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x3d4ce6…
10-22 19:56:33	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2cf2ae…
10-22 19:55:50	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x27fe9f…
10-22 19:52:15	FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x810c74…
10-22 19:29:26	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x85a6b5…
10-22 19:28:35	Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xe37d29…
10-22 19:11:24	Will NK Celje win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xc6ce77…
10-22 19:08:08	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x824b9b…
10-22 19:07:11	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x3fb0a4…
10-22 17:35:53	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x014453…
10-22 17:35:11	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x4caefa…
10-22 17:34:54	Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xde7985…
10-22 17:33:59	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Juventus FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xe38c1b…
10-22 17:23:56	Will OFI win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x754c5f…
10-22 17:19:11	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x300cef…
10-22 17:18:12	Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1b08b5…
10-22 17:17:11	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x3aac18…
10-22 17:14:09	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x49d43f…
10-22 17:13:21	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6deedd…
10-22 12:23:26	Will OFI win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa09de…
10-22 12:22:23	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf7eafb…
10-22 12:21:20	Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe95178…
10-22 12:20:38	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xcc7053…
10-22 12:19:36	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2f02a1…
10-22 12:18:50	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc259c7…
10-22 12:18:11	Will NK Celje win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x824131…
10-22 12:17:38	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbe7893…
10-22 12:17:08	Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf949e7…
10-22 12:16:26	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3930e0…
10-22 12:14:12	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc81b8a…
10-22 12:13:45	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdadf45…
10-22 12:13:02	Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3b7812…
10-22 12:12:20	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd8090f…
10-22 12:11:27	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xe384ca…
10-22 12:10:38	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb62445…
10-21 20:27:44	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: Sporting CP O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xa1074c…
10-21 20:26:41	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xa6acdd…
10-21 20:25:54	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: Sporting CP O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x78173b…
10-21 20:24:54	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf0ba96…
10-21 20:24:29	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd1eecd…
10-21 19:46:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x146411…
10-21 19:44:50	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x6011da…
10-21 19:44:38	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xfb7446…
10-21 19:44:26	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x254ec4…
10-21 18:31:45	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x6717a2…
10-21 17:29:44	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x130cb7…
10-21 17:28:44	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xe2cbf2…
10-21 10:59:24	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe1ab3a…
10-21 10:58:02	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xe73c44…
10-21 10:55:56	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xe10798…
10-21 10:55:12	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd14cff…
10-21 10:53:39	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x6d9c90…
10-21 10:52:51	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x41e8c9…
10-21 10:52:15	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x442ff8…
10-20 21:29:06	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0xa857ba…
10-20 19:09:14	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x68919a…
10-19 17:23:57	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x16a478…
10-19 16:59:14	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xe2419c…
10-19 14:49:35	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8264bd…
10-18 19:50:02	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x89b144…
10-17 16:21:33	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x977ff7…
10-17 16:20:45	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x0b46ef…
10-16 16:27:09	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x4442f0…
10-16 16:17:21	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1185da…
10-15 20:41:24	Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x590743…
10-15 20:16:52	Will OFI win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x03ac71…
10-15 20:15:55	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x702c9e…
10-15 20:07:10	Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac3271…
10-15 19:32:41	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcc42f5…
10-15 19:30:29	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2b7891…
10-15 08:48:38	uel din and 2026 10 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x0685ce…
10-15 08:46:56	uel cel1 juv 2026 10 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5e12f3…
10-15 08:45:44	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5ef704…
10-15 08:45:05	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xde1e66…
10-15 08:44:40	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9d7bb1…