Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
129
Trades
431
lifetime
Volume
$2.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$12
10 positions
First seen
2026-08-12
last 11-07 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
48% 0% $0
Crypto
45% 91% -$2
Other
7% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 91¢ $4 +$0 11-03 11:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 11-03 09:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2 $3 73¢ $2 -$1 11-04 16:52
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2 $0 27¢ $1 +$0 11-03 09:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-04 16:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5 $1 9¢ $0 $0 11-04 16:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 63¢ $0 +$0 11-02 19:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 +$0 11-02 20:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 10-28 01:43
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 11-03 00:15