Musty-Instructor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,858

lifetime

Volume

$192.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$142

Other

25% 0% $-46

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	37	$8.6K	14,254	14,260	-7	open	—	03-15 21:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	114	$6.3K	62,912	62,910	+2	open	—	04-07 22:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	14	$5.5K	4,645	4,645	-0	open	—	04-22 01:26
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	27	$5.5K	2,788	2,788	-0	open	—	02-20 00:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$4.9K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	04-03 15:24
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	8	$4.3K	2,220	2,220	+0	open	—	02-28 07:26
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	26	$3.9K	4,943	4,943	+0	open	—	04-19 19:34
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 160 179	13	$3.8K	1,946	1,946	+0	open	—	03-05 17:05
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 80 99	11	$3.7K	1,884	1,884	+0	open	—	02-18 06:43
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	9	$3.6K	2,112	2,112	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	20	$3.4K	5,217	5,217	+0	open	—	03-24 00:16
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	26	$3.2K	2,308	2,308	+0	open	—	04-29 17:22
will don lemon be criminally charged	18	$2.8K	2,451	2,731	-280	open	—	01-30 13:17
will starmer say green during the next prime ministers questions	2	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	open	—	02-25 12:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-01 18:36
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,294	1,294	+0	open	—	02-28 07:20
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	9	$2.4K	1,607	1,026	+582	open	—	03-03 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$2.4K	3,710	3,710	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	3	$2.3K	1,461	1,461	+0	open	—	01-21 19:29
will trump say palestine or palestinian during board of peace events on february 19	2	$2.2K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	02-19 15:17
will trump shake hands with javier milei at the world economic forum	5	$2.2K	1,178	1,178	+0	open	—	01-22 10:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	21	$2.1K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	02-28 06:21
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	6	$2.1K	1,338	1,338	+0	open	—	01-21 19:34
will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	25	$2.0K	1,170	1,003	+167	open	—	01-21 14:34
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	20	$1.9K	2,228	2,228	+0	open	—	03-28 19:18
trump announces new drug boat strike by march 14 2026	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-09 00:20
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	7	$1.8K	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	05-02 01:03
will there be five or more announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025	11	$1.8K	1,567	1,567	+0	open	—	01-01 01:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	3	$1.7K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	03-08 21:08
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	10	$1.7K	1,361	1,361	+0	open	—	04-08 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 03:09:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x162e28…
05-29 04:58:29	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	51	83¢	$42	0xd16599…
05-29 04:58:03	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x945fb3…
05-29 04:57:59	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xddb254…
05-29 04:57:59	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x3c41a2…
05-29 04:57:56	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc2f61f…
05-29 04:57:26	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x6c2375…
05-28 22:00:21	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	BUY	104	62¢	$64	0x3fea4b…
05-24 00:16:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9efec1…
05-23 19:20:46	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	86	85¢	$73	0x1bb2d5…
05-23 19:10:21	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	49	86¢	$42	0x4ec165…
05-23 19:08:59	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xb0d6e4…
05-23 19:08:59	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x023511…
05-23 19:04:35	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x7eb9b1…
05-23 19:04:09	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0xf6c389…
05-22 03:37:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d6c18…
05-15 16:55:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x85867d…
05-15 16:26:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x256fbb…
05-14 21:52:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x037ac4…
05-14 20:17:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x002856…
05-12 17:47:05	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x96896d…
05-12 17:45:28	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x947f45…
05-11 01:13:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c9167…
05-09 04:33:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa362aa…
05-07 17:34:17	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	147	96¢	$141	0x248882…
05-07 17:33:48	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xce3ddd…
05-07 17:32:20	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	182	93¢	$169	0xea1183…
05-07 12:54:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3e4801…
05-07 07:50:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x821e4b…
05-06 23:31:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	876	18¢	$155	0xc6e744…
05-06 23:29:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,996	13¢	$260	0x4d3bef…
05-06 23:28:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	148	75¢	$111	0x2d87ad…
05-06 23:26:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	688	29¢	$199	0x157bd4…
05-06 23:24:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb096a9…
05-06 23:23:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	960	13¢	$121	0x5e99c6…
05-06 23:22:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	20¢	$29	0x57c4e7…
05-06 23:22:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,036	8¢	$85	0xa2c049…
05-06 22:04:42	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$19	0x500154…
05-06 22:04:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0xb0b922…
05-05 23:31:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x388155…
05-05 23:00:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	973	20¢	$195	0x226290…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x7ece6c…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	20¢	$24	0x491628…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x2da4b9…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0x0c91f3…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,749	20¢	$550	0x29c775…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x190b82…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x137ef7…
05-05 22:58:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x6ebaa3…
05-05 22:56:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,942	36¢	$699	0xdab732…
05-05 22:53:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	28¢	$560	0x32ea57…
05-05 22:53:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	11¢	$440	0xc9a999…
05-04 19:13:14	Will Trump post "Senior" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa57efe…
05-04 18:56:16	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x4eb915…
05-04 18:47:54	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xf214b7…
05-04 18:46:48	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8617a5…
05-04 18:44:24	Will Trump post "Senior" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x736f1c…
05-04 15:08:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	135	29¢	$39	0x85e3ce…
05-04 15:05:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x336109…
05-04 15:05:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	140	29¢	$41	0x15401a…
05-04 15:04:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	690	29¢	$200	0x962ee9…
05-04 15:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x92a063…
05-04 14:46:44	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0xc1d22a…
05-04 14:45:12	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xaf4df0…
05-04 14:44:12	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x8389ad…
05-04 14:39:12	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf25ffd…
05-04 14:39:10	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2770b3…
05-04 14:39:08	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x7bb2c2…
05-04 14:18:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	95	22¢	$21	0x7acb21…
05-04 14:18:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0x390ef9…
05-04 14:17:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0x0b78ad…
05-04 13:51:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x62fecc…
05-04 12:08:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xa37518…
05-04 12:08:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	91	22¢	$20	0x5effe7…
05-04 12:08:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x500039…
05-04 12:08:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x67d9af…
05-04 11:51:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	651	25¢	$163	0x29427f…
05-04 11:50:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2ef77a…
05-04 11:49:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x63a4a4…
05-04 11:49:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xe0dac3…
05-04 11:39:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xbae559…
05-03 19:51:14	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	940	1¢	$8	0x896a2d…
05-03 19:50:10	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x293486…
05-03 18:52:06	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	707	1¢	$7	0x9c0e5b…
05-03 18:51:56	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	1¢	$3	0x5e4ec2…
05-03 18:38:00	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	492	0¢	$1	0x678619…
05-03 18:37:58	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$2	0x2270ab…
05-03 18:33:08	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xdf773b…
05-03 18:28:52	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xb11b4c…
05-03 18:28:28	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,159	0¢	$9	0xe3c9b7…
05-02 01:03:08	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	72¢	$73	0x4544d1…
05-02 00:59:50	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	399	92¢	$367	0x11d0e9…
05-02 00:59:28	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x9f7bda…
05-01 20:19:26	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	389	78¢	$303	0xb49107…
05-01 20:19:12	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	92	78¢	$72	0x64cfb6…
05-01 20:18:00	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	192	79¢	$152	0x2c2809…
05-01 20:15:56	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	673	73¢	$494	0xece6ad…
05-01 18:37:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	1,021	55¢	$561	0xff0dd1…
05-01 18:36:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	2,000	70¢	$1,400	0x46398f…
05-01 18:33:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xd36416…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	261	$147.3K	14,393	06-01 13:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	244	$622.2K	47,805	05-04 13:09
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	219	$32.8M	48,432	06-01 04:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	209	$31.3K	5,530	05-29 18:03
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	198	$1.37M	24,032	05-29 18:03
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	193	$214.7K	20,879	04-02 14:12
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	180	$14.8K	1,912	03-27 20:49
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	175	$67.6K	14,533	05-07 13:12