Musty-Instructor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

354

Trades

1,920

lifetime

Volume

$195.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Politics

74% 76% +$14,110

Other

26% 78% +$6,857

Sports

0% 100% +$39

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$107

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Crypto

0% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	37	$8.6K	14,254	14,260	-7	No	-$26	03-15 21:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	114	$6.3K	62,912	62,910	+2	Yes	+$1,415	04-07 22:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	14	$5.5K	4,645	4,645	-0	Yes	+$180	04-22 01:26
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	27	$5.5K	2,788	2,788	-0	No	+$50	02-20 00:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$4.9K	3,800	3,800	+0	Yes	+$60	04-03 15:24
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	8	$4.3K	2,220	2,220	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 07:26
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	26	$3.9K	4,943	4,943	+0	Yes	+$298	04-19 19:34
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 160 179	13	$3.8K	1,946	1,946	+0	No	+$71	03-05 17:05
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 80 99	11	$3.7K	1,884	1,884	+0	No	+$33	02-18 06:43
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	9	$3.6K	2,112	2,112	+0	Yes	+$168	02-28 06:58
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	20	$3.4K	5,217	5,217	+0	No	+$226	03-24 00:16
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	26	$3.2K	2,308	2,308	+0	Yes	+$1,160	04-29 17:22
will don lemon be criminally charged	18	$2.8K	2,451	2,731	-280	Yes	+$1,701	01-30 13:17
will starmer say green during the next prime ministers questions	2	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	Yes	+$44	02-25 12:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$200	05-01 18:36
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,294	1,294	+0	Yes	+$10	02-28 07:20
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	9	$2.4K	1,607	1,026	+582	No	+$235	03-03 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$2.4K	3,710	3,710	+0	Yes	+$151	04-07 22:34
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	3	$2.3K	1,461	1,461	+0	No	+$459	01-21 19:29
will trump say palestine or palestinian during board of peace events on february 19	2	$2.2K	1,143	1,143	+0	Yes	+$24	02-19 15:17
will trump shake hands with javier milei at the world economic forum	5	$2.2K	1,178	1,178	+0	Yes	+$145	01-22 10:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	21	$2.1K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$215	02-28 06:21
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	6	$2.1K	1,338	1,338	+0	No	+$302	01-21 19:34
will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	25	$2.0K	1,170	1,003	+167	Yes	+$97	01-21 14:34
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	20	$1.9K	2,228	2,228	+0	No	+$281	03-28 19:18
trump announces new drug boat strike by march 14 2026	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$80	03-09 00:20
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	7	$1.8K	1,173	1,173	+0	Yes	+$108	05-02 01:03
will there be five or more announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025	11	$1.8K	1,567	1,567	+0	Yes	+$1,259	01-01 01:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	3	$1.7K	1,016	1,016	+0	Yes	+$175	03-08 21:08
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	10	$1.7K	1,361	1,361	+0	No	+$380	04-08 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:03:31	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x43a311…
10-28 18:03:16	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x47e01b…
10-28 18:00:07	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	167	70¢	$117	0xb957ca…
06-22 10:07:46	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,187	1¢	$29	0x884f23…
06-22 09:32:43	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,187	1¢	$35	0x01e4cc…
05-31 19:12:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd0d5bf…
05-30 03:09:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x162e28…
05-29 04:58:29	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	51	83¢	$42	0xd16599…
05-29 04:58:03	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x945fb3…
05-29 04:57:59	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xddb254…
05-29 04:57:59	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x3c41a2…
05-29 04:57:56	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc2f61f…
05-29 04:57:26	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x6c2375…
05-28 22:00:21	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	BUY	104	62¢	$64	0x3fea4b…
05-26 19:10:00	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdececa…
05-26 15:54:24	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68a74c…
05-26 15:48:13	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc906b5…
05-25 11:43:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	145	4¢	$6	0xc26d2f…
05-25 11:42:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x597b77…
05-25 11:42:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x57e8b3…
05-24 00:16:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9efec1…
05-23 19:20:46	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	86	85¢	$73	0x1bb2d5…
05-23 19:10:21	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	49	86¢	$42	0x4ec165…
05-23 19:08:59	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xb0d6e4…
05-23 19:08:59	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x023511…
05-23 19:04:35	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x7eb9b1…
05-23 19:04:09	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0xf6c389…
05-22 13:04:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	54¢	$32	0x829ef8…
05-22 12:59:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xdc33e4…
05-22 12:59:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	54¢	$71	0x0b0b01…
05-22 12:48:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	54¢	$124	0x7b461a…
05-22 03:37:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d6c18…
05-15 16:55:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x85867d…
05-15 16:26:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x256fbb…
05-14 21:52:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x037ac4…
05-14 20:17:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x002856…
05-12 17:47:05	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x96896d…
05-12 17:45:28	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x947f45…
05-12 02:40:26	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xe23ca8…
05-12 02:39:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x64a804…
05-11 01:13:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c9167…
05-10 18:12:44	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	72¢	$121	0xe86536…
05-10 18:12:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdcaabc…
05-10 18:12:34	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xb58623…
05-10 18:12:34	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x02e479…
05-10 18:12:29	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x14ff76…
05-10 18:11:08	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$133	0x1a163f…
05-09 04:33:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa362aa…
05-09 01:13:51	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb744fe…
05-08 21:59:37	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8b0d10…
05-07 17:34:17	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	147	96¢	$141	0x248882…
05-07 17:33:48	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xce3ddd…
05-07 17:32:20	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	182	93¢	$169	0xea1183…
05-07 12:54:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3e4801…
05-07 07:50:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x821e4b…
05-06 23:31:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	876	18¢	$155	0xc6e744…
05-06 23:29:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,996	13¢	$260	0x4d3bef…
05-06 23:28:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	148	75¢	$111	0x2d87ad…
05-06 23:26:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	688	29¢	$199	0x157bd4…
05-06 23:24:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb096a9…
05-06 23:23:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	960	13¢	$121	0x5e99c6…
05-06 23:22:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	20¢	$29	0x57c4e7…
05-06 23:22:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,036	8¢	$85	0xa2c049…
05-06 22:04:42	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$19	0x500154…
05-06 22:04:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0xb0b922…
05-06 01:17:28	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	38¢	$32	0x33b1a9…
05-06 01:14:14	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0x514d7d…
05-06 01:05:30	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x18e6ea…
05-06 01:05:26	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xc7cc3d…
05-06 01:05:22	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4bacef…
05-06 01:04:24	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe175bb…
05-06 01:04:14	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5bb430…
05-06 01:04:10	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x49ca22…
05-06 01:04:04	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x759b7c…
05-06 01:03:50	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x6e3e2c…
05-06 01:02:24	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa013bc…
05-06 01:00:24	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2201d3…
05-05 23:32:46	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	42¢	$23	0x6d7c6e…
05-05 23:31:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x388155…
05-05 23:00:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	973	20¢	$195	0x226290…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x7ece6c…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	20¢	$24	0x491628…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x2da4b9…
05-05 23:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0x0c91f3…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,749	20¢	$550	0x29c775…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x190b82…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x137ef7…
05-05 22:58:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x6ebaa3…
05-05 22:56:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,942	36¢	$699	0xdab732…
05-05 22:53:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	28¢	$560	0x32ea57…
05-05 22:53:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	11¢	$440	0xc9a999…
05-05 19:41:32	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2b8b26…
05-05 19:41:22	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6a136c…
05-05 19:40:46	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x889c10…
05-05 19:39:42	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x579c8c…
05-04 19:13:14	Will Trump post "Senior" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa57efe…
05-04 18:56:16	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x4eb915…
05-04 18:47:54	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xf214b7…
05-04 18:46:48	Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8617a5…
05-04 18:44:24	Will Trump post "Senior" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x736f1c…