Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
146
Trades
491
lifetime
Volume
$7.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
55% 89% -$66
Sports
29% 92% +$126
Politics
8% 33% -$104
Tech
8% 87% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +150 $130 89¢ $133 +$3 10-03 04:07
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +130 $129 100¢ $130 +$1 09-27 00:09
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +130 $113 94¢ $121 +$8 10-03 19:49
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase? No +144 $116 72¢ $104 -$12 09-30 16:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? No +80 $79 100¢ $80 +$0 10-02 09:41
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +72 $70 99¢ $71 +$1 09-27 17:52
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +67 $63 96¢ $64 +$1 10-01 17:30
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +60 $58 99¢ $59 +$1 09-29 16:29
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +67 $59 86¢ $57 -$2 09-23 21:47
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +56 $55 100¢ $56 +$0 09-30 20:14
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +77 $45 56¢ $43 -$2 09-29 11:37
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 $0 10-04 04:35
Will Ferencvaros finish first in UEL league phase? No +34 $34 97¢ $33 -$1 09-30 18:15
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +36 $24 78¢ $29 +$5 09-24 09:10
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +45 $21 64¢ $29 +$8 09-29 11:36
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? No +31 $27 89¢ $28 +$0 09-29 07:40
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? No +30 $25 89¢ $26 +$2 09-27 23:37
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +49 $19 43¢ $21 +$2 10-02 19:19
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +26 $23 75¢ $20 -$3 09-26 19:12
Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 09-24 09:02
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +19 $19 68¢ $13 -$6 10-02 18:59
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +27 $18 46¢ $13 -$5 10-03 05:45
Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 09-21 04:28
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $8 56¢ $10 +$2 09-30 16:55
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? No +16 $6 60¢ $10 +$4 09-21 20:14
Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $9 $0 10-01 07:27
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 10-03 01:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +8 $4 98¢ $8 +$3 09-25 05:42
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? No +9 $7 81¢ $7 +$0 10-04 16:20
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 09-27 09:53