Scrawny-Toast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

101

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-25 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Sports

46% 50% -$183

Other

40% 99% +$1

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$616	855	0	+855	Yes	+$239	06-15 05:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-28 02:25
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$108	108	0	+108	Yes	+$0	02-28 02:20
will there be at least 1250 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$0	02-28 02:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$77	0	502	-502	Yes	-$425	04-30 23:24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$66	615	615	+0	No	$0	04-14 02:48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$19	300	300	+0	No	+$3	03-23 07:10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:48
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-01 09:48
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on June 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 08:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-16 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 09:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5cf2b…
08-25 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc22dd…
08-25 09:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46133b…
07-24 03:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e87a9…
07-24 03:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc2764f…
07-24 03:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef95fb…
07-16 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x140a64…
07-16 08:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbaddc0…
07-16 08:47:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed6b4b…
07-13 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd58dcc…
07-13 03:46:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf59684…
07-13 03:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2a99…
07-01 09:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa079c1…
07-01 09:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7293b4…
07-01 09:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f1fa4…
06-15 05:49:31	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4c7806…
06-15 05:49:31	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	124	72¢	$89	0x328f67…
06-15 05:49:30	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0xa2db81…
06-15 05:49:30	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	513	72¢	$369	0x58ec9b…
06-15 05:49:30	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x1550b1…
06-14 21:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd6728f…
06-12 03:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c5983…
06-12 03:13:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x731f42…
06-12 03:11:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b6acd…
06-09 08:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19e8f6…
06-09 08:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on June 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7db915…
06-09 08:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ffb7d…
06-09 08:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7fd2ea…
06-09 08:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07c556…
05-29 08:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3104e2…
05-29 08:21:41	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x531352…
05-29 08:20:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec2135…
05-29 08:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x839c37…
05-25 05:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x30b8e1…
05-25 05:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61a4c5…
05-25 05:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6700a…
05-25 05:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x27a458…
05-25 05:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46dec3…
05-25 05:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3da4ff…
05-22 06:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c95f1…
05-22 06:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92157f…
05-22 06:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71570a…
05-22 06:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4152ea…
05-22 06:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab7b88…
05-22 06:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2fcdf…
05-21 06:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5670e…
05-21 06:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d50f2…
05-21 06:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xdffc14…
05-21 06:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbb5f79…
05-21 06:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45326c…
05-21 06:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea58fe…
05-20 10:18:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdab4b…
05-20 10:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ac0d8…
05-20 10:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x35df3a…
05-19 10:05:45	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1f5ae…
05-19 10:04:23	Will "Legends: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe25e34…
05-19 10:02:10	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5ef11…
05-19 10:01:10	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dc507…
05-19 09:59:51	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0af5c4…
05-19 09:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fc329…
05-14 08:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c9bab…
05-14 08:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa875a8…
05-14 08:08:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x122484…
05-13 03:44:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbfead5…
05-13 03:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d4629…
05-13 03:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xead820…
05-13 03:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e8f9e…
05-13 03:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x593da1…
05-13 03:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x862cfc…
05-13 03:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52a842…
05-13 03:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b68eb…
05-13 03:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc11a54…
05-12 06:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c9764…
05-12 06:49:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b066…
05-12 06:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f8ce4…
05-12 06:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb56a15…
05-12 06:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2da6fb…
05-12 06:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9982b9…
05-12 06:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9ddfd…
05-12 06:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43a019…
05-12 06:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb33729…
05-12 06:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c14d9…
05-12 06:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6af88…
05-12 06:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0e12a4…
05-09 07:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4c5f1…
05-09 07:12:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x321060…
05-09 07:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9a2414…
05-08 08:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75f060…
05-08 08:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x149b74…
05-08 08:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3e600…
05-07 08:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e7a0a…
05-07 08:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0bcad4…
05-07 08:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdec7d0…
04-30 23:24:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	502	15¢	$77	0xff69f5…
04-27 08:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x508247…
04-27 08:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f6517…
04-27 08:30:08	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e7923…
04-23 08:12:12	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5fc937…
04-23 08:10:36	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 9c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe08ed3…
04-23 08:08:22	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf377c5…