Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on May 9?
open
Total volume
$798
$746 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$6,545
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 13:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $551 | $551 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | — | $246 | $246 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $491 | $491 |
| Median | 7 | — | $199 | $199 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 8 | — | $43 | $43 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +492 | $491 | $491 | 1 | 05-07 15:36 |
| Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-08 04:57 |
| Entire-Potato 0x3cba…c348 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 06:55 |
| Third-Infiltration 0x3b02…8459 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 13:24 |
| Exotic-Providence 0xbc9a…d338 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 07:03 |
| Worn-Exhaust 0x7f46…4c19 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 13:15 |
| Beloved-Executor 0x5253…58ff | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:04 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| Scrawny-Toast 0xeb3d…3e5e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:35 |
| Polite-Major 0x3237…453a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:50 |
| Massive-Owl 0x2ba6…cac1 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:51 |
| Feminine-Cord 0xe169…7ca1 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:50 |
| Far-Off-Termite 0x2223…793c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:50 |
| Quick-Cleric 0xd511…d050 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:18 |
| Pesky-Branch 0xe477…f093 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:32 |
| Delightful-Learning 0x2108…bdf0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 13:24:49 | Third-Infiltration 0x3b02…8459 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb70c16… |
| 05-08 13:15:01 | Worn-Exhaust 0x7f46…4c19 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xea2791… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x696b0e… |
| 05-08 09:30:22 | Entire-Potato 0x3cba…c348 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcb6775… |
| 05-08 09:04:11 | Beloved-Executor 0x5253…58ff | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x23d1cd… |
| 05-08 08:51:07 | Massive-Owl 0x2ba6…cac1 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x41c0f4… |
| 05-08 08:50:49 | Feminine-Cord 0xe169…7ca1 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x29c78b… |
| 05-08 08:50:37 | Polite-Major 0x3237…453a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6ad2ad… |
| 05-08 08:50:23 | Far-Off-Termite 0x2223…793c | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7842a5… |
| 05-08 08:35:04 | Scrawny-Toast 0xeb3d…3e5e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x149b74… |
| 05-08 08:25:27 | Delightful-Learning 0x2108…bdf0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd0a511… |
| 05-08 08:10:10 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xeb387f… |
| 05-08 07:32:46 | Pesky-Branch 0xe477…f093 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa06b7e… |
| 05-08 07:18:48 | Quick-Cleric 0xd511…d050 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa9ce36… |
| 05-08 07:03:22 | Exotic-Providence 0xbc9a…d338 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xde811e… |
| 05-08 06:55:00 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x13e8f5… |
| 05-08 04:57:36 | Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xec0443… |
| 05-08 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1674c… |
| 05-07 15:36:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 492 | 100¢ | $491 | 0xb6760a… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26180a… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb4937a… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c43ea… |