Capital-Conspiracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$540

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-18 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$540

Sports

21% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 50% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$1.0K	510	510	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 01:53
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	Knicks	+$5	05-25 09:12
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$544	800	0	+800	England	-$544	07-18 17:45
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-16 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on June 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 03:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on June 16?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 03:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 24?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-17 09:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:45:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0x105a40…
07-16 08:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a40c9…
07-16 08:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d887d…
07-13 06:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f5a2c…
07-13 06:30:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41702c…
06-24 03:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb997d…
06-24 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f0e67…
06-24 02:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32409a…
06-24 02:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc772e1…
06-24 02:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe845a8…
06-24 02:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb39759…
06-24 02:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x60fb2e…
06-24 02:51:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28facb…
06-17 09:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31b42f…
06-17 09:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0bc0c1…
06-17 09:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa902a0…
06-17 09:45:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x244586…
06-17 09:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x59a67f…
06-17 09:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64ade1…
06-17 09:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2bdcb…
06-17 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38c345…
06-15 03:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ae4d3…
06-15 03:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcacdb1…
06-15 03:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b3055…
06-15 03:35:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a45dc…
06-15 03:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x71f02c…
06-15 03:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd89389…
06-15 03:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03c18c…
06-15 03:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb029a5…
06-09 02:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x628ce3…
06-09 02:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1c5415…
06-09 02:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e197c…
06-09 02:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfc696…
05-29 07:55:05	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x90d924…
05-29 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef84fc…
05-29 07:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x78ae6c…
05-29 07:50:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39e890…
05-29 07:47:48	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c75e0…
05-29 07:46:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2656a1…
05-29 07:45:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x056c2d…
05-27 06:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa343a3…
05-27 06:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x1911db…
05-27 06:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796bd1…
05-27 05:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43ee8e…
05-27 05:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfcb807…
05-27 05:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd66d6c…
05-25 09:12:44	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	550	43¢	$236	0xc05feb…
05-25 06:04:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	550	56¢	$308	0xfdb021…
05-15 03:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30429f…
05-15 03:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x06e36e…
05-15 03:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87c713…
05-15 03:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0cb3ff…
05-11 03:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dd3bc…
05-11 03:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd199a1…
05-11 03:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc4919c…
05-11 03:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bb48c…
04-30 01:53:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	449	99¢	$445	0x5ed5f1…
04-28 10:27:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x9bc373…
04-28 06:52:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	220	99¢	$217	0x88fb28…
04-28 06:52:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x7e6240…
04-28 06:52:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x6ac0f8…
04-23 10:30:38	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc98ed4…
04-23 10:29:22	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f8fa0…
04-23 10:28:14	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 7c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25006e…
04-23 10:26:48	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa26085…
03-16 08:29:33	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x748d3c…
03-16 08:07:41	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8de5b6…
03-04 06:37:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8b34b6…
03-04 06:37:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x4e004d…