(anonymous) 0xeb526f…8c67cc Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.26K
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
301
Trades
3,944
lifetime
Volume
$456.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$2.21K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
84% 80% -$2,409
Politics
10% 67% -$1,118
Tech
5% 65% -$681
Crypto
0% 50% +$46
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +672 $551 70¢ $474 -$77 09-13 08:39
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +542 $164 63¢ $342 +$177 11-01 09:32
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +223 $211 97¢ $215 +$4 11-06 00:08
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +672 $236 30¢ $198 -$38 09-18 12:53
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? Yes +200 $189 99¢ $198 +$9 11-06 00:08
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +200 $174 94¢ $188 +$14 10-23 02:44
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,295 $563 12¢ $162 -$402 10-14 12:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,005 $570 12¢ $116 -$455 10-30 23:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,088 $497 10¢ $105 -$392 10-14 20:37
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +200 $92 34¢ $69 -$23 10-03 21:09
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +209 $114 28¢ $58 -$56 10-31 00:55
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? Yes +547 $60 5¢ $26 -$34 09-14 12:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 -$28 12¢ $24 +$52 10-23 04:13
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? Yes +216 $31 8¢ $17 -$14 10-01 23:02
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +135 -$18 8¢ $10 +$28 09-15 19:27
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? Yes +300 $36 2¢ $7 -$29 10-07 19:25
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +75 $26 3¢ $2 -$24 10-30 15:39