Appropriate-Biplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-11 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 90% -$1

Other

45% 81% -$49

Politics

6% 67% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 18	1	$133	133	+133	No	+$0	01-18 12:17
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$132	132	+132	Yes	+$0	01-13 11:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 11	1	$131	131	+131	No	+$0	01-10 10:43
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	01-05 13:12
bitcoin above 80k on january 3	1	$130	130	+130	Yes	+$0	01-03 09:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-31 12:43
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-24 10:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-18 11:05
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-05 08:59
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$87	90	+90	No	+$3	03-13 13:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-09 11:18
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	05-02 06:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-08 11:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-13 13:47
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	04-18 06:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	06-01 11:42
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-25 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-19 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 5?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	06-04 12:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-22 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-27 10:41
will xrp reach 2 february 23 march 1	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-28 13:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-07 12:30
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 23corhigher	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	03-19 13:58
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-05 11:10
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 13	1	$72	72	+72	No	+$0	04-12 11:03
will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	03-04 13:16
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in january 381	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	02-09 13:04
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$51	54	+54	No	+$3	01-30 12:04
Will MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	05-06 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 08:13:24	James Talarico campaigns in-person this weekend?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9561c…
10-11 08:10:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou	Yi Zhou	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x297af6…
09-02 09:33:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb4eee1…
09-02 09:29:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xfe7312…
08-07 09:34:28	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x07f349…
07-18 08:03:18	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5d73e6…
06-04 12:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 5?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xf4bbfe…
06-02 13:43:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde6554…
06-01 11:42:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7c4c84…
05-25 10:48:50	Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6e0dea…
05-19 12:16:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x413282…
05-13 13:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd4f35d…
05-08 11:50:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xe12f52…
05-06 10:51:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfee234…
05-06 10:44:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	243	0¢	$1	0xc3ad4a…
05-06 10:43:04	Will MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x33c5b4…
05-04 10:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03abe2…
05-02 06:40:52	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xfdb698…
04-27 10:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd892a0…
04-22 12:28:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xc7c745…
04-18 06:32:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x280211…
04-12 11:11:25	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe8c27c…
04-12 11:03:57	will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x2b9278…
04-12 11:03:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 13	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x0e3e5b…
04-07 12:43:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80d454…
04-07 12:32:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4f6ac0…
04-07 12:30:51	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb1c6f8…
04-05 08:59:47	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x0fe69a…
03-31 12:43:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x77faf7…
03-24 10:27:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9882b5…
03-19 13:58:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xabbe85…
03-19 13:57:09	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1e19c3…
03-18 11:05:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x17a486…
03-13 13:04:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8b0257…
03-13 13:03:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x194623…
03-09 11:18:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xf3ed40…
03-04 13:27:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x086a5b…
03-04 13:16:47	will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x25343b…
03-01 13:21:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4fc885…
02-28 13:14:41	will xrp reach 2 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x28f887…
02-09 13:09:29	khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x4af6d6…
02-09 13:04:43	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in january 381	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x27e269…
02-05 11:10:35	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xae7b67…
02-01 13:10:48	lol th mkoi 2026 02 02	Movistar KOI	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xa155f7…
02-01 12:43:18	ethereum above 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4bea49…
02-01 12:42:06	ethereum above 2600 on february 1	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x9e9160…
02-01 12:32:36	lol kcb fnc 2026 02 02	Karmine Corp Blue	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x0dbe08…
02-01 12:17:14	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 215 239	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0xd20cf2…
01-31 11:20:44	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9b6b0…
01-30 12:27:44	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x595344…
01-30 12:14:52	will zelenskyy talk to putin by january 31	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x7ec809…
01-30 12:07:26	will shelter opening weekend box office be less than 2pt5m	Yes	BUY	355	1¢	$2	0x9e698f…
01-30 12:04:26	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x90d69a…
01-18 12:17:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 18	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x1051e0…
01-13 11:53:15	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x46778c…
01-10 10:43:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 11	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xef162d…
01-05 13:12:33	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9a23e8…
01-03 09:08:43	bitcoin above 80k on january 3	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x8f0b75…