Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

293

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-31 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 67% -$221

Other

10% 25% -$1

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Las Vegas Raiders?	7	$48	50	49	+1	No	-$3	10-11 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$30	137	0	+137	Up	-$30	10-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$30	86	0	+86	Down	-$30	10-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$30	53	0	+53	Down	-$30	10-10 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$30	153	0	+153	Up	-$30	10-10 00:29
will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 56b	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-14 12:17
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 07:46
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 02:51
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 12:16
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 12:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 07:09
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$15	79	0	+79	Up	-$15	10-10 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$15	63	0	+63	Down	-$15	10-10 02:59
will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	10-14 14:48
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 07:48
will abbvie q3 global rinvoq net revenues 20261008120113000 2pt7b	1	$11	20	0	+20	Yes	+$9	10-15 02:37
Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	10-12 08:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	10-26 00:59
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-25 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-22 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	10-26 00:59
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-24 12:59
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-24 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-24 09:59
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-24 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$9	16	0	+16	Down	-$3	10-08 13:44
will google googl q3 cloud revenue be above 20261008120049000 31b	1	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	10-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	10-08 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-21 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x93cf70…
10-30 19:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x945610…
10-30 14:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x137e0a…
10-30 05:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xde44d5…
10-30 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x027b51…
10-30 00:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x42793c…
10-26 02:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbf3adf…
10-26 02:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2f9603…
10-26 02:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xabb81a…
10-26 02:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb7f325…
10-26 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24302c…
10-26 01:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfee84a…
10-26 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd01b7e…
10-26 00:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b926c…
10-26 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf08d1c…
10-26 00:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb56cfa…
10-26 00:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f4f8d…
10-26 00:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9b3b5d…
10-25 23:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b2d47…
10-25 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b6abe…
10-25 20:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc58cfa…
10-25 20:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62c246…
10-25 19:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e0df6…
10-25 18:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf66ace…
10-25 18:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a5e42…
10-25 17:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2c464…
10-25 16:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42aaf…
10-25 15:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52d58c…
10-25 14:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb35c7d…
10-25 12:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b1d22…
10-25 12:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f0d3c…
10-25 10:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa60243…
10-25 10:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x366aa8…
10-25 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe03ca4…
10-25 09:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee7c2b…
10-25 09:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e9111…
10-25 09:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55d755…
10-25 09:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf99bd1…
10-25 06:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78e42a…
10-25 03:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd243f1…
10-25 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d1a3c…
10-25 03:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7aae52…
10-25 02:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef6197…
10-25 02:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcbade…
10-25 00:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b5c4f…
10-24 22:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0b2a7…
10-24 22:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57e84b…
10-24 21:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb3056…
10-24 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1679b4…
10-24 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b5d67…
10-24 19:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74262d…
10-24 19:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d4581…
10-24 19:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b1db6…
10-24 17:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6cc1e1…
10-24 17:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x284e7d…
10-24 17:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6339e1…
10-24 16:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf12349…
10-24 13:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58b81f…
10-24 13:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5dd2ad…
10-24 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0bc62e…
10-24 12:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bfe85…
10-24 12:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe914a9…
10-24 11:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5844b…
10-24 10:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xffc52b…
10-24 10:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb2260…
10-24 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3940fc…
10-24 09:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x675afc…
10-24 08:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x270f5f…
10-24 08:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ed274…
10-24 07:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16b794…
10-24 06:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9aef7d…
10-24 06:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9368fd…
10-24 04:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c832b…
10-24 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6bd392…
10-24 03:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d7c0d…
10-24 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc813e8…
10-24 03:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8605d0…
10-24 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2563b0…
10-24 01:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf29d23…
10-23 21:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3577a4…
10-23 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x34ee3d…
10-23 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8c3e7…
10-23 19:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86768d…
10-23 15:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7cb3b…
10-23 15:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x69029b…
10-23 15:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e48bf…
10-23 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6584c4…
10-23 14:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb28067…
10-23 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc48e08…
10-23 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xda9410…
10-23 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xca7316…
10-23 13:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x006f92…
10-23 12:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x638a3a…
10-23 12:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x407bcd…
10-23 12:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1fc033…
10-23 11:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ba7c2…
10-23 10:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0bbfe…
10-23 09:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfad1ed…
10-23 09:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c4bda…
10-23 09:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60d854…