Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$3,902

Trades

456

Unique wallets

97

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-22

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-22 01:04

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Lively-Authenticity +728 Disastrous-Thought +266 Informal-Blight +241 (anon) +210 (anon) +199 Supportive-Matchmaker +121 (anon) +114 (anon) +103

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +938 (anon) +299 (anon) +200 Supportive-Matchmaker +172 (anon) +150 (anon) +116 (anon) +102 Infinite-Exhibit +101

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -2.7¢ (top1%: 80% YES on $1.6K vs crowd: 82% YES on $3.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	14	$1.3K	$311	+$943
🐬 Dolphin	30	$803	$94	+$710
🐟 Fish	34	$622	$66	+$555
🦐 Shrimp	19	$81	$122	$41

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	21	$1.2K	$318	+$928
🏆 Top 5%	22	$496	$30	+$466
✅ Top 10%	2	$4	$0	+$4
Median	5	$31	$2	+$28
Below median	21	$188	$122	+$65
⚠️ Bottom 10%	8	$106	$43	+$63
🔻 Bottom 5%	10	$606	$7	+$599
💀 Bottom 1%	8	$83	$69	+$14

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+938	$143	$143	27	10-22 00:58
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+728	$541	$541	30	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x1404…de47	Down	+299	$33	$33	16	10-22 00:59
Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3	Up	+266	$266	$266	1	10-22 01:04
Informal-Blight 0xb7a2…e144	Up	+241	$224	$224	5	10-22 00:55
(anonymous) 0xef56…edda	Up	+210	$208	$208	1	10-22 01:00
(anonymous) 0xdb71…aa29	Down	+200	$2	$2	1	10-22 01:00
(anonymous) 0x1404…de47	Up	+199	$164	$164	6	10-22 00:59
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+172	$35	$35	35	10-22 00:48
(anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65	Down	+150	$16	$16	6	10-22 00:46
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+121	$72	$72	26	10-22 00:43
(anonymous) 0xac4c…2200	Down	+116	$41	$41	1	10-22 00:25
(anonymous) 0x68e7…e3f6	Up	+114	$100	$100	1	10-22 00:45
(anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1	Up	+103	$100	$100	1	10-22 00:57
(anonymous) 0x43e7…472a	Down	+102	$20	$20	13	10-22 00:58
Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57	Down	+101	$9	$12	4	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x187f…afd9	Down	+100	$36	$36	1	10-22 00:25
(anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7	Down	+100	$2	$2	1	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+85	$9	$9	3	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x2a6f…2351	Up	+80	$71	$71	4	10-22 00:45
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Up	+65	$45	$45	6	10-22 00:58
Whispered-Pasture 0x9b9c…fdaf	Up	+64	$49	$49	2	10-22 01:00
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	Up	+59	$50	$51	7	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x335a…a494	Down	+43	$21	$72	43	10-22 00:59
Brief-Transit 0xe3a2…cdf3	Up	+43	$23	$23	1	10-21 23:54
(anonymous) 0x6ac6…c6d3	Up	+40	$21	$21	2	10-22 00:00
(anonymous) 0x96df…baed	Up	+35	$26	$26	7	10-22 00:41
(anonymous) 0xf7c9…7094	Up	+35	$33	$33	1	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x29da…2a19	Down	+32	$3	$3	1	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x126f…b780	Up	+30	$26	$26	1	10-22 00:47
(anonymous) 0x1461…b97e	Down	+30	$2	$2	3	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e	Down	+25	$1	$1	3	10-22 00:59
Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4	Down	+24	$8	$8	3	10-22 00:30
(anonymous) 0xed52…e830	Down	+24	$2	$2	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x3a37…3b1d	Down	+24	$5	$5	4	10-22 00:54
(anonymous) 0x416e…a47f	Down	+23	$10	$10	3	10-21 23:54
(anonymous) 0x498a…a9ee	Up	+22	$20	$20	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x1461…b97e	Up	+21	$19	$19	3	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x97d3…4ed5	Up	+21	$17	$17	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x7832…c913	Up	+20	$19	$19	1	10-22 00:48
(anonymous) 0x0e4b…ad67	Up	+20	$23	$114	25	10-22 00:56
(anonymous) 0xcbe8…7124	Up	+20	$14	$14	1	10-22 00:33
(anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e	Up	+20	$18	$18	2	10-22 00:59
Extraneous-Paperwork 0xe02c…4ab1	Up	+20	$10	$10	4	10-22 00:00
Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61	Up	+16	$8	$8	1	10-21 19:25
(anonymous) 0x741a…2c2f	Down	+16	$8	$8	1	10-21 19:25
(anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39	Down	+16	$4	$11	7	10-22 01:00
(anonymous) 0x43e7…472a	Up	+15	$11	$11	3	10-22 00:06
(anonymous) 0xd892…f028	Down	+15	$1	$1	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863	Down	+15	$1	$1	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319	Up	+15	$14	$14	1	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0xb764…a172	Down	+14	$2	$2	2	10-22 00:54
(anonymous) 0xf318…68f0	Down	+14	$4	$4	2	10-22 00:28
(anonymous) 0xcc9a…dd79	Down	+12	$2	$2	1	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0xd59d…65b3	Down	+11	$2	$2	3	10-22 00:55
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	Down	+11	$2	$4	3	10-22 00:53
Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415	Up	+11	$10	$10	2	10-22 00:50
(anonymous) 0x628c…8692	Up	+11	$9	$9	2	10-22 00:59
(anonymous) 0xf845…c785	Down	+10	$2	$2	2	10-22 00:57
Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c	Down	+10	$0	$0	1	10-22 00:57