(anonymous) 0x498a4e…a1a9ee
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$146
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
320
Trades
933
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-27 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
57% 50% -$176
Crypto
31% 78% +$2
Tech
6% — —
Politics
5% 0% -$35
Sports
1% 50% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +529 $336 87¢ $462 +$126 10-05 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +227 $76 98¢ $224 +$148 10-05 11:27
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +185 $117 80¢ $149 +$31 10-05 17:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +187 $115 70¢ $130 +$15 10-05 14:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +126 $17 98¢ $124 +$107 09-30 23:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +115 $80 99¢ $114 +$34 10-01 20:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +105 $66 92¢ $97 +$31 09-30 07:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +106 $80 88¢ $94 +$14 10-05 14:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +107 $80 84¢ $90 +$11 10-03 08:41
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +529 $205 13¢ $67 -$138 10-05 06:01
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +187 $80 30¢ $57 -$23 10-06 16:53
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +79 $40 66¢ $53 +$12 10-01 05:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +85 $45 54¢ $45 +$1 10-01 04:12
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +71 $40 62¢ $44 +$4 09-30 21:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +85 $40 46¢ $40 $0 09-30 22:28
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +50 $37 75¢ $37 $0 09-29 13:57
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +185 $91 20¢ $36 -$55 10-07 07:18
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $33 59¢ $30 -$3 10-05 15:55
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +71 $28 38¢ $27 -$1 09-30 14:21
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +79 $40 34¢ $26 -$13 10-01 07:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $17 41¢ $20 +$3 10-05 15:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $31 16¢ $17 -$14 10-03 08:41
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +51 $13 25¢ $13 $0 09-29 13:57
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$1 10-02 22:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +109 $32 12¢ $13 -$20 10-08 06:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +105 $40 8¢ $8 -$32 09-30 07:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +227 $153 2¢ $4 -$149 10-05 11:27
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +15 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 10-02 22:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $112 2¢ $2 -$110 09-30 19:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +115 $37 1¢ $2 -$35 10-01 20:49