(anonymous) 0x498a4e…a1a9ee
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$172
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved (30d)
333
Trades (30d)
764
947 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10.1K
$14.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-31 11:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
57% 48% -$173
Crypto
31% 77% -$23
Tech
6% — —
Politics
5% 0% -$35
Sports
1% 50% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +529 $336 78¢ $415 +$79 10-05 06:01
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +185 $117 100¢ $184 +$67 10-05 17:27
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +126 $17 100¢ $126 +$109 09-30 23:44
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +187 $115 66¢ $123 +$9 10-05 14:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +529 $205 22¢ $114 -$91 10-05 06:01
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +105 $66 98¢ $103 +$37 09-30 07:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +106 $80 92¢ $97 +$17 10-05 14:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +107 $80 80¢ $86 +$7 10-03 08:41
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +187 $80 34¢ $64 -$17 10-06 16:53
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +79 $40 72¢ $57 +$17 10-01 05:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +85 $40 66¢ $57 +$17 09-30 22:28
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +71 $40 64¢ $45 +$6 09-30 21:46
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +50 $37 70¢ $35 -$2 09-29 13:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +85 $45 34¢ $28 -$16 10-01 04:12
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $33 54¢ $27 -$6 10-05 15:55
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +71 $28 36¢ $26 -$2 09-30 14:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $17 46¢ $23 +$6 10-05 15:55
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +79 $40 28¢ $22 -$18 10-01 07:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $31 20¢ $21 -$10 10-03 08:41
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +51 $13 30¢ $15 +$2 09-29 13:57
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +15 $12 81¢ $12 +$0 10-02 22:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +109 $32 8¢ $9 -$23 10-08 06:49
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +15 $3 19¢ $3 -$1 10-02 22:26
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +105 $40 2¢ $2 -$38 09-30 07:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-27 17:00
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $112 0¢ $1 -$112 09-30 19:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $0 33¢ $0 $0 09-30 06:03
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +185 $91 0¢ $0 -$91 10-07 07:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $1 88¢ $0 $0 09-29 22:38
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $4 12¢ $0 -$4 09-29 19:46