(anonymous) 0x498a4e…a1a9ee
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$164
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved (90d)
327
Trades (90d)
941
941 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$14.1K
$14.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-30 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
57% 49% -$178
Crypto
31% 77% -$14
Tech
6% — —
Politics
5% 0% -$35
Sports
1% 50% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +529 $336 84¢ $444 +$108 10-05 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +227 $76 100¢ $226 +$150 10-05 11:27
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +185 $117 99¢ $183 +$65 10-05 17:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +187 $115 74¢ $138 +$24 10-05 14:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +126 $17 99¢ $125 +$108 09-30 23:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +115 $80 100¢ $115 +$35 10-01 20:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +105 $66 94¢ $99 +$33 09-30 07:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +106 $80 90¢ $95 +$15 10-05 14:54
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +529 $205 16¢ $85 -$120 10-05 06:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +107 $80 80¢ $85 +$6 10-03 08:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +85 $40 68¢ $57 +$17 09-30 22:28
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +187 $80 26¢ $49 -$32 10-06 16:53
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +79 $40 60¢ $47 +$7 10-01 05:43
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +71 $40 64¢ $46 +$6 09-30 21:46
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +50 $37 70¢ $35 -$2 09-29 13:57
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +79 $40 40¢ $32 -$8 10-01 07:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $33 56¢ $28 -$5 10-05 15:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +85 $45 32¢ $28 -$17 10-01 04:12
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +71 $28 36¢ $25 -$2 09-30 14:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $17 44¢ $22 +$5 10-05 15:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $31 20¢ $22 -$9 10-03 08:41
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +51 $13 30¢ $15 +$2 09-29 13:57
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +15 $12 81¢ $12 +$0 10-02 22:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +109 $32 10¢ $11 -$21 10-08 06:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +105 $40 6¢ $6 -$34 09-30 07:33
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +15 $3 19¢ $3 -$1 10-02 22:26
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +185 $91 1¢ $2 -$89 10-07 07:18
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $112 1¢ $1 -$111 09-30 19:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-27 17:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +227 $153 0¢ $1 -$152 10-05 11:27