(anonymous) 0x498a4e…a1a9ee
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved (7d)
56
Trades (7d)
85
937 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$805
$14.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-29 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
57% 49% -$178
Crypto
31% 77% -$25
Tech
6% — —
Politics
5% 0% -$35
Sports
1% 50% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +529 $336 79¢ $417 +$81 10-05 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +227 $76 99¢ $226 +$150 10-05 11:27
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +185 $117 88¢ $162 +$45 10-05 17:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +187 $115 76¢ $143 +$28 10-05 14:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +126 $17 98¢ $124 +$107 09-30 23:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +115 $80 99¢ $115 +$35 10-01 20:49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +529 $205 21¢ $113 -$93 10-05 06:01
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +105 $66 95¢ $100 +$34 09-30 07:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +106 $80 90¢ $95 +$15 10-05 14:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +107 $80 84¢ $89 +$10 10-03 08:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +85 $40 72¢ $61 +$21 09-30 22:28
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +79 $40 72¢ $56 +$16 10-01 05:43
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +71 $40 64¢ $45 +$6 09-30 21:46
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +187 $80 24¢ $44 -$36 10-06 16:53
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +50 $37 62¢ $31 -$6 09-29 13:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $33 55¢ $27 -$5 10-05 15:55
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +71 $28 36¢ $26 -$2 09-30 14:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +85 $45 28¢ $24 -$21 10-01 04:12
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $17 46¢ $23 +$5 10-05 15:55
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +185 $91 12¢ $23 -$68 10-07 07:18
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +79 $40 29¢ $23 -$17 10-01 07:00
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +51 $13 38¢ $19 +$6 09-29 13:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $31 16¢ $18 -$13 10-03 08:41
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +15 $12 80¢ $12 +$0 10-02 22:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +109 $32 10¢ $11 -$21 10-08 06:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +105 $40 5¢ $5 -$35 09-30 07:33
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +15 $3 20¢ $3 -$1 10-02 22:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $112 2¢ $2 -$110 09-30 19:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +227 $153 1¢ $1 -$151 10-05 11:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 09-27 17:00