Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$36,042
$2 in 24h
Trades
4,144
Unique wallets
442
Liquidity
$9,613
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-11-05
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-05 00:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.4¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $18.5K
vs crowd: 38% YES on $35.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 104 | $7.8K | $13.6K | $5.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 98 | $2.7K | $3.3K | $604 |
| 🐟 Fish | 128 | $2.5K | $3.5K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 112 | $401 | $1.3K | $888 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 98 | $5.1K | $13.4K | $8.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 76 | $1.9K | $3.3K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 36 | $274 | $998 | $724 |
| Median | 31 | $96 | $141 | $45 |
| Below median | 72 | $235 | $728 | $493 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 40 | $286 | $570 | $284 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 47 | $1.0K | $1.1K | $44 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 42 | $4.5K | $1.4K | +$3.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spotted-Termination 0xc389…d228 | Down | +5,775 | $2,793 | $2,793 | 241 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6811…7519 | Up | +2,282 | $807 | $1,893 | 13 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +1,331 | $437 | $437 | 113 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +1,266 | $879 | $879 | 21 | 11-05 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e8…e002 | Up | +1,257 | $542 | $542 | 46 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +1,201 | $394 | $394 | 93 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +1,136 | $675 | $675 | 6 | 11-05 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x329d…b047 | Down | +1,113 | $520 | $520 | 41 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Up | +1,070 | $576 | $576 | 29 | 11-05 00:26 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +1,028 | $703 | $703 | 51 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +977 | $713 | $713 | 57 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7ca…6c84 | Up | +924 | $453 | $453 | 10 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +911 | $610 | $610 | 44 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x10d5…5388 | Up | +887 | $274 | $274 | 13 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +875 | $282 | $282 | 85 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +808 | $201 | $201 | 21 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7766…61d4 | Up | +800 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7766…61d4 | Down | +800 | $597 | $597 | 1 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +790 | $405 | $405 | 8 | 11-05 00:14 |
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | +790 | $401 | $401 | 6 | 11-05 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x90e3…34ad | Up | +778 | $318 | $318 | 22 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +764 | $651 | $651 | 34 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +751 | $565 | $565 | 18 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Novel-Plow-Toot 0xd02b…d6df | Down | +720 | $295 | $295 | 26 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Up | +718 | $357 | $357 | 24 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05 | Up | +707 | $107 | $107 | 33 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb09b…9d1c | Down | +688 | $378 | $378 | 28 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +685 | $193 | $193 | 31 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +672 | $208 | $208 | 44 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +660 | $153 | $153 | 70 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +649 | $447 | $447 | 31 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +636 | $378 | $378 | 29 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +574 | $436 | $436 | 23 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +568 | $244 | $244 | 33 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Several-Leopard 0x52f0…0699 | Up | +559 | $270 | $270 | 25 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +537 | $188 | $188 | 6 | 11-05 00:26 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +536 | $485 | $486 | 3 | 11-05 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | +436 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 11-05 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbae1…b07e | Down | +415 | $235 | $235 | 2 | 11-05 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Up | +410 | $170 | $170 | 37 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Down | +390 | $241 | $241 | 46 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dbd…fcd5 | Down | +364 | $125 | $125 | 13 | 11-05 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x89e8…9f7b | Down | +362 | $226 | $226 | 43 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x89e8…9f7b | Up | +360 | $156 | $156 | 53 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bad…cc39 | Up | +360 | $176 | $176 | 18 | 11-05 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0788…9cad | Down | +340 | $337 | $337 | 1 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Down | +335 | $180 | $180 | 12 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | +335 | $134 | $134 | 25 | 11-05 00:27 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Down | +331 | $235 | $235 | 14 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +302 | $299 | $299 | 5 | 11-05 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Up | +289 | $172 | $172 | 9 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +281 | $82 | $82 | 46 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Up | +280 | $97 | $97 | 24 | 11-05 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +277 | $252 | $252 | 8 | 11-05 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | +267 | $85 | $85 | 49 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | +261 | $185 | $185 | 24 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +250 | $163 | $163 | 24 | 11-05 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +249 | $221 | $221 | 16 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Live-Ape 0x95e8…6fa3 | Down | +240 | $142 | $142 | 24 | 11-05 00:26 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +227 | $188 | $188 | 6 | 11-05 00:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 00:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x501b93… |
| 11-05 00:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x28be…bdbc | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x501b93… |
| 11-05 00:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xf40d…90c0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x36c0dc… |
| 11-05 00:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x36c0dc… |
| 11-05 00:30:03 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x90d7f5… |
| 11-05 00:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x12b0…b63c | Down | SELL | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x90d7f5… |
| 11-05 00:29:57 | (anonymous) 0xbef0…e91b | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc52b3f… |
| 11-05 00:29:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xc52b3f… |
| 11-05 00:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 114 | 99¢ | $112 | 0xda4302… |
| 11-05 00:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | SELL | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xda4302… |
| 11-05 00:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xfddb…4529 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xda4302… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x0795…b281 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf626d… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xee18…8a0d | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x7956d4… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xd6d2…3f40 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf626d… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x7903…df88 | Down | SELL | 82 | 99¢ | $81 | 0xbf626d… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xfddb…4529 | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xbf626d… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf626d… |
| 11-05 00:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7956d4… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf49bdb… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x8126…2b65 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x025575… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x68f827… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x025575… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x7f1f…90b8 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5c409f… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | Juvenile-Exam 0xc4e1…0d0e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a6a21… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x086162… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x086162… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xe1ed…a758 | Up | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a991d… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf441ac… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3a6a21… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x68f827… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x7005…133a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x4a991d… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x0788…9cad | Down | BUY | 340 | 99¢ | $337 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf441ac… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2bc710… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c409f… |
| 11-05 00:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf49bdb… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x5dd137… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc38683… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf68bda… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xed49…7ef6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa6de84… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x32c2…f794 | Up | SELL | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xdb6ea1… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x51ae…6907 | Down | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x7ac5b3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xbd1b7e… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4d4dc8… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x5dd137… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2d6b29… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x0795…b281 | Up | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x54b552… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa55f36… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd2dec5… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x2d6b29… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd9815f… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xcc329a… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Hilarious-Ambulance 0x3c87…1075 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x050099… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Up | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x87faf3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc9bd30… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x050099… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfa37a3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xcf79…b6b0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2c68cf… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05 | Up | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x54b552… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Up | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x87faf3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xb2c4…cffc | Down | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xe9a61e… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x08b445… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Up | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x7ac5b3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05 | Up | BUY | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5dd137… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xafe9ef… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf168f6… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x7f1f…90b8 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbeb583… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe0343b… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xed49…7ef6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x56eaf3… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xec50f9… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 28 | 86¢ | $24 | 0x08b445… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa55f36… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b7ea9… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xa55f36… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x8337…7887 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x9e2f78… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x073c…479a | Down | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa55f36… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x042c…531d | Up | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd9815f… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x8222…7e4b | Up | BUY | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xdb6ea1… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xbd1b7e… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc329a… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdb6ea1… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x08b445… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x7cd6fe… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05 | Up | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x4b4f3b… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xe9a61e… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xcf79…b6b0 | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3709d… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Hilarious-Ambulance 0x3c87…1075 | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf68bda… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xc9bd30… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbeb583… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc14f41… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x7f1f…90b8 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2c68cf… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…7f7c | Up | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc14f41… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x18f203… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x4b4f3b… |
| 11-05 00:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x4d247e… |