Negligible-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

478

Trades

1,163

lifetime

Volume

$4.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-25 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 96% +$12

Other

6% 90% -$7

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+13	$10	9¢	$1	-$8	06-29 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	55	$230	143	143	+0	No	+$7	06-28 21:26
will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	50	$159	124	124	+0	No	+$4	06-29 02:34
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	35	$105	71	71	+0	No	+$2	06-28 22:03
will xrp reach 1pt4 in june 2026	17	$103	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-25 00:31
ethereum above 1600 on june 26 2026	20	$76	45	45	+0	No	+$2	06-26 15:48
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	27	$71	53	53	+0	No	+$1	07-01 20:30
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	21	$68	50	50	+0	No	+$1	06-30 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 22?	22	$67	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-22 11:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?	16	$62	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 15:06
bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	19	$62	45	45	+0	No	+$2	06-29 15:52
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	19	$55	45	45	+0	No	+$1	07-01 01:29
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	15	$55	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-29 16:31
ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	13	$47	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-29 13:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	15	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	07-02 20:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 27?	10	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-27 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?	15	$42	40	35	+5	Yes	-$2	07-03 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?	8	$38	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-21 15:01
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	9	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-28 23:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	06-15 11:17
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	12	$35	30	30	+0	No	+$1	06-19 22:18
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	17	$34	29	16	+13	open	—	10-20 05:27
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	7	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	06-30 14:45
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	8	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-26 14:20
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	11	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-21 02:33
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 19	7	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-19 15:02
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	6	$26	15	15	+0	No	+$3	06-26 14:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	07-14 13:21
bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	8	$25	17	12	+5	Yes	-$4	07-02 01:15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	8	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	07-03 20:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 20?	7	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-19 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:55:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf49b7b…
10-25 00:40:03	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebb8e1…
10-24 20:10:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6422a1…
10-24 18:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x788f5a…
10-24 18:10:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x635ad1…
10-24 17:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31ce4b…
10-24 17:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b2fab…
10-24 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2021e0…
10-24 17:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5059f…
10-24 17:10:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a4e4f…
10-24 16:40:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdcd118…
10-24 16:40:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8063f…
10-24 15:55:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebfc77…
10-24 15:55:05	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89fdee…
10-24 15:55:05	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27ccb3…
10-24 15:55:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ee2a2…
10-24 15:25:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09e13c…
10-24 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x995ff5…
10-24 15:25:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x43659c…
10-24 15:25:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd3c171…
10-24 15:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c3ac2…
10-24 14:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc5195…
10-24 14:10:03	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x82ffdb…
10-24 13:40:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa33f60…
10-24 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d1c49…
10-24 13:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24fdf1…
10-24 11:55:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc8ce85…
10-24 11:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x74ec79…
10-24 09:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc69b0…
10-24 09:10:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-24 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb9586c…
10-24 07:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75d41d…
10-24 03:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1690b5…
10-24 02:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x25bbe7…
10-24 02:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf160d4…
10-24 02:10:03	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x436908…
10-24 01:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b9266…
10-24 00:40:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x582c5e…
10-24 00:40:18	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb75036…
10-24 00:40:18	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x250d73…
10-24 00:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63eb10…
10-24 00:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec2957…
10-23 22:40:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb74c8…
10-23 21:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11e4bc…
10-23 21:10:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x341e59…
10-23 19:40:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x276c13…
10-23 18:55:18	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe394aa…
10-23 18:40:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeadc99…
10-23 17:25:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x705f56…
10-23 17:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x330e9a…
10-23 17:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0949bb…
10-23 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60258d…
10-23 17:25:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9ebbc…
10-23 16:55:03	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4c3b3b…
10-23 16:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x413db5…
10-23 15:55:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59d690…
10-23 15:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56e07e…
10-23 15:55:05	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d5acb…
10-23 15:55:03	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc157ac…
10-23 15:10:18	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x740808…
10-23 15:10:05	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd7270…
10-23 15:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcae348…
10-23 14:55:18	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa345be…
10-23 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7ff630…
10-23 14:40:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7161d2…
10-23 14:40:05	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x253e32…
10-23 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8fded9…
10-23 13:25:03	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x427312…
10-23 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5144bb…
10-23 13:10:18	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c3392…
10-23 13:10:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x945aa6…
10-23 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x94a2ca…
10-23 12:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4df311…
10-23 12:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5caa12…
10-23 12:10:05	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf0200d…
10-23 12:10:03	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5c8802…
10-23 11:25:20	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1fce24…
10-23 11:25:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x347636…
10-23 11:10:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc01c53…
10-23 09:40:18	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef65d6…
10-23 09:40:18	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeed03c…
10-23 09:25:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9726dc…
10-23 08:55:18	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29b170…
10-23 08:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd84728…
10-23 08:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e470a…
10-23 07:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b892c…
10-23 07:40:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d3510…
10-23 07:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x103bc0…
10-23 06:25:03	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f52ea…
10-23 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x136bbd…
10-23 05:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x22310f…
10-23 05:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x138884…
10-23 05:40:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b5765…
10-23 05:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x997258…
10-23 05:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd9a33…
10-23 04:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc7307…
10-23 04:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec3f02…
10-23 03:40:18	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8ebd2…
10-23 03:25:05	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x80827a…
10-23 03:25:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc24395…
10-23 03:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7e0e74…