Giving-Premeditation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$377

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved (90d)

620

Trades (90d)

745

3,130 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.99K

$13.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-08 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 58% +$317

Other

3% 38% -$5

Sports

0% 50% -$8

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$4	33¢	$3	-$1	09-28 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 04:00 UTC	2	$82	96	0	+96	Up	+$14	09-26 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$82	63	63	+0	Down	-$1	10-10 06:45
XRP Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET	1	$71	82	0	+82	Down	-$71	09-05 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:55 UTC	1	$66	82	0	+82	Up	+$16	09-04 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC	2	$55	44	44	+0	Up	-$2	09-19 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$52	39	39	+0	Down	+$6	10-03 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	1	$52	83	0	+83	Down	+$31	09-26 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$50	61	0	+61	Up	+$11	10-06 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$48	53	0	+53	Down	+$5	09-18 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:40 UTC	2	$48	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	09-18 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$47	227	0	+227	Down	+$180	09-26 06:58
Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$46	45	45	+0	Down	-$1	10-09 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	1	$45	63	0	+63	Down	-$45	10-03 21:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:45 UTC	1	$45	67	0	+67	Up	+$22	09-20 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	3	$44	102	54	+48	Up	-$16	10-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:15 UTC	1	$44	57	0	+57	Down	+$13	09-29 01:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	2	$43	57	0	+57	Up	+$14	09-30 21:58
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 04:00 UTC	1	$42	60	0	+60	Up	+$18	09-21 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$41	59	0	+59	Up	-$41	09-14 03:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:30 UTC	10	$40	29	28	+1	Up	+$2	04-18 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	2	$40	53	0	+53	Down	-$40	10-04 01:10
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$40	53	0	+53	Up	+$13	09-26 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$38	100	0	+100	Up	-$38	09-26 14:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5AM ET	4	$38	105	105	+0	Up	-$3	10-10 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	1	$37	50	0	+50	Up	-$37	09-19 20:57
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$36	30	30	+0	Up	-$1	10-06 12:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 23:45 UTC	1	$36	59	0	+59	Down	+$23	09-19 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$36	58	0	+58	Up	+$22	10-06 21:57
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$35	30	30	+0	Down	-$1	10-08 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$35	55	0	+55	Up	+$19	10-03 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x587949…
11-08 19:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x7c3237…
11-08 19:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x67069f…
11-08 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xc2f5e8…
11-08 17:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x074ae4…
11-08 17:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6cfce2…
11-08 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf2cfcc…
11-08 17:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6fa4d3…
11-08 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x4a357e…
11-08 12:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb1fc5d…
11-08 10:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x6ab9d2…
11-08 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x890f5f…
11-08 07:41:18	BNB Up or Down - November 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x4ed322…
11-08 07:40:52	BNB Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xcf9078…
11-08 04:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xd144e6…
11-08 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x08d665…
11-08 02:56:28	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0582f6…
11-08 02:56:16	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xa498c8…
11-08 01:56:01	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x054e11…
11-08 01:55:55	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x752d2b…
11-08 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf2a421…
11-08 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xa6613b…
11-08 01:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xad0799…
11-08 01:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd73e7a…
11-08 01:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc3b71e…
11-07 23:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x562e28…
11-07 23:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x177799…
11-07 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x9a7440…
11-07 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x969942…
11-07 22:58:51	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x17bd5f…
11-07 22:58:40	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xea379e…
11-05 23:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0xef810d…
11-05 23:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xc3e40f…
11-05 23:11:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x34ac7c…
11-05 23:11:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x5d6ba2…
11-05 20:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x134781…
11-05 20:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x128905…
11-05 16:43:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9666b9…
11-05 16:43:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x195a0a…
11-05 15:28:25	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xece9c2…
11-05 15:28:22	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x34a3b0…
11-05 15:28:10	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4ecd4a…
11-05 15:28:09	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc5b220…
11-05 12:43:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xd4a382…
11-05 12:43:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x5427f3…
11-05 07:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x55e7e8…
11-05 07:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7447ed…
11-05 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x28355e…
11-05 02:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbeaf51…
11-05 02:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x012512…
11-05 01:13:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xcc2c97…
11-05 01:13:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x0a8a5c…
11-04 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x0da388…
11-04 21:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfd6192…
11-04 21:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x21437e…
11-04 15:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x4d39b4…
11-04 15:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x73df98…
11-04 13:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x14dfb9…
11-04 13:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xfa06fc…
11-04 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x800dd9…
11-04 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x7ad31d…
11-04 11:12:52	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8a14c6…
11-04 11:12:51	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x84f485…
11-04 07:25:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0ddff2…
11-04 07:25:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x71ba95…
11-04 06:40:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x222436…
11-04 06:40:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x87bec5…
11-04 06:40:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x027704…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x675aea…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0x446494…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x1c983f…
11-01 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x7381aa…
10-27 07:41:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0xc92625…
10-27 07:41:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xc69efa…
10-27 04:12:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x36c01d…
10-27 04:12:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x51cbc8…
10-26 22:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7ede98…
10-26 22:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x732e3a…
10-26 19:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8094f6…
10-26 19:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x41d150…
10-26 19:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x1940cc…
10-26 19:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x04f5c1…
10-26 19:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x20d6b9…
10-26 19:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x585271…
10-26 19:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xc142c1…
10-26 19:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x338d75…
10-26 12:13:41	Solana Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xe5cd0a…
10-26 12:13:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6a135b…
10-26 12:04:02	BNB Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xe04507…
10-26 12:04:02	BNB Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x860059…
10-26 12:04:00	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xffbe0d…
10-26 12:04:00	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xee7e68…
10-26 12:03:17	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb98e9c…
10-26 12:03:17	BNB Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1b7bee…
10-25 21:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xd7b470…
10-25 21:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xeb12a6…
10-25 21:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xd11bce…
10-25 21:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x9463b5…
10-25 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xfa2c40…
10-25 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0xb21973…