Extra-Small-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$548

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 07-14 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	6	$63	45	45	+0	Up	+$11	05-16 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	13	$53	282	92	+190	Down	-$3	05-19 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$41	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$30	34	13	+21	Down	-$10	05-16 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	4	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$5	05-16 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	8	$26	28	13	+15	Up	-$2	05-19 00:25
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	8	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	06-26 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	8	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-16 11:12
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	5	$11	13	8	+5	Down	-$1	06-27 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	05-19 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$8	6	4	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 23:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:10 UTC	4	$8	22	22	+0	Up	$0	06-25 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$6	8	5	+3	Up	$0	05-17 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$5	12	2	+10	Down	-$3	05-14 23:41
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 8pm et	3	$5	8	3	+5	Up	-$3	07-14 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-16 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:15 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	06-26 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 11:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 06:00 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	06-25 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 11:42
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 2am et	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	06-25 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:15 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	06-25 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$2	05-14 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$4	27	2	+25	Up	$0	05-17 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 01:02:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x17ec16…
07-14 00:42:20	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x67bdf7…
07-14 00:38:01	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1eaadf…
07-14 00:30:59	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9a0e55…
06-27 01:00:34	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9efab5…
06-27 00:25:29	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1d5fc1…
06-27 00:22:40	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x9e7119…
06-27 00:12:34	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb63140…
06-27 00:11:31	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xc6dfb0…
06-27 00:11:08	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0def6c…
06-26 23:56:25	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xaf3f73…
06-26 23:55:35	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4064a6…
06-26 23:50:07	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x31a965…
06-26 23:46:59	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5e6475…
06-26 23:46:41	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xa803b9…
06-26 23:46:26	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc09e2c…
06-26 23:46:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x793624…
06-26 23:36:50	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x59cf1d…
06-26 08:18:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc14525…
06-25 06:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa0058a…
06-25 06:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8c9c71…
06-25 06:16:29	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x74d7a8…
06-25 06:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x041c77…
06-25 06:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdaeeec…
06-25 06:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf9371e…
06-25 06:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc89efe…
06-25 06:11:32	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf578d6…
06-25 06:10:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x016013…
06-25 06:02:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9e627d…
05-22 00:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f990f…
05-22 00:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb40a6…
05-21 11:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x853209…
05-21 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x729cc1…
05-21 11:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xc1266e…
05-21 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc2b8f8…
05-21 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x60a823…
05-21 11:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2ca72e…
05-21 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa04c74…
05-21 11:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe37469…
05-21 11:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xc06f05…
05-21 11:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1d320…
05-21 11:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x12b0cc…
05-21 05:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdf6fd0…
05-21 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d961b…
05-21 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x49a802…
05-21 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xa6bd56…
05-21 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb825ef…
05-19 01:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0xc908bf…
05-19 01:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x55e28d…
05-19 01:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x95ac37…
05-19 01:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2e7f6b…
05-19 01:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xecb424…
05-19 01:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf7ee32…
05-19 01:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x29d2bb…
05-19 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd8839a…
05-19 01:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3c59e9…
05-19 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x1749a1…
05-19 01:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcb691a…
05-19 01:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x3bc32f…
05-19 01:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2b8e82…
05-19 01:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xa746a0…
05-19 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x871299…
05-19 00:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0c0fea…
05-19 00:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x685636…
05-19 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b4a83…
05-19 00:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe6a6df…
05-19 00:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa10bd2…
05-19 00:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x127e77…
05-19 00:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x28171d…
05-19 00:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf80aab…
05-19 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x231ed6…
05-18 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x893890…
05-18 23:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd18b1a…
05-18 23:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9e63d8…
05-17 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54e283…
05-17 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x25f77a…
05-17 07:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b270b…
05-17 05:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x60ca5d…
05-17 05:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6b7495…
05-17 05:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x8c15c9…
05-17 05:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd1e32a…
05-17 05:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x10176f…
05-17 05:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c5b2b…
05-17 05:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x8bbca0…
05-17 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x211b7d…
05-17 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x53691c…
05-17 04:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xd29a2f…
05-17 04:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd693c3…
05-17 04:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x751fcc…
05-17 04:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x910d6a…
05-17 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x950d73…
05-17 04:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xc36545…
05-17 04:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3e0bb7…
05-17 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x6bb578…
05-17 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaa5e42…
05-17 01:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4f68c1…
05-17 01:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xbe2d85…
05-17 01:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xff4141…
05-17 01:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd8114a…
05-17 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x424c25…