Only-Gale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

368

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 08-25 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 98% +$34

Other

9% 97% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	06-29 15:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	05-30 15:48
ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-28 15:44
ethereum above 2300 on april 14	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-14 15:01
ethereum above 1700 on july 8 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-08 15:00
bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	1	$19	21	+21	Yes	+$2	07-06 15:15
ethereum above 1900 on august 17 2026	1	$19	21	+21	Yes	+$2	08-17 15:04
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	08-21 11:01
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 12:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	06-30 15:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-12 11:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	08-13 03:23
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-10 00:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	06-10 03:02
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 04:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	06-26 07:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	07-09 03:01
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	06-26 19:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-07 20:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	06-07 23:01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 10?	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	05-10 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-07 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-10 23:39
DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 04:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	06-12 07:00
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	08-22 23:00
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 04:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	06-12 07:00
will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 13	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-14 03:00
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-26 15:47
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-12 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-29 11:58
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	08-21 11:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	08-24 19:53
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 08:00 UTC	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	06-08 11:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-28 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 11:10:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3a766b…
08-25 11:08:00	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa7e97f…
08-24 20:14:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x789af5…
08-24 19:53:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe103a4…
08-24 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa3712d…
08-24 15:31:22	XRP Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd955a…
08-24 15:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b9583…
08-24 03:16:55	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x211790…
08-22 23:00:58	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8d43fc…
08-22 23:00:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x075e77…
08-22 23:00:54	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa157ee…
08-22 23:00:51	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9d6eb6…
08-22 03:35:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x0e1cdd…
08-22 03:00:31	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x17285d…
08-22 03:00:28	will solana reach 100 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84e149…
08-22 03:00:25	will bitcoin reach 80k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0344e8…
08-22 03:00:24	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa99ff1…
08-21 11:01:52	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x149e8c…
08-21 11:01:51	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x66830d…
08-20 20:11:58	wti closes above 88 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf7278…
08-20 07:16:39	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9145e9…
08-19 23:11:00	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9f16b…
08-19 01:53:10	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xeb1329…
08-19 01:53:04	solana up or down august 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2250ea…
08-18 23:59:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaa9679…
08-18 20:10:40	wti closes above 83 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c839d…
08-18 20:10:39	wti closes above 85 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad80d2…
08-18 10:57:49	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa5458b…
08-18 07:00:52	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4efd30…
08-18 07:00:51	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb04c6e…
08-17 15:04:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 17?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x3fbc31…
08-17 15:04:49	ethereum above 1900 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x715c90…
08-17 03:01:45	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x72d349…
08-17 03:00:24	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x4c674f…
08-17 03:00:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x12f3c7…
08-16 22:51:18	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e66ce…
08-16 19:30:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7dd578…
08-16 01:50:19	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcbac5e…
08-14 20:20:18	wti closes above 82 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x617188…
08-14 20:11:07	wti closes above 81 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd344d0…
08-14 19:15:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2198ea…
08-14 07:52:00	ethereum up or down august 14 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0fac59…
08-14 07:00:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xed80f3…
08-14 07:00:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x73b0b5…
08-13 11:00:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcd6f5d…
08-13 06:51:10	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x49ee6a…
08-13 03:34:07	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x72fd43…
08-13 03:23:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6eeed6…
08-13 01:50:58	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x179c02…
08-12 23:11:54	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3abc43…
08-12 05:50:09	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee69af…
08-11 20:27:48	wti closes above 83 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6d137…
08-11 17:54:39	solana up or down august 11 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x50690d…
08-10 15:58:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23792f…
08-10 11:49:40	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x03afe6…
08-09 23:26:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc1a328…
08-09 02:54:12	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e1cd9…
08-07 15:01:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 7?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x441060…
08-07 15:01:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5cbead…
08-07 15:01:07	ethereum above 1900 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd9f37e…
08-07 15:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ca0a9…
08-06 07:50:29	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf52c55…
08-04 11:32:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xfcd345…
08-03 20:55:45	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd2c3e2…
08-03 20:19:53	wti closes above 82 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4474d4…
08-03 20:19:47	wti closes above 81 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d8c71…
08-03 15:53:29	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe782f2…
08-03 12:51:53	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f9b9a…
08-02 20:52:02	bnb up or down august 2 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb758d6…
08-02 07:53:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x78373c…
08-02 07:00:38	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xb1a2df…
08-01 15:28:00	solana up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfef10e…
08-01 07:54:53	dogecoin up or down august 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac514d…
08-01 02:50:24	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdaad34…
07-30 21:56:38	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc4804…
07-30 21:56:36	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8300e9…
07-29 20:49:53	wti closes above 84 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x38a2c3…
07-29 15:25:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x83b5a1…
07-29 07:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0455ee…
07-29 03:23:35	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x48f083…
07-28 15:44:13	ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x09fa44…
07-27 11:43:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x8c154f…
07-26 15:02:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x962f90…
07-26 15:02:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x25a999…
07-26 01:59:39	Solana Up or Down - July 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6472a5…
07-25 22:28:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9771ce…
07-25 22:28:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fef9b…
07-25 20:12:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc8f658…
07-25 15:51:00	solana up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc15e0e…
07-25 15:43:36	solana up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x16bdcd…
07-25 15:43:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x763c5c…
07-25 15:10:37	ethereum up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3014f3…
07-24 23:40:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x118823…
07-24 15:10:34	bnb up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x286627…
07-24 15:10:31	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4185c5…
07-24 11:15:45	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaa8039…
07-24 09:50:55	solana up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef756c…
07-24 00:27:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x57d786…
07-23 21:55:15	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x526e26…
07-23 18:59:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2570a…