Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

883

Trades

1,112

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-10 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 53% -$166

Other

37% 92% +$66

Politics

1% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22?	2	$199	203	0	+203	Yes	+$4	09-22 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	09-23 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	09-23 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	2	$159	80	80	+0	Yes	+$1	09-27 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:40 UTC	7	$139	110	110	+0	Down	+$9	09-27 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	3	$137	70	70	+0	No	+$2	09-27 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:30 UTC	3	$130	148	0	+148	Up	+$18	09-27 12:33
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	29	$114	37,010	37,010	+0	No	-$40	05-07 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	4	$114	58	58	+0	Yes	+$2	09-27 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?	3	$113	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	09-26 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?	3	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$7	09-27 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26?	1	$110	112	0	+112	Yes	+$2	09-26 10:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:15 UTC	4	$100	73	73	+0	Up	+$40	09-27 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 26?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	09-26 11:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	09-23 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	09-23 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	09-23 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	2	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	09-24 02:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?	1	$99	104	0	+104	No	+$5	09-22 16:13
wti closes above 96 on september 22 2026	1	$99	109	0	+109	No	+$10	09-22 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-27 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25?	2	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	09-25 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 26?	1	$89	99	0	+99	No	+$10	09-26 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27?	3	$89	91	0	+91	No	+$2	09-27 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC	4	$85	90	31	+58	Up	-$7	09-27 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25?	1	$84	87	0	+87	Yes	+$3	09-25 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:15 UTC	2	$82	68	68	+0	Up	+$32	09-27 13:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:55 UTC	6	$79	102	31	+71	Up	-$41	09-27 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:35 UTC	3	$75	96	0	+96	Up	+$21	09-27 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:25 UTC	3	$75	84	0	+84	Down	+$9	09-27 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x32b23d…
10-10 15:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7e2ff3…
10-10 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc5201c…
10-10 15:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf8240a…
10-10 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe9f6f1…
10-10 15:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x6dbbb8…
10-10 15:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda2c80…
10-10 15:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2ffc51…
10-10 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xca664a…
10-10 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x43d354…
10-10 15:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5226b5…
10-10 15:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4ce67c…
10-10 15:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1bd307…
10-10 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6a3baa…
10-10 15:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x2882c4…
10-10 14:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf4782e…
10-10 14:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdbabf8…
10-09 14:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xea9fa3…
10-09 14:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe2427e…
10-09 13:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd3654c…
10-09 13:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfa162c…
10-09 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa0e49b…
10-09 13:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf84a4b…
10-09 12:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xeeaf45…
10-09 11:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x89858b…
10-09 11:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8f50e7…
10-09 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x77eacb…
10-09 10:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf79413…
10-09 10:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb1c3ba…
10-09 10:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x11d686…
10-09 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x05e100…
10-09 09:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5d2a21…
10-09 08:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x64db69…
10-09 08:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfc3d43…
10-09 08:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd66f40…
10-09 08:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe1f317…
10-09 07:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x64186b…
10-09 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x50cdbf…
10-09 07:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3e0302…
10-09 07:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd728e3…
10-09 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa764ce…
10-09 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7be0cf…
10-09 06:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf98c1d…
10-09 06:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc6d799…
10-09 05:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6d1bd7…
10-09 05:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5110c2…
10-09 04:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5417f9…
10-09 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x33faf1…
10-09 04:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4ad48a…
10-09 04:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0a8bd7…
10-09 03:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2d17e0…
10-09 03:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8b56b4…
10-09 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4c2ea0…
10-09 03:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0eccac…
10-09 02:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x70eb0e…
10-09 01:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd65df4…
10-09 01:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x169f0d…
10-09 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6b15e3…
10-09 00:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb43c37…
10-09 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xefc042…
10-09 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x498017…
10-08 23:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7963c1…
10-08 22:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbd4f0a…
10-08 22:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x421211…
10-08 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x61a7a6…
10-08 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x21d03a…
10-08 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x17332f…
10-08 21:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1c0d3b…
10-08 21:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x16eaff…
10-08 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x47a9ff…
10-08 21:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0dc8be…
10-08 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf3768a…
10-08 21:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x224005…
10-08 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe5791e…
10-08 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa61b35…
10-08 20:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x27c225…
10-08 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x091697…
10-08 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0b7659…
10-08 19:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe15675…
10-08 19:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd84317…
10-08 19:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4b81f3…
10-08 19:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc5e301…
10-08 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfd156f…
10-08 18:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8990fc…
10-08 18:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x41db6e…
10-08 18:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x03db13…
10-08 18:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7846e2…
10-08 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xca964e…
10-08 17:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd70561…
10-08 17:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe35860…
10-08 17:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x512c02…
10-08 17:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x50f0bb…
10-08 17:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8417b8…
10-08 17:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8dbeca…
10-08 16:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xac92ee…
10-08 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6ed7df…
10-08 16:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x786610…
10-08 16:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2f5b76…
10-08 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf0b840…
10-08 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x83bda2…