Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$746

Unrealized P&L

-$976

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$107.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$430

Open exposure

$10.3K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-17 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

54% 81% -$4,687

Sports

31% 67% +$4,005

Other

14% 75% -$64

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-10,000	-$9,400	97¢	$-9685	-$285	07-17 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No		+2,331	$1,309	26¢	$618	-$691	07-10 00:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	45	$17.0K	15,489	15,499	-10	Yes	+$3,485	02-09 01:58
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	30	$16.1K	16,352	0	+16,352	Yes	+$224	02-08 20:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	16	$15.4K	16,555	0	+16,555	Yes	+$1,177	02-28 07:16
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	4	$14.2K	13,183	1,000	+12,183	No	+$12	01-23 23:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	30	$9.9K	5,191	5,191	+0	Yes	+$6	02-09 17:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9.4K	0	10,000	-10,000	open	—	07-17 17:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$4.2K	2,178	2,178	+0	Yes	+$78	02-28 21:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$3.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$3,950	03-26 19:46
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,053	0	+3,053	Yes	+$63	02-28 07:14
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	13	$3.0K	3,129	0	+3,129	No	+$168	01-28 18:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$2.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$2,070	03-26 19:30
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	2	$1.8K	1,834	0	+1,834	No	+$48	01-28 23:49
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	4	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$14	03-05 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.3K	2,331	0	+2,331	open	—	07-10 00:55
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$923	950	0	+950	No	+$27	01-23 23:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$814	721	720	+1	Yes	-$281	01-30 00:22
will i like it be played at the super bowl halftime show	13	$683	1,150	0	+1,150	No	+$467	02-08 18:10
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	2	$638	645	0	+645	Yes	+$7	02-28 07:00
will trump say star at fort bragg on friday	1	$616	617	0	+617	Yes	+$1	02-13 19:00
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	2	$451	451	0	+451	Yes	+$0	01-23 03:41
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	20	$357	7,967	4,006	+3,961	No	-$69	02-09 22:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$200	217	0	+217	Yes	+$16	02-28 20:40
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 15	1	$180	180	0	+180	Yes	+$0	01-30 16:39
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	20	$177	1,602	0	+1,602	No	-$177	02-08 20:07
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	01-30 16:59
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$59	60	0	+60	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:14
nhl pit edm 2026 01 22	3	$29	34	0	+34	Penguins	+$5	01-23 02:52
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	2	$2	3	3	+0	Seahawks	$0	01-17 23:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 17:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x0a802e…
07-10 00:55:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0xf59071…
07-07 04:36:56	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	331	57¢	$189	0xf6f448…
03-26 19:46:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x307f5d…
03-26 19:41:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x45bfa2…
03-26 19:30:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3,000	69¢	$2,070	0x7ed670…
03-26 19:23:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x66c66e…
03-26 19:22:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x9ce70f…
03-26 19:21:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x215f3f…
03-26 19:01:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,219	79¢	$1,753	0xe2d47b…
03-26 18:49:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x1437d2…
03-26 18:45:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,040	79¢	$1,612	0xa52ed6…
03-05 18:57:43	Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0x6931ea…
03-05 18:57:09	Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb202b6…
03-05 18:56:59	Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xa1bf1e…
03-05 18:56:37	Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,090	0xcad531…
02-28 21:40:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,178	98¢	$2,130	0xa9427d…
02-28 21:40:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,089	98¢	$1,062	0xd5b167…
02-28 20:56:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd576b6…
02-28 20:56:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xb9e6e7…
02-28 20:42:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xda5cba…
02-28 20:42:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	700	91¢	$638	0x8bb278…
02-28 20:40:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	175	92¢	$162	0xb9aa6c…
02-28 20:40:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x7b324c…
02-28 20:40:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x63605c…
02-28 07:16:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	800	97¢	$778	0x71a7e8…
02-28 07:14:23	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xfefd1f…
02-28 07:14:19	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9731bc…
02-28 07:14:07	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,895	98¢	$2,837	0x96fbc1…
02-28 07:13:47	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0xdee02e…
02-28 07:13:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,515	97¢	$1,463	0x298950…
02-28 07:09:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$946	0x629482…
02-28 07:03:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xc8e766…
02-28 07:03:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	346	98¢	$337	0x0d75ac…
02-28 07:03:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	583	98¢	$569	0xac7212…
02-28 07:03:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x0d76d0…
02-28 07:03:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0xe52076…
02-28 07:02:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	432	98¢	$423	0xff2332…
02-28 07:02:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x9f6c87…
02-28 07:02:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9d5848…
02-28 07:02:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8a825f…
02-28 07:02:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	507	98¢	$497	0x4f5f46…
02-28 07:02:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbebe2e…
02-28 07:00:01	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3f7609…
02-28 06:59:47	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	617	99¢	$610	0x18ad46…
02-28 06:50:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	10,000	91¢	$9,100	0x707e9e…
02-28 06:50:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xd7614f…
02-13 19:00:23	will trump say star at fort bragg on friday	Yes	BUY	617	100¢	$616	0x463020…
02-09 22:09:41	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	4,006	4¢	$144	0x0173fa…
02-09 20:17:45	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	680	2¢	$16	0x3f579d…
02-09 20:16:25	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x3945fc…
02-09 20:16:07	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0x5d5cbb…
02-09 20:16:03	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa61c88…
02-09 20:15:41	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd55566…
02-09 20:15:33	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2d05f5…
02-09 20:14:45	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x47e348…
02-09 19:32:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa7785b…
02-09 19:31:59	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0xadc39a…
02-09 19:31:59	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x57013c…
02-09 19:31:53	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x22ba6b…
02-09 19:31:53	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x140cfa…
02-09 19:31:31	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	955	3¢	$25	0xe375d0…
02-09 19:31:13	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb6da04…
02-09 19:30:57	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xf76e1a…
02-09 19:30:57	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	524	3¢	$14	0x6e6494…
02-09 19:30:39	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	4,945	3¢	$138	0x9bdbf4…
02-09 19:30:21	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x4d2519…
02-09 19:30:15	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0a0021…
02-09 17:44:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,453	96¢	$3,308	0x002c5a…
02-09 17:43:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a7cd2…
02-09 17:42:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x65a4ea…
02-09 17:42:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x27cd12…
02-09 17:41:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xe100da…
02-09 17:38:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	209	96¢	$200	0x3ab063…
02-09 17:38:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xa6ce7a…
02-09 17:38:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0x26b1c3…
02-09 17:37:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x69988c…
02-09 17:36:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x538d76…
02-09 17:36:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	171	96¢	$164	0x207dd2…
02-09 17:36:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa6b2ef…
02-09 17:35:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x962b83…
02-09 17:30:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xa99ca9…
02-09 17:28:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb42e86…
02-09 17:26:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	340	96¢	$325	0xdb37ae…
02-09 17:26:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	134	96¢	$128	0x26e579…
02-09 17:23:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x0bfd54…
02-09 17:21:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0x9f0eb4…
02-09 17:20:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x4dc04c…
02-09 17:19:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x439797…
02-09 17:18:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	206	96¢	$198	0x2496ee…
02-09 17:17:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc48b03…
02-09 17:15:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x52fd96…
02-09 17:11:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xd0c1cb…
02-09 17:09:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0xcb33b8…
02-09 17:08:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0x0dbedb…
02-09 01:58:07	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	14,271	68¢	$9,709	0x793195…
02-08 20:12:15	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0x75fc32…
02-08 20:12:05	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x46619c…
02-08 20:12:03	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x50d885…
02-08 20:11:55	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b0979…