Decent-Pocketbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$8.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-01 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 58% +$28

Other

9% 100% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-13	$-7	44¢	$-6	+$1	05-31 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	14	$5.9K	12,469	12,469	+0	open	—	06-01 10:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	38	$335	191	191	+0	open	—	05-12 17:38
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$243	144	144	+0	open	—	04-13 18:43
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$225	166	166	+0	open	—	04-17 13:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$117	69	69	+0	open	—	04-12 18:43
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	24	$87	46	46	+0	open	—	04-24 08:40
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$87	70	70	+0	open	—	04-11 19:20
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	11	$59	70	0	+70	open	—	04-17 20:07
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	04-14 20:54
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$32	41	41	+0	open	—	04-14 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$31	44	44	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 15:52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	3	$31	22	20	+2	Coco Gauff	+$0	05-12 19:19
wta swiatek andreev 2026 04 17	16	$23	18	17	+0	open	—	04-17 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	12	$22	42	40	+2	Down	+$2	05-10 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$19	48	48	+0	open	—	05-24 21:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	05-22 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$17	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$16	80	80	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$15	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 16:11
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	7	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$14	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	11	$13	21	7	+14	Up	$-5	05-10 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$13	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-14 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:14
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$13	15	14	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2,307	6¢	$144	0xc89a2e…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,311	33¢	$438	0x8fc3b8…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2,792	9¢	$251	0x775495…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,616	5¢	$73	0x70a59d…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,162	25¢	$294	0x3566c5…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,018	30¢	$305	0x2f9715…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,021	21¢	$210	0x0c9c59…
06-01 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,242	14¢	$173	0x052a92…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3,045	31¢	$949	0xe4aa40…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2,068	37¢	$766	0xb5f30a…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2,881	44¢	$1,257	0x949304…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,264	22¢	$273	0x667bdd…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,186	18¢	$218	0x420fdc…
06-01 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2,025	26¢	$536	0x02b3ae…
05-31 22:10:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xd53a7f…
05-25 11:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x9eecc4…
05-25 11:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x40dec2…
05-25 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bd344…
05-25 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8bc945…
05-24 21:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xcf9e3f…
05-24 21:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3b845b…
05-24 21:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x40e9f4…
05-24 21:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3b69a9…
05-24 21:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x8e82b6…
05-24 21:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0cacfd…
05-24 21:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xdfb97d…
05-24 21:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6f578c…
05-24 21:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x49b224…
05-24 21:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f7e4c…
05-24 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x99d4ab…
05-24 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x855764…
05-24 21:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x369894…
05-24 21:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x8f205a…
05-24 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e9788…
05-24 21:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf616cc…
05-24 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xddd1cc…
05-24 20:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5f9b2d…
05-24 20:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4db1ec…
05-24 20:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x545dd9…
05-24 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f3943…
05-24 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x68f5f5…
05-24 20:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x248120…
05-23 21:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x5ddd87…
05-23 21:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xae8037…
05-23 21:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x82d4c8…
05-23 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x47e82d…
05-23 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xee3bd2…
05-23 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e6369…
05-23 21:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1382e1…
05-23 21:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5e7103…
05-23 21:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7746fe…
05-23 21:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x94b4b5…
05-23 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x988bc5…
05-23 21:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1219b4…
05-23 21:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x38500c…
05-23 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x28d06c…
05-23 21:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53a353…
05-22 21:06:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xf5d151…
05-17 12:14:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x80de6f…
05-17 10:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb48b85…
05-17 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6bd6e0…
05-17 04:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x12e43d…
05-17 03:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd2e638…
05-17 03:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x84bdf7…
05-17 03:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe4173c…
05-17 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc705ef…
05-17 02:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x521d62…
05-17 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xacdf9c…
05-16 22:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x613b51…
05-16 20:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xd313b5…
05-16 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfb51ce…
05-16 20:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3e2953…
05-16 20:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb9016f…
05-16 18:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcca37c…
05-16 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x631552…
05-16 17:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb08d61…
05-16 17:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0c0360…
05-16 15:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x0029af…
05-16 15:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x555839…
05-16 14:10:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x48f9ac…
05-16 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3f3cfa…
05-16 12:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x74f9ac…
05-16 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2d9eb9…
05-16 12:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x0ba8be…
05-16 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb0e0e4…
05-16 12:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xaa0830…
05-16 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9779b2…
05-16 12:25:09	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xcd1605…
05-16 09:31:48	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x61db08…
05-16 09:30:59	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3b15c8…
05-16 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x68cdb6…
05-16 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x832f2f…
05-16 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc9ba77…
05-16 00:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x227e8b…
05-16 00:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xbe7eff…
05-16 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e229b…
05-15 23:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xcd502f…
05-15 23:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2352f0…
05-15 23:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x5415e2…
05-15 23:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9dc781…