Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$751

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

377

Trades

2,702

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 10-20 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

56% 4% -$461

Politics

33% 5% -$182

Tech

8% 4% -$65

Crypto

3% 12% -$19

Sports

0% 0% -$21

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	5	$605	711	711	+0	open	—	09-27 03:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$575	561	561	+0	open	—	10-06 17:14
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	3	$387	276	276	+0	open	—	09-26 04:54
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	3	$363	252	252	+0	Yes	-$4	10-04 14:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	8	$347	458	458	+0	open	—	10-17 15:54
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	4	$303	185	185	+0	Yes	-$8	10-02 02:18
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	2	$266	200	200	+0	open	—	10-11 12:50
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	2	$226	309	309	+0	open	—	10-01 03:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	10	$225	223	223	+0	open	—	10-14 20:36
Spain snap election called in 2026?	7	$221	167	167	+0	Yes	-$2	10-05 06:40
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$216	248	248	+0	No	-$1	10-05 15:44
Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$192	116	116	+0	Yes	-$3	10-02 13:31
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	6	$178	359	359	+0	No	-$3	10-09 04:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	6	$172	283	283	+0	open	—	10-11 19:10
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	4	$157	150	150	+0	open	—	10-06 04:06
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$155	177	177	+0	Yes	-$3	10-12 02:24
will likud be in the next israeli government	5	$153	186	186	+0	open	—	10-14 23:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	3	$150	126	126	+0	No	-$14	09-22 17:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	9	$143	133	133	+0	No	-$1	10-14 15:45
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	9	$142	146	146	+0	Yes	-$9	10-10 23:46
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	7	$137	90	90	+0	open	—	10-14 21:07
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	2	$135	75	75	+0	No	+$0	10-11 18:30
Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$135	75	75	+0	open	—	10-07 15:33
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$132	80	80	+0	open	—	10-07 11:41
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	4	$124	257	257	+0	open	—	10-12 17:34
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	7	$121	103	103	+0	No	-$2	10-11 06:02
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	3	$121	170	170	+0	open	—	10-07 14:56
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$120	103	103	+0	open	—	10-06 18:35
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	4	$117	216	216	+0	open	—	10-11 06:02
Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	65	65	+0	open	—	10-07 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:14:21	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xff85f1…
10-20 11:14:21	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xe1fe2f…
10-20 11:14:21	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xccd7fb…
10-20 11:14:21	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0xcabf58…
10-20 11:14:21	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x3d41d7…
10-20 11:07:38	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x55e7be…
10-20 10:50:08	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x54bc82…
10-20 10:43:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xc5510c…
10-20 10:40:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1ce19d…
10-20 10:40:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf9a525…
10-20 10:00:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?	Yes	SELL	51	19¢	$10	0x8c2821…
10-20 10:00:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x2f11f1…
10-20 09:55:24	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x6e2704…
10-20 09:54:08	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	61	61¢	$37	0x9e1da9…
10-20 09:49:44	Hotstuff FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x2bca6c…
10-20 09:49:41	Hotstuff FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0xd6a170…
10-20 09:49:41	Hotstuff FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x0035b4…
10-20 09:43:47	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x4106a6…
10-20 09:43:12	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x93566b…
10-20 09:43:12	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7a7d5b…
10-20 09:27:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x87d9e8…
10-20 09:27:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa42a19…
10-20 09:20:20	Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xf9dd5d…
10-20 09:20:17	Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x753ef2…
10-20 09:19:32	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x5c14dc…
10-20 09:00:31	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xd6cc7e…
10-19 03:34:47	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0xf4b188…
10-19 03:34:47	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xced25a…
10-19 03:34:47	Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xc89267…
10-19 03:34:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb9be98…
10-19 03:34:47	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xb15832…
10-19 03:34:47	Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7dfe88…
10-19 03:34:47	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0x37c140…
10-19 03:34:47	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x0be34d…
10-19 03:34:47	Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x09d100…
10-19 03:30:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1ae26b…
10-19 03:12:20	Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x0086fa…
10-19 03:03:33	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x0998a3…
10-19 02:59:54	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x9df38c…
10-19 02:46:21	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x03bb00…
10-19 02:31:17	Will Jesse Eisenberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc0f49e…
10-19 02:31:14	Will Jesse Eisenberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xef5b1c…
10-19 02:15:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x006cb6…
10-19 02:08:38	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5524aa…
10-19 02:06:09	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	29¢	$12	0xa04184…
10-19 01:27:12	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xe10476…
10-19 01:26:59	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x96f2c5…
10-19 01:25:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x4c3a15…
10-19 01:24:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbaf0b3…
10-19 00:59:09	Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd3d5bb…
10-19 00:52:14	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	155	32¢	$50	0x0f7786…
10-19 00:52:12	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	155	33¢	$51	0x713561…
10-19 00:51:24	Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xdcd63d…
10-19 00:51:14	Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9cdab6…
10-19 00:07:29	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x728eb0…
10-19 00:07:26	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x60c14e…
10-19 00:03:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa93cac…
10-19 00:03:02	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x009326…
10-19 00:02:57	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x99a24e…
10-18 23:54:27	Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xfb6c5c…
10-18 23:29:20	ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe531af…
10-18 23:29:14	ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x68981a…
10-18 23:18:57	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf45f17…
10-18 23:18:56	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x79cb99…
10-18 23:11:51	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3f80af…
10-18 23:11:48	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3e7154…
10-18 22:45:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa368b7…
10-18 22:44:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5e3524…
10-18 22:41:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x91d06a…
10-18 22:41:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe38e04…
10-18 22:37:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x13fe52…
10-18 22:36:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x409c0c…
10-18 22:34:30	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x77ca75…
10-18 22:34:26	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xeb767c…
10-17 16:18:06	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xee3168…
10-17 16:18:06	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	46	41¢	$19	0xda27be…
10-17 16:18:06	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd45cd7…
10-17 16:18:06	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xbe25ba…
10-17 16:18:06	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0xa97634…
10-17 16:18:06	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x69de09…
10-17 16:18:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x674023…
10-17 16:18:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x6083d4…
10-17 16:18:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x5bdbb4…
10-17 16:18:06	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2b731e…
10-17 16:08:42	Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xeaf9c7…
10-17 16:08:32	Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x21ee53…
10-17 15:58:57	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x68f4ce…
10-17 15:54:24	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xc529d2…
10-17 15:54:18	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x2d818b…
10-17 15:40:21	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xbc40a5…
10-17 15:31:36	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x8d516a…
10-17 15:25:33	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x674530…
10-17 15:08:27	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	36	82¢	$29	0x7b66f6…
10-17 15:08:24	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x29e5a6…
10-17 15:07:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x140df0…
10-17 15:07:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x827f27…
10-17 14:31:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb15e25…
10-17 14:24:39	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xedc993…
10-17 14:24:36	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe574ef…
10-17 13:58:54	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xbf128c…