Fatal-Wharf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,162

lifetime

Volume

$6.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-30 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 82% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Other

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$242	181	181	+0	open	—	02-19 16:22
btc updown 5m 1771271100	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	02-16 19:50
btc updown 15m 1771596000	9	$154	90	90	+0	open	—	02-20 14:13
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$130	141	141	+0	open	—	02-13 12:22
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$124	66	66	+0	open	—	01-14 13:54
btc updown 15m 1771595100	8	$119	63	63	+0	open	—	02-20 14:00
btc updown 15m 1771584300	4	$108	57	57	+0	open	—	02-20 11:00
btc updown 15m 1771576200	5	$107	60	54	+6	open	—	02-20 08:45
btc updown 5m 1771275600	3	$103	56	52	+4	open	—	02-16 21:05
btc updown 5m 1771274400	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	02-16 20:45
btc updown 15m 1771594200	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	02-20 13:39
btc updown 5m 1771845600	4	$80	46	40	+6	open	—	02-23 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	25	$78	57	56	+1	open	—	04-27 15:25
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	7	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	04-16 17:15
btc updown 5m 1771275900	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	02-16 21:10
btc updown 5m 1771798500	8	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	02-22 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	9	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:26
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 11:26
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?	14	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 15:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 15:31
bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	10	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 15:01
bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	9	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-20 14:52
btc updown 5m 1771964100	7	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	02-24 20:19
ethereum up or down on april 15 2026	4	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 15:23
btc updown 5m 1771875600	8	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	02-23 19:45
btc updown 15m 1771877700	8	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	02-23 20:29
btc updown 5m 1771875900	8	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	02-23 19:50
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	5	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 13:09
btc updown 15m 1771939800	10	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	02-24 13:45
ethereum up or down on april 20 2026	6	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x87096f…
05-26 13:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x324f8a…
05-26 13:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1c74b0…
05-26 08:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd2591f…
05-19 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb21477…
05-19 08:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x559653…
05-16 08:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8d8464…
05-15 10:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1d376c…
05-13 11:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc6c445…
05-13 10:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2e0b78…
05-13 08:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xffb32a…
05-13 07:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xccde8f…
05-12 16:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x389e9f…
05-12 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd8df72…
05-12 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x566fd5…
05-12 11:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc86185…
05-12 11:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbf3d5a…
05-12 10:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x2fc43a…
05-12 09:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xe7f3fd…
05-11 15:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0d5009…
05-11 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x74a7da…
05-11 10:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9d7b43…
05-11 09:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x99de7c…
05-10 15:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddf2ad…
05-10 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6362f7…
05-10 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x558409…
05-10 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7e6e99…
05-10 12:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8c35db…
05-10 11:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9e7cac…
05-10 10:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x0ed799…
05-10 10:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x16af7f…
05-10 09:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e4ea3…
05-07 14:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ca9f8…
05-07 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xbbb11d…
05-07 14:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf71bca…
05-07 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0fbe1…
05-07 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7b9bd5…
05-07 14:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d243b…
05-07 14:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe9e8d8…
05-07 14:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x958cbd…
05-07 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x080b15…
05-07 13:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdf63a4…
05-06 16:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8ac3ba…
05-06 13:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4c9517…
05-06 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x63c9ee…
05-06 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xac4446…
05-06 09:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8fe5f2…
05-05 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc57219…
05-05 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe374da…
05-05 07:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb992aa…
05-04 12:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x80ee07…
05-04 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x06b706…
05-04 08:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf64f84…
05-02 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3d9340…
05-02 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe17acc…
05-02 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x17edda…
05-02 14:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1ce3d9…
05-02 13:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3a1caa…
05-02 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3099f4…
05-02 10:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6defaa…
04-30 15:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8f011e…
04-30 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xce7169…
04-29 15:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xb8b75f…
04-29 15:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdfce0a…
04-28 19:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9b79b5…
04-28 17:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xb1dbaf…
04-28 15:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x174809…
04-28 13:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xd4f191…
04-28 13:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf060c7…
04-28 13:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4ce935…
04-28 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x417c80…
04-28 10:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x77d1e3…
04-28 07:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x166443…
04-27 15:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8fda2f…
04-27 13:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcf9374…
04-27 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3a0d94…
04-27 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x694eae…
04-27 13:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x94e368…
04-27 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa4596b…
04-27 13:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x4a89ff…
04-27 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x530358…
04-27 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x864377…
04-27 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x37abfe…
04-27 13:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xf1292f…
04-27 13:40:40	Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x28623b…
04-27 12:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xac2233…
04-27 09:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xcc656e…
04-27 09:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x502bc2…
04-27 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x887180…
04-27 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x810f53…
04-27 07:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x992bb0…
04-27 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x7f754c…
04-27 07:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x232cd7…
04-27 06:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x91f30c…
04-26 22:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1e21f7…
04-26 22:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x138eaf…
04-26 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a8250…
04-26 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xce604a…
04-26 22:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc1425…
04-26 21:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x05e85a…