Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$495

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

547

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$9.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-27 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

56% 29% -$181

Politics

42% 57% +$704

Sports

2% 36% -$15

Crypto

0% 50% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	6	$1.5K	1,619	1,619	+0	Yes	+$1,126	10-25 23:11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$1.2K	1,720	1,720	+0	Yes	-$371	10-24 03:22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	4	$172	102	102	+0	Yes	+$10	06-29 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	2	$163	100	100	+0	Yes	+$37	07-01 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?	2	$151	136	136	+0	Yes	+$121	06-28 12:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	23	$123	182	182	+0	No	+$14	06-30 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	2	$109	104	104	+0	Yes	+$99	06-26 10:11
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$101	58	58	+0	No	-$1	06-02 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 29?	3	$86	68	68	+0	Yes	+$50	06-29 10:36
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$86	2,130	2,130	+0	No	+$26	06-10 16:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	2	$82	260	0	+260	No	-$82	10-24 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	7	$75	75	75	+0	Yes	+$47	06-28 12:05
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	7	$70	74	74	+0	No	-$35	06-30 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?	4	$70	50	50	+0	Yes	+$26	07-12 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?	2	$69	54	54	+0	Yes	+$36	07-07 17:28
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	5	$64	31	51	-20	Yes	+$5	06-29 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?	3	$59	40	40	-0	Yes	+$20	06-29 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	2	$58	38	38	+0	Yes	+$19	07-06 21:11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$57	44	44	+0	Yes	+$9	06-08 10:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	8	$54	79	79	+0	No	-$12	06-30 19:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$53	231	231	+0	Yes	-$7	05-25 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?	2	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$28	07-01 09:11
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$52	35	35	+0	Yes	+$12	06-24 20:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$49	100	100	+0	No	-$2	06-30 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?	5	$49	145	0	+145	No	-$49	06-30 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?	3	$49	40	40	+0	No	+$26	06-29 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	2	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$12	07-01 19:13
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$46	32	32	+0	Yes	+$17	06-13 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?	3	$45	33	33	+0	Yes	+$21	07-08 09:05
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$44	99	99	+0	No	+$2	06-10 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe2d992…
10-27 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8f8650…
10-27 15:38:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x6b2d25…
10-25 23:11:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,619	82¢	$1,323	0x38ae7a…
10-24 03:23:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xc3180f…
10-24 03:22:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	21¢	$63	0xa6e197…
10-24 00:58:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xa167c6…
10-21 21:50:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x091127…
10-20 19:48:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc9aa85…
10-14 18:39:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x307a27…
10-14 17:58:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	169	13¢	$22	0xf5d8d3…
10-14 17:47:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	107	13¢	$14	0x138094…
10-14 17:47:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	281	13¢	$36	0x888011…
10-09 02:56:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	790	12¢	$95	0x136af5…
10-09 02:55:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	272	11¢	$30	0x46e3e6…
10-09 02:55:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xffb3bc…
09-04 14:17:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb16d10…
08-31 22:48:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	700	56¢	$392	0x6bc820…
08-31 22:16:00	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0xd55f55…
08-31 22:15:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x5b4b21…
08-11 22:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xb08466…
08-06 15:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xde818d…
08-06 13:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x05e8ea…
07-27 14:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1f5e9f…
07-27 14:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe1e6cc…
07-27 13:52:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x03c825…
07-27 13:51:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4c2dee…
07-27 13:51:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x4c92d1…
07-27 13:50:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xd6bc9c…
07-27 11:03:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe06e6c…
07-27 11:01:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x50392c…
07-27 11:01:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0xa3cb34…
07-26 01:55:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8f2591…
07-24 19:19:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x842769…
07-24 19:18:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x96e532…
07-22 15:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	114	15¢	$17	0x2f201a…
07-22 15:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x19700d…
07-22 15:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe57d6c…
07-22 15:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x1bdca8…
07-22 15:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xa147f3…
07-22 15:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x7fb1ee…
07-22 15:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0x48acc8…
07-22 15:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0x336192…
07-22 15:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe27575…
07-22 15:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xeead5b…
07-22 15:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x4fb892…
07-22 14:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	73	13¢	$9	0xed466a…
07-22 14:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x53ed67…
07-22 14:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x3ebd9c…
07-22 14:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0xc7f1ae…
07-22 14:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x4335ac…
07-22 14:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x657edd…
07-22 14:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x005511…
07-22 14:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x52be81…
07-13 01:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4142a8…
07-13 01:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x5654e7…
07-13 01:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x54e997…
07-13 01:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0c8f95…
07-13 01:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xbd130a…
07-13 01:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9241a2…
07-13 01:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb6d9ba…
07-13 01:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xa1c538…
07-13 01:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x3f65d8…
07-13 01:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xbdcae0…
07-13 01:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xd0af77…
07-12 19:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x615d6c…
07-12 16:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf536cb…
07-12 16:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf03d82…
07-12 12:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x5d961f…
07-12 12:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x69dde4…
07-12 03:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x624055…
07-12 03:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xdc35e5…
07-12 03:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x458ec0…
07-12 03:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa1895e…
07-12 03:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xca965f…
07-12 03:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x17290f…
07-12 03:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x515fd2…
07-12 03:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xad83df…
07-12 03:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xc165f1…
07-12 03:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x30aae8…
07-11 17:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3adf4a…
07-10 22:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x516338…
07-10 22:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xcf974b…
07-10 22:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x1fe8b2…
07-10 22:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc288e0…
07-10 21:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcda3fd…
07-10 21:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5f816d…
07-10 21:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xb955e5…
07-10 21:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xf5fdf0…
07-10 21:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x98eead…
07-10 16:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	108	4¢	$5	0xf9a1ee…
07-10 14:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x911939…
07-10 13:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$4	0x493f69…
07-10 13:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x5ea144…
07-10 13:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x837671…
07-10 13:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x1986c8…
07-10 13:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x8b08ee…
07-09 02:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa4468f…
07-09 02:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x0d8b29…
07-09 02:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xfb3e72…