Mellow-Party — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

153

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$876

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-23 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

95% 40% -$27

Crypto

3% 44% -$1

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	5	$35	39	39	+0	No	-$15	06-05 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	6	$25	31	31	+0	Yes	-$9	06-05 16:06
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	2	$24	14	14	+0	Under	+$4	06-14 00:25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	3	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	-$4	06-18 20:17
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 19:15
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	4	$19	29	11	+19	No	-$11	10-14 13:36
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	4	$19	16	16	+0	Under	-$1	06-14 00:31
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$18	17	17	+0	No	-$2	06-13 22:15
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	2	$17	17	17	+0	Under	-$3	06-12 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	10-14 09:01
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	2	$15	10	10	+0	Over	+$5	06-17 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-04 14:29
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	2	$14	8	8	+0	Over	+$2	06-14 19:01
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-17 19:15
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	2	$14	9	9	+0	Over	+$4	06-16 21:09
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	2	$13	8	8	+0	Over	+$3	06-16 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	10-03 13:29
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-16 21:09
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	2	$12	17	17	+0	Under	-$8	06-23 21:18
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	2	$12	18	0	+18	Under	+$6	06-14 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	3	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 11:57
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 16c	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	04-06 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	6	$10	38	38	+0	No	-$8	10-06 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?	3	$10	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	10-03 20:37
highest temperature in milan on april 7 2026 25c	3	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	10-06 07:53
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	2	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	10-14 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	10-06 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0a36ca…
10-23 03:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x705225…
10-16 22:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x42a13a…
10-16 22:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x508912…
10-14 13:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcf97c2…
10-14 13:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x6d27e3…
10-14 12:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7f3a60…
10-14 12:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xb2d5c0…
10-14 09:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4f465d…
10-14 09:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x25de13…
10-14 09:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xab5bf0…
10-13 23:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x582b6f…
10-06 18:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xfba116…
10-06 17:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xecc8f3…
10-06 17:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x5dc2ca…
10-06 17:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x0d4654…
10-06 16:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6b031c…
10-06 16:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xaee51c…
10-06 16:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf272fe…
10-06 14:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x2cf455…
10-06 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xf91ec5…
10-06 09:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc155c5…
10-06 09:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7c1c48…
10-06 07:57:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe4fdb7…
10-06 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf8ca82…
10-06 07:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x76d544…
10-06 07:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x2612f5…
10-05 20:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x733550…
10-05 20:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc92ae5…
10-05 20:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1f6be6…
10-05 20:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x405e1f…
10-05 20:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaa4a91…
10-05 20:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x483f69…
10-05 20:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4244d7…
10-05 11:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xedcfe3…
10-05 11:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d10b3…
10-05 06:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x985610…
10-04 20:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9eb5ae…
10-04 20:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8f8f4e…
10-04 20:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0ecfc7…
10-04 16:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa7ccbb…
10-04 14:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcccea6…
10-03 23:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x428cde…
10-03 23:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x471a99…
10-03 21:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5bc402…
10-03 20:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x313291…
10-03 20:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd45a63…
10-03 20:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x509c77…
10-03 16:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xd3516d…
10-03 15:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x71dbb1…
10-03 13:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x59d789…
10-03 13:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd92cb5…
10-03 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x04a29a…
10-03 13:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x768d9f…
10-02 10:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x691dd0…
10-02 10:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5a1588…
09-30 16:39:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb5f3a6…
09-30 13:19:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xbc393c…
09-29 15:40:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x94b910…
09-29 09:46:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x164c89…
09-28 23:57:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc1cdda…
09-28 23:57:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0242f6…
09-21 10:18:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3bb5a4…
06-23 21:18:04	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xb4aa30…
06-23 20:44:25	England leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x1b4848…
06-23 20:09:02	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8c21ca…
06-23 20:03:56	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xedf3fc…
06-23 20:02:31	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf07b01…
06-21 22:03:28	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0c53e5…
06-21 22:03:13	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa4c453…
06-20 21:57:49	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xb027e6…
06-20 21:26:28	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf38e07…
06-18 23:32:26	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1c89fd…
06-18 20:56:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfc9981…
06-18 20:18:02	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x0c41ea…
06-18 20:17:50	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xf8336a…
06-18 19:06:23	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xef34b3…
06-18 19:06:23	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x8186dd…
06-18 18:21:14	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xdb6863…
06-18 00:10:02	Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5c84a7…
06-17 23:48:38	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf53749…
06-17 23:48:11	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x375a40…
06-17 22:48:17	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x30093e…
06-17 22:47:59	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5f72a3…
06-17 22:47:20	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x974f73…
06-17 22:46:31	Ghana to score first vs. Panama?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x54539a…
06-17 22:02:04	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd61f77…
06-17 22:01:59	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 second half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdd355…
06-17 22:01:53	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf27bb7…
06-17 20:57:43	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts second half	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xcaad45…
06-17 20:56:19	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfadc0f…
06-17 20:44:16	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdcfeea…
06-17 19:27:52	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x29129a…
06-17 19:27:16	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa18f2…
06-17 19:15:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xc92235…
06-17 19:15:26	Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xed9d75…
06-17 17:22:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x61e041…
06-17 16:43:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa05b2a…
06-17 16:20:04	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa1693c…
06-17 16:13:04	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd8f28f…