Mellow-Party — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

200

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-14 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

64% 39% -$30

Crypto

32% 60% +$27

Politics

3% 0% -$46

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 14?	Yes		+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-13 21:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	5	$46	224	0	+224	No	-$46	11-01 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	5	$35	39	39	+0	No	-$15	06-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$26	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	11-14 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	6	$25	31	31	+0	Yes	-$9	06-05 16:06
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	2	$24	14	14	+0	Under	+$4	06-14 00:25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	3	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	-$4	06-18 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$8	11-14 00:31
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 19:15
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$6	11-13 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	11-13 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	4	$19	29	11	+19	No	-$11	10-14 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$19	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	11-14 00:51
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	4	$19	16	16	+0	Under	-$1	06-14 00:31
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$18	17	17	+0	No	-$2	06-13 22:15
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	2	$17	17	17	+0	Under	-$3	06-12 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	10-14 09:01
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	2	$15	10	10	+0	Over	+$5	06-17 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	11-14 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$15	21	21	+0	Up	-$5	11-14 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	11-13 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	11-13 21:33
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	2	$14	8	8	+0	Over	+$2	06-14 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	11-14 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 11?	3	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	11-11 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	11-14 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	11-14 00:28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-17 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	11-14 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xd9a14c…
11-14 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x534c01…
11-14 01:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0b0126…
11-14 01:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x27076e…
11-14 01:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x90807c…
11-14 01:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf1614b…
11-14 01:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x5745a3…
11-14 01:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2f7164…
11-14 00:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xadd478…
11-14 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc3e88c…
11-14 00:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1af52…
11-14 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x8a6859…
11-14 00:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x086fdc…
11-14 00:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x218ac0…
11-14 00:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x908979…
11-14 00:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x496e42…
11-14 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf842ae…
11-14 00:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x40a5de…
11-14 00:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdcf9be…
11-14 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaf7e00…
11-14 00:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x442dc2…
11-14 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbff98c…
11-14 00:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xc68b6c…
11-14 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc07e70…
11-14 00:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xee15fb…
11-14 00:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x9a706e…
11-14 00:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4f3dc3…
11-14 00:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd85d44…
11-14 00:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x4760f1…
11-14 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb64972…
11-14 00:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xab16c7…
11-14 00:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xdc93ce…
11-14 00:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x83d026…
11-14 00:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xa288a3…
11-14 00:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa020f9…
11-14 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4bf901…
11-14 00:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x669fe4…
11-14 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd362eb…
11-14 00:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe26c22…
11-14 00:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfa1daa…
11-14 00:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44c2db…
11-14 00:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa091c…
11-14 00:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5ea311…
11-14 00:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x1f98bc…
11-13 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcde076…
11-13 23:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc3e986…
11-13 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf1c0a7…
11-13 23:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xe10d45…
11-13 23:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xab590d…
11-13 23:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5223c6…
11-13 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x86e0dc…
11-13 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xb1ed5b…
11-13 23:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe80e35…
11-13 23:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0bef59…
11-13 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf5bd30…
11-13 23:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc7ef40…
11-13 23:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x876efd…
11-13 23:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8eeab8…
11-13 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdc972e…
11-13 23:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x5a0142…
11-13 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x28403a…
11-13 23:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x811d83…
11-13 23:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xc8e72a…
11-13 23:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xe6dd6f…
11-13 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d9d76…
11-13 23:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x081fb7…
11-13 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x88dd66…
11-13 23:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x250874…
11-13 23:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x4aba9e…
11-13 23:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x293320…
11-13 23:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdb487d…
11-13 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xcb6d4c…
11-13 23:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x888baf…
11-13 22:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xd7d87e…
11-13 22:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x128796…
11-13 22:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x639607…
11-13 22:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x859c4a…
11-13 22:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4f2082…
11-13 22:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x72b583…
11-13 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b04cf…
11-13 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xa446f3…
11-13 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x00c7af…
11-13 22:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xbb94c7…
11-13 22:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x57fed1…
11-13 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0xb5ff14…
11-13 22:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xedaf42…
11-13 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xd52651…
11-13 22:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x8fef75…
11-13 22:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x135bd3…
11-13 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcdab00…
11-13 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdb26d0…
11-13 21:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5221d4…
11-13 21:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x20c95a…
11-13 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x0ae1fb…
11-13 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x1d4552…
11-13 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x191a43…
11-13 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa59507…
11-13 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2507a0…
11-13 21:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x94c435…
11-13 21:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x184225…