Elastic-Curry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

5,519

Trades

11,351

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-04 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% +$1,881

Other

1% 16% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	26	$149	240	173	+67	Up	+$4	09-21 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	20	$130	180	180	+0	Up	+$20	09-21 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$95	120	120	+0	Up	+$22	09-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	14	$91	120	120	+0	Up	+$14	09-11 17:42
highest temperature in taipei on march 25 2026 24c	5	$76	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	03-25 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 09:55 UTC	4	$70	90	90	+0	Down	+$15	09-20 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	10	$70	85	85	+0	Down	+$14	06-25 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	17	$67	120	120	+0	Up	-$5	09-21 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:20 UTC	6	$66	90	90	+0	Up	+$11	09-24 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:20 UTC	8	$66	85	85	+0	Up	+$10	07-01 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:50 UTC	11	$63	120	120	+0	Down	-$11	09-20 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 17:30 UTC	2	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$40	08-29 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 15:05 UTC	9	$56	85	85	+0	Down	+$0	07-05 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 22:50 UTC	8	$55	85	85	+0	Up	-$1	06-24 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	3	$55	90	90	+0	Up	-$1	09-26 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$53	60	60	+0	Down	+$16	09-18 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$52	60	60	+0	Down	+$15	09-19 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	8	$52	60	60	+0	Up	+$14	09-11 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:05 UTC	3	$52	90	90	+0	Down	-$3	09-25 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 09:50 UTC	8	$52	85	85	+0	Up	-$4	07-18 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	8	$52	85	85	+0	Down	-$4	07-18 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:35 UTC	12	$51	60	60	+0	Down	+$9	07-17 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:35 UTC	3	$51	90	90	+0	Down	-$4	09-21 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$51	60	60	+0	Up	+$14	09-23 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:10 UTC	8	$51	85	85	+0	Up	-$5	07-18 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	15	$50	60	60	+0	Up	+$12	09-09 20:30
highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 24c	2	$49	50	50	+0	Yes	+$49	03-23 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	5	$49	60	60	+0	Down	+$11	09-13 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	6	$49	60	60	+0	Up	+$10	09-10 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$49	60	60	+0	Up	+$10	09-10 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 12:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6a2de0…
10-04 12:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x68e5be…
10-04 12:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcafae0…
10-04 12:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf21bd3…
10-04 12:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8a668e…
10-04 12:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x601c48…
10-04 11:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x34f8a7…
10-04 11:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9e41af…
10-04 11:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2337fb…
10-04 11:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x069bc7…
10-04 11:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xac6deb…
10-04 11:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0db0ec…
10-04 11:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3b8175…
10-04 11:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xa84cd0…
10-04 11:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x09753d…
10-04 11:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdfd0bd…
10-04 11:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6f5c52…
10-04 11:01:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x483ab0…
10-04 10:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x9a7400…
10-04 10:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x89080f…
10-04 10:47:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf38dcf…
10-04 10:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa27508…
10-04 10:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x224442…
10-04 10:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa4ae9f…
10-04 10:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xee5b29…
10-04 10:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xae38df…
10-04 10:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa7f2aa…
10-04 10:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd672bf…
10-04 10:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xbf3963…
10-04 09:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc58a2a…
10-04 09:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x818b68…
10-04 09:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb51011…
10-04 09:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x966e93…
10-04 09:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc2500b…
10-04 09:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xa2d009…
10-04 09:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x46838c…
10-04 09:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x39665f…
10-04 09:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x61d898…
10-04 09:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x9d2535…
10-04 09:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x105bb7…
10-04 09:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8834e6…
10-04 09:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa66b35…
10-04 08:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa14041…
10-04 08:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbc1e6a…
10-04 08:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2fe315…
10-04 08:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc1d336…
10-04 08:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x5b95d8…
10-04 08:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa32db4…
10-04 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9400f2…
10-04 08:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x511b6e…
10-04 08:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4fd42e…
10-04 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6906c8…
10-04 08:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xeae166…
10-04 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x924936…
10-04 07:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4227db…
10-04 07:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf7d2c3…
10-04 07:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x930a7d…
10-04 07:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x88d56b…
10-04 07:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd8cbdd…
10-04 07:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d37f3…
10-04 07:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe56069…
10-04 07:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x59d555…
10-04 07:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa6f7f…
10-04 07:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x49eeef…
10-04 07:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x324cad…
10-04 07:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0341a5…
10-04 06:57:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9f2b67…
10-04 06:51:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd3cecf…
10-04 06:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x181cad…
10-04 06:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd65ea0…
10-04 06:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x866ac8…
10-04 06:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf639f2…
10-04 06:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe609bb…
10-04 06:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x279120…
10-04 06:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc041f2…
10-04 06:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7202a7…
10-04 06:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0e6ba5…
10-04 06:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd8d5c7…
10-04 05:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x31e54f…
10-04 05:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfb5bfe…
10-04 05:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x9a28d2…
10-04 05:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7f2dd6…
10-04 05:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3e9d35…
10-04 05:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x887623…
10-04 05:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x153a11…
10-04 05:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7b4951…
10-04 05:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4564fc…
10-04 05:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc56351…
10-04 05:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5aa1b6…
10-04 05:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4fdba1…
10-04 04:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbc63f0…
10-04 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc6e44f…
10-04 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6fc13e…
10-04 04:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbdcaf6…
10-04 04:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3ea235…
10-04 04:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x23cd34…
10-04 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x25c2c4…
10-04 04:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf07c65…
10-04 04:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x15764e…
10-04 04:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3f776e…