Live-Pusher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-10 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% $-64

Other

1% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$277	179	179	+0	open	—	05-02 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$270	171	171	+0	open	—	05-02 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$243	144	144	+0	open	—	05-02 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$236	137	137	+0	open	—	05-03 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$230	132	132	+0	open	—	05-03 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$216	117	117	+0	open	—	05-02 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	05-03 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$200	449	0	+449	open	—	05-03 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$96	139	0	+139	open	—	05-03 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$86	56	56	+0	Down	+$26	05-08 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$84	44	44	+0	Up	+$4	05-04 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$82	53	53	+0	Down	+$22	05-06 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	05-04 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	7	$77	45	45	+0	open	—	05-04 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$63	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$57	31	31	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$45	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$43	62	0	+62	Up	$-43	05-10 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$40	89	0	+89	Up	$-40	05-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$40	53	0	+53	Up	$-40	05-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-01 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 11:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$19	125	125	+0	open	—	05-05 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x6c762a…
05-10 16:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0xe3377f…
05-09 18:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf02292…
05-09 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0xeedf9d…
05-09 18:32:53	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0xbdef49…
05-08 16:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x5dfb32…
05-08 16:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xb05064…
05-08 15:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xb8ebf4…
05-06 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x43caa2…
05-06 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xcb536a…
05-06 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xaabefc…
05-06 16:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x4a7c9d…
05-06 04:47:16	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xcbb5c8…
05-05 12:05:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0xc57e59…
05-04 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xff1c84…
05-04 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x14820f…
05-04 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x21f378…
05-04 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa7c385…
05-04 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf4733b…
05-04 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x759e58…
05-04 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x74522c…
05-04 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6a5cc1…
05-04 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2862b6…
05-04 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd864d8…
05-04 16:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x509945…
05-04 16:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc5a8c8…
05-04 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x64de7b…
05-04 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0xd1fc0b…
05-04 14:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x281a22…
05-04 14:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x95800b…
05-04 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf4e34c…
05-04 12:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc59096…
05-04 11:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x8e4f07…
05-04 11:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xa6e672…
05-03 17:38:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa1b470…
05-03 11:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x6abff1…
05-03 11:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdf58d2…
05-03 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5dd2ba…
05-03 10:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd319db…
05-03 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x574791…
05-03 09:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe322cd…
05-03 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xe739be…
05-03 07:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xe64795…
05-03 07:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf88761…
05-03 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x32b825…
05-03 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xde7ca0…
05-03 06:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	139	69¢	$96	0x810496…
05-03 06:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0xd9cb3e…
05-03 06:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1ab9c8…
05-03 06:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x89cf2c…
05-03 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x8e9760…
05-03 05:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x052c1f…
05-03 05:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xfaddd9…
05-03 05:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xf66e85…
05-03 05:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8184e0…
05-02 21:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x0429f9…
05-02 21:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x784680…
05-02 20:46:24	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x6f705b…
05-02 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x96dd6d…
05-02 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x5c22e9…
05-02 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x2851b6…
05-02 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xc1da26…
05-02 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	171	99¢	$170	0xa4b70c…
05-02 17:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0xe0f4e7…
05-02 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x213298…
05-02 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdf0cc4…
05-02 16:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb673d9…
05-02 16:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x5edfb8…
05-01 07:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xaac941…
05-01 07:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x093005…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	34	$50.7K	3,317	05-10 16:15
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	34	$34.7K	1,553	05-10 16:15
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	34	$19.3K	1,711	05-10 16:14
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	34	$9.48K	378	05-10 16:12
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	34	$9.29K	330	05-10 16:12
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	34	$8.65K	2,964	05-10 16:14
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	34	$7.80K	2,838	05-10 16:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	34	$7.70K	2,729	05-10 16:14