Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

-$156

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$198

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

86% 26% -$702

Other

14% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes		+1,729	$193	8¢	$138	-$54	10-13 21:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+1,500	$162	4¢	$60	-$102	10-24 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$378	5,600	5,600	+0	No	+$208	05-07 20:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	21	$374	10,833	10,833	+0	open	—	10-27 20:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	14	$217	6,071	6,071	+0	Yes	+$17	10-24 14:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$193	13,698	0	+13,698	No	-$193	06-30 02:36
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	9	$193	1,729	0	+1,729	open	—	10-13 21:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	12	$191	5,071	1,125	+3,946	No	-$63	05-07 22:23
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	28	$169	1,824	555	+1,269	No	-$24	03-26 07:18
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	40	$168	3,219	3,219	+0	Yes	-$120	04-13 18:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	5	$162	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$57	05-21 18:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$162	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-24 16:37
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$127	3,147	0	+3,147	Yes	-$127	04-12 18:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$101	177	177	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 08:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$100	714	714	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 04:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	11	$87	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	-$87	04-17 22:42
will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	15	$80	9,999	6,608	+3,391	No	-$67	04-18 09:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	7	$77	3,237	3,237	+0	Yes	-$51	10-17 20:05
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	8	$70	1,945	1,945	+0	Yes	-$43	10-15 20:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	23	$67	1,794	1,794	+0	No	+$13	04-27 17:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	3	$52	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$44	10-12 20:27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$50	3,150	0	+3,150	Yes	-$50	04-21 04:15
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?	2	$50	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$50	06-13 18:45
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$50	333	0	+333	Yes	-$50	06-15 13:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$22	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 21:54
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	5	$14	461	0	+461	No	-$14	07-06 21:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$12	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$2	04-30 21:53
will donald trump say dictator at least three times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	2	$11	33	33	+0	Yes	-$9	01-03 17:09
will donald trump say venezuela at least ten times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 118	2	$11	91	91	+0	Yes	-$9	01-03 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:20:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	4,640	0¢	$19	0xf738b1…
10-27 20:19:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	5,360	1¢	$33	0x586e81…
10-27 16:27:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,544	1¢	$15	0x56d1ba…
10-27 15:35:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xc35b57…
10-27 15:27:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x287ce1…
10-27 15:26:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0xea6c58…
10-27 15:23:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	805	1¢	$8	0xf02ae1…
10-27 14:55:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x4d36aa…
10-27 14:25:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x1295db…
10-27 14:08:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb33cc6…
10-27 14:07:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x50a561…
10-27 14:07:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	2,347	1¢	$23	0xc50dab…
10-26 23:17:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	2,410	2¢	$53	0x11c326…
10-26 03:08:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,666	3¢	$50	0x1ba9f0…
10-26 00:03:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	717	6¢	$43	0x275ca1…
10-25 21:57:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	446	9¢	$40	0x3c918f…
10-25 21:52:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0x32eef3…
10-25 21:51:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xca42b7…
10-25 21:42:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xdc32ca…
10-25 21:32:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xf99776…
10-25 05:31:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0xed8e71…
10-24 16:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xb823fe…
10-24 14:45:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	5,365	2¢	$102	0x9a520c…
10-24 11:28:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	447	2¢	$10	0x1699c2…
10-24 10:29:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	192	1¢	$3	0x1ae5fe…
10-24 10:22:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	3,379	1¢	$47	0x9b1b79…
10-24 09:51:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x53120a…
10-24 09:51:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	186	2¢	$4	0xf0107e…
10-24 09:51:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x7d9b95…
10-24 04:18:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	759	2¢	$15	0x1f6cd7…
10-24 04:00:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa4b753…
10-24 03:59:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x982a13…
10-24 02:32:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x741ea1…
10-24 01:59:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x75e06e…
10-24 01:28:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	884	2¢	$18	0x22e8c5…
10-24 01:28:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	768	2¢	$15	0xed42c7…
10-22 15:07:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	412	7¢	$29	0x058f5a…
10-18 22:23:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4fbb47…
10-17 20:05:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	3,237	0¢	$13	0x3026cc…
10-16 06:27:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,237	1¢	$14	0x3860a9…
10-16 04:21:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	474	2¢	$12	0x247a4c…
10-16 03:47:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd668d2…
10-16 03:14:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x7d32f0…
10-16 02:34:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,274	2¢	$32	0xed819b…
10-16 02:34:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x416293…
10-15 20:12:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	SELL	374	1¢	$3	0x9b7bd7…
10-15 20:07:38	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x914a98…
10-15 20:04:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	SELL	1,429	1¢	$10	0x8e837a…
10-14 22:51:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5e347f…
10-14 22:48:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xc7d7b4…
10-14 22:08:57	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0xacd4cc…
10-13 21:31:22	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	8¢	$6	0x830dda…
10-13 05:58:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x58b04b…
10-13 05:54:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,666	3¢	$50	0x850348…
10-12 20:27:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	SELL	1,287	0¢	$3	0x1ae1f3…
10-12 20:20:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	SELL	213	1¢	$1	0xc044c0…
10-11 18:13:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	1,500	3¢	$48	0xc8650a…
10-11 05:30:41	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x8a8be2…
10-09 22:19:41	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x0106c4…
10-09 19:30:44	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	739	8¢	$59	0x7c19a9…
10-09 19:30:44	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x2e5008…
10-05 04:34:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3f5af7…
10-05 04:15:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	72	17¢	$12	0xd93517…
10-05 04:07:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	181	17¢	$31	0x8239bb…
10-05 03:58:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x87cb2b…
10-05 03:44:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	17¢	$18	0x7213ec…
10-05 03:25:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x9f2774…
10-05 03:24:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xa01e5b…
10-05 03:19:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x308a09…
10-05 03:18:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6e771f…
10-05 03:17:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xc3ec3c…
10-05 03:17:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xfb614a…
10-05 03:17:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xbabf0b…
10-05 03:16:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x368c56…
10-05 02:47:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd61c44…
07-21 19:34:03	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xc8cc28…
07-17 18:04:42	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	529	13¢	$69	0xa8a98a…
07-06 21:33:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x6ad459…
07-06 21:33:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x556b4d…
07-06 21:33:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x518ee5…
07-06 09:26:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x9d4874…
07-06 08:22:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	218	3¢	$7	0x844a35…
06-30 02:36:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x08ab37…
06-30 02:13:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe97e20…
06-29 22:12:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,557	0¢	$15	0x0b3bb6…
06-27 18:55:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	377	1¢	$5	0xfbfe3b…
06-27 18:54:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	923	1¢	$13	0x008ea5…
06-24 05:22:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,791	2¢	$39	0x6dd9e9…
06-22 17:04:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x57a049…
06-22 16:54:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	399	2¢	$9	0x24d7dd…
06-21 05:05:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,555	3¢	$50	0x3c562b…
06-16 15:51:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	296	4¢	$10	0x680f5e…
06-15 13:32:21	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xce72b7…
06-15 04:17:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	714	7¢	$50	0x2be3ad…
06-14 22:56:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x29c8e9…
06-14 21:07:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xcf7851…
06-13 18:45:18	Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,471	1¢	$35	0xcb2e79…
06-13 18:44:49	Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,529	1¢	$15	0xc34235…
05-31 20:26:53	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	17¢	$30	0x376545…
05-30 17:58:58	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	17¢	$21	0x930c24…