Spiffy-Butter-Rocketship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$875

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

274

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$74

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-19 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

84% 36% -$442

Sports

10% 67% -$91

Politics

3% 12% -$114

Crypto

3% 41% -$228

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+179	$50	34¢	$62	+$12	10-19 14:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+37	$10	28¢	$10	+$0	10-19 14:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+12	$2	18¢	$2	+$0	06-06 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$252	5,556	4,531	+1,025	No	+$52	07-07 16:26
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$208	4,921	4,921	+0	No	+$8	07-07 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?	2	$193	173	173	+0	Yes	+$143	07-09 07:32
atp grieksp shimabu 2026 06 15	4	$175	217	217	+0	Sho Shimabukuro	+$35	06-16 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?	2	$170	147	147	+0	Yes	+$120	06-26 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 7?	2	$151	154	154	+0	Yes	+$101	07-07 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	2	$131	107	107	+0	Yes	+$81	06-23 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$130	804	0	+804	Down	-$130	05-15 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 9?	2	$126	109	109	+0	Yes	+$76	07-09 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 8?	2	$120	105	105	+0	Yes	+$86	07-08 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?	2	$119	96	96	+0	Yes	+$69	07-09 14:12
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron	4	$112	155	155	+0	Rinky Hijikata	+$32	06-14 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 11?	2	$111	86	86	+0	Yes	+$61	07-11 10:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	2	$107	83	83	+0	Yes	+$57	06-20 16:36
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$106	625	625	+0	No	+$6	06-17 06:23
atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	24	$101	86	86	+0	Jan Kumstat	-$1	08-01 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 5?	2	$101	76	76	+0	Yes	+$51	07-05 23:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?	2	$100	76	76	+0	Yes	+$50	07-07 16:18
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$100	06-12 14:10
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$100	06-12 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?	2	$99	77	77	+0	Yes	+$49	07-11 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?	2	$98	74	74	+0	Yes	+$48	07-11 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	2	$97	78	78	+0	Yes	+$57	06-22 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?	2	$95	72	72	+0	Yes	+$45	07-11 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?	2	$94	69	69	+0	Yes	+$44	06-22 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?	2	$92	68	68	+0	Yes	+$43	06-19 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 27?	2	$92	69	69	+0	Yes	+$42	06-27 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 9?	2	$91	77	77	+0	Yes	+$41	07-09 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 22?	2	$89	65	65	+0	Yes	+$39	06-22 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 23?	2	$89	64	64	+0	Yes	+$39	06-23 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 14:22:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x99499a…
10-19 14:16:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x024f5a…
10-14 12:30:33	will iran target iraq by october 15 2026 20261005	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x9e95da…
08-03 12:39:23	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xad8abc…
08-03 12:37:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	993	3¢	$25	0x672969…
08-01 16:24:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x284e7f…
08-01 16:22:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xda0ea6…
08-01 15:47:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x22c4fa…
08-01 15:38:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x898a16…
08-01 15:17:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x3483dc…
08-01 15:12:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc6a8ba…
08-01 14:41:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xee0247…
08-01 14:41:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x77806a…
08-01 13:38:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x5a938e…
08-01 13:38:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x2ace99…
08-01 13:16:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x569a48…
08-01 13:06:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe884d1…
08-01 11:44:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x83baf9…
08-01 11:36:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xc6ee06…
08-01 11:14:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xbc3fc2…
08-01 11:03:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xc36652…
08-01 10:45:17	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xce5d8e…
08-01 10:45:02	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x75cd61…
08-01 10:44:50	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd7cb52…
08-01 10:44:50	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x9cbb39…
08-01 10:43:21	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0088b9…
08-01 10:42:44	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xc57465…
08-01 10:42:21	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe6a52a…
08-01 10:41:50	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x687c82…
08-01 10:41:44	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xf95dbf…
08-01 10:40:42	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x5928cf…
08-01 10:40:00	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x328112…
08-01 10:38:59	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x013235…
08-01 10:38:44	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4a389f…
08-01 10:30:08	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x444468…
08-01 10:29:11	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5557b5…
08-01 10:28:45	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xc3a9e3…
08-01 10:19:50	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x56f353…
08-01 10:17:44	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xda1620…
08-01 10:17:18	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x79f272…
08-01 10:06:05	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x60fe82…
08-01 10:06:00	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xa530c2…
08-01 10:03:35	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfdecfd…
08-01 10:01:15	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1b05c3…
08-01 10:01:15	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x1164a8…
07-31 16:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xa27a9c…
07-31 16:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3c0b9c…
07-19 09:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5,660	0¢	$10	0xc8e71d…
07-13 22:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x516829…
07-13 06:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x3bf123…
07-13 06:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xd0df0f…
07-13 06:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 13?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xcf3411…
07-13 06:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 13?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xfdeb58…
07-12 20:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xcfb01c…
07-12 20:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0x2d4add…
07-12 20:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	155	14¢	$21	0x1d9823…
07-12 19:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0e551d…
07-12 18:55:10	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xa102d9…
07-12 11:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x0c3586…
07-12 11:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0xfac84e…
07-12 11:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0x6fcbd9…
07-12 10:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x046234…
07-12 10:59:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xe505e9…
07-12 10:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4c5cf3…
07-12 08:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcf419f…
07-12 08:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x0dda81…
07-12 08:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x3db6c1…
07-12 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x305eaf…
07-12 08:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x1c334f…
07-12 08:20:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	110	23¢	$25	0xee4cda…
07-12 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x222158…
07-12 08:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2b075b…
07-12 08:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0bba2f…
07-11 23:36:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x6ef534…
07-11 22:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?	Yes	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x37b2fa…
07-11 22:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x0b9e4a…
07-11 16:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x295fd7…
07-11 15:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x6f209a…
07-11 14:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x4d6a97…
07-11 12:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x70a94e…
07-11 10:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xa67a9b…
07-11 09:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x5d4f73…
07-11 08:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x45d09b…
07-11 08:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	85	30¢	$25	0x7b3e33…
07-11 07:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x33d4d5…
07-11 07:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x1a3537…
07-11 07:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x8b798e…
07-11 07:09:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x29fbfd…
07-11 07:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf8a7c3…
07-11 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x2ae943…
07-11 07:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	152	16¢	$25	0xc0555a…
07-11 07:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x249d93…
07-11 07:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x7c672e…
07-10 21:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0x022cb7…
07-10 20:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xa8153a…
07-10 17:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0xc2cf4a…
07-10 17:14:35	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	260	21¢	$54	0x6777fb…
07-10 13:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x44fd5a…
07-10 13:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x3d6e40…
07-10 13:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0xfa9c9d…