Ill-Informed-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$426

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% -$2

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	01-31 00:42
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	01-30 01:09
ethereum above 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	Yes	+$1	01-29 01:04
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	01-28 03:37
ethereum above 2500 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	Yes	+$1	01-27 00:19
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	01-26 01:08
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$3	01-24 01:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	01-23 01:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-22 01:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$2	05-21 02:42
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$2	01-21 00:39
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 20?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-20 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	No	+$2	05-19 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$3	05-18 01:37
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$2	05-17 02:05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	05-15 01:37
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	05-16 01:58
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 14?	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	Yes	+$2	05-14 02:34
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 13?	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	No	+$2	05-13 03:23
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:51
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-21 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:10
bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-18 01:56
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 09:18
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$8	1,076	0	+1,076	Yes	-$8	02-12 02:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-08 02:26
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-14 08:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$3	1,103	0	+1,103	No	-$3	03-11 02:10
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-03 08:53
ethereum above 2700 on april 18	1	$3	1,089	0	+1,089	No	-$3	04-18 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef7ad2…
08-18 01:56:57	bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9089fa…
08-06 02:51:44	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8b0364…
07-29 02:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d9fb7…
07-21 03:13:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x04bcbc…
07-14 08:14:20	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a724f…
07-09 04:16:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x41bfc1…
07-03 08:53:01	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x407ea5…
06-14 01:35:22	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x6c14da…
06-05 01:13:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0x8c76e0…
06-02 06:48:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x57b2fe…
05-27 01:08:46	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0x486f09…
05-22 01:18:35	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x627a24…
05-21 02:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xd16d66…
05-20 01:48:35	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x3ef56d…
05-19 00:56:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,063	0x8671b2…
05-18 01:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,060	0x27b269…
05-17 02:05:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0xbff945…
05-16 01:58:16	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,055	0x08e939…
05-15 01:37:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x2e148f…
05-14 02:34:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,051	0x68b4d2…
05-13 03:23:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,049	0x95eb1e…
05-08 02:00:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$3	0x44a6d5…
05-06 06:14:04	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xacb70d…
04-29 01:56:34	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x332b55…
04-18 02:05:50	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$3	0xb39ef1…
04-14 02:35:23	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x015fdc…
04-09 03:28:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0x5525d1…
04-06 11:39:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0d4983…
03-31 01:35:01	ethereum above 1700 on march 31	No	BUY	1,071	0¢	$2	0xd49f25…
03-22 02:02:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$2	0x34c932…
03-11 02:10:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,103	0¢	$3	0x942455…
02-27 09:15:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$3	0xd9c084…
02-12 02:50:51	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	No	BUY	1,076	1¢	$8	0x414238…
02-05 02:46:05	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xe7d99d…
02-02 05:11:44	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7adda…
01-31 00:42:36	ethereum above 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0xfad001…
01-30 01:09:44	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0xe12cb5…
01-29 01:04:08	ethereum above 2600 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0x520a7c…
01-28 03:37:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x90ef2d…
01-27 00:19:01	ethereum above 2500 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x62a5c6…
01-26 01:08:24	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0xf13262…
01-24 01:19:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,072	0x83202c…
01-23 01:19:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x680765…
01-22 01:46:54	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0xedc6eb…
01-21 00:39:10	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x2345ec…
01-19 09:18:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa8d1cb…
01-18 09:24:58	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x57a5a9…