Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 11-03 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	3	$204	138	138	+0	open	—	10-30 07:04
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	3	$203	105	105	+0	No	+$7	10-29 10:27
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$107	360	290	+70	Down	-$91	11-03 07:40
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?	4	$101	71	71	+0	open	—	11-02 07:41
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$100	124	0	+124	Down	+$24	11-02 12:59
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$50	112	0	+112	Up	+$62	11-02 09:30
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$50	93	0	+93	Down	-$50	11-03 07:44
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$50	111	0	+111	Up	-$50	11-03 07:22
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$49	121	121	+0	Up	-$1	11-02 11:32
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	11-02 08:50
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$25	42	42	+0	Down	-$25	11-02 09:28
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Up	+$28	11-02 10:46
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Up	+$22	11-02 14:20
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	Up	+$6	11-02 09:05
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	-$25	11-02 12:22
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	+$23	11-02 13:44
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Down	-$25	11-03 07:10
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	1	$16	2,315	0	+2,315	Yes	-$16	10-29 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:44:28	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7bc49f…
11-03 07:44:28	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x496a3d…
11-03 07:40:12	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	290	3¢	$8	0xadd06c…
11-03 07:33:51	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	360	27¢	$99	0x3678a4…
11-03 07:22:45	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xc202ce…
11-03 07:17:03	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8964c6…
11-03 07:10:18	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd0d023…
11-02 14:20:33	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3be16f…
11-02 13:44:57	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6b5db7…
11-02 12:59:00	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x7adf30…
11-02 12:22:36	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x8eecd6…
11-02 11:32:15	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	121	20¢	$24	0xd1472f…
11-02 11:31:09	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0xf35126…
11-02 10:46:19	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xec147a…
11-02 09:30:42	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xf488be…
11-02 09:30:40	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xea2b96…
11-02 09:28:42	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x58f3ff…
11-02 09:17:30	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xa06788…
11-02 09:05:40	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5d219b…
11-02 08:50:24	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xbc7ba4…
11-02 08:40:15	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea1362…
11-02 08:40:00	Gold Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74082d…
11-02 07:41:24	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x95df09…
11-02 07:41:10	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x5c33ba…
11-02 07:40:51	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe1e0c0…
10-30 13:36:25	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x2b8534…
10-30 07:04:39	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	69	82¢	$57	0xddc47e…
10-30 07:03:55	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	69	83¢	$57	0x813049…
10-29 12:26:41	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	2,315	1¢	$16	0xe5939c…
10-29 10:29:38	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0xbc77a0…
10-29 10:27:31	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x88d43c…
10-15 06:27:02	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x518b04…
10-13 13:57:53	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x700319…