Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$200

Unrealized P&L

-$71

Hit rate

28.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

37 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$816

$826 lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-22 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

89% 33% -$130

Politics

10% 0% -$80

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+3,834	$100	1¢	$29	-$71	09-19 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	2	$115	568	+568	No	-$115	10-13 08:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	3	$100	3,834	+3,834	open	—	09-19 12:58
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026	1	$60	400	+400	No	-$60	09-17 16:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$60	113	+113	Yes	+$53	09-08 17:10
trump x greenland deal signed by september 25	1	$40	235	+235	Yes	-$40	09-19 12:55
will tropical storm polo strengthen to a hurricane	1	$30	696	+696	Yes	-$30	09-21 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 23?	1	$30	72	+72	No	-$30	10-22 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?	1	$30	71	+71	Yes	+$41	10-11 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	1	$25	74	+74	No	-$25	10-20 06:26
Iran leadership change by September 30?	1	$20	1,250	+1,250	No	-$20	09-19 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 15?	1	$20	45	+45	Yes	+$25	10-14 11:00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	1	$20	610	+610	No	-$20	09-20 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 11?	1	$20	102	+102	No	-$20	10-10 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	1	$20	95	+95	Yes	+$75	10-16 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	1	$20	48	+48	Yes	+$28	10-11 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	1	$16	51	+51	Yes	+$35	10-10 18:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	1	$15	30	+30	Yes	+$15	10-19 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?	1	$15	24	+24	No	-$15	10-19 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?	1	$15	43	+43	No	-$15	10-20 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?	1	$15	65	+65	No	-$15	10-19 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	1	$15	36	+36	No	-$15	10-14 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?	1	$15	293	+293	No	-$15	10-14 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	1	$13	21	+21	No	-$13	10-18 08:07
Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30?	1	$13	144	+144	No	-$13	09-20 10:22
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	1	$12	79	+79	open	—	09-19 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	2	$10	37	+37	Yes	+$27	10-09 10:37
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	1	$10	37	+37	No	-$10	10-09 10:04
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	61	+61	No	-$10	09-20 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or higher on October 17?	1	$10	319	+319	No	-$10	10-16 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6?	1	$10	38	+38	No	-$10	10-05 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 20:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0xd65efe…
10-20 18:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb625d5…
10-20 06:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xad7def…
10-20 06:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xba1f95…
10-19 16:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xcfb3ea…
10-19 15:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xb6e0e4…
10-19 05:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xbb5ef6…
10-18 08:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x9622de…
10-16 09:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or higher on October 17?	Yes	BUY	319	3¢	$10	0x9ee249…
10-16 07:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x36b25b…
10-14 15:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	293	5¢	$15	0x67a259…
10-14 14:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x3dbbad…
10-14 11:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x4b7dda…
10-13 08:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$69	0x6f6eec…
10-12 18:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	288	16¢	$46	0xcbd1f9…
10-11 17:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x4a0dac…
10-11 17:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xecfb53…
10-10 18:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xe9ec67…
10-10 18:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xcd54aa…
10-09 10:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x0cccaf…
10-09 10:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8ef645…
10-09 10:04:24	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe225dd…
10-05 19:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4c5c02…
10-04 15:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0x85f6f5…
09-21 17:49:25	will tropical storm polo strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	696	4¢	$30	0xeef292…
09-20 15:21:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	610	3¢	$20	0x336784…
09-20 14:42:04	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xc9a472…
09-20 10:22:43	Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	144	9¢	$13	0xfe27d8…
09-19 13:57:57	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$20	0x45ad30…
09-19 12:58:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,619	3¢	$70	0xa463ce…
09-19 12:55:21	trump x greenland deal signed by september 25	No	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x89919d…
09-19 07:33:24	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0x2076bd…
09-18 15:45:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	815	2¢	$20	0x5a968e…
09-18 15:10:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x59f439…
09-17 16:49:27	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xce0d55…
09-08 17:10:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x19a8c9…
03-18 19:51:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6d6d59…