Frank-Carol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$88

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-03 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Politics

20% — —

Other

18% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No		+153	$89	57¢	$88	$-1	07-03 07:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	7	$549	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	03-03 12:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$520	270	270	+0	open	—	01-09 06:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	01-10 03:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 11	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	01-11 14:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 9	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	01-09 06:18
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$180	300	0	+300	open	—	06-21 07:31
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$89	153	0	+153	open	—	07-03 07:09
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	1	$60	153	0	+153	open	—	07-01 14:46
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$55	70	0	+70	Spurs	+$15	05-06 06:38
lol ewi goal 2026 06 09	1	$48	55	0	+55	open	—	06-09 13:23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$44	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	03-13 09:07
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 09:27
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$33	60	0	+60	open	—	05-18 07:24
nhl ott det 2026 03 24	1	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	03-23 08:17
nba den min 2026 04 23	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 07:14
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 05:58
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 05:48
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$22	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-03 09:10
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	5	$17	600	600	+0	open	—	02-08 21:43
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	35	0	+35	open	—	06-16 08:05
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	04-05 08:22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 07:38
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	06-14 00:56
Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?	1	$5	880	0	+880	open	—	01-30 12:31
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$5	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-11 07:12
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	9	$4	500	500	+0	open	—	02-12 23:28
will cynthia erivo win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-15 06:44
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	1	$4	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-03 03:23
nba mil uta 2026 03 19	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	03-19 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 07:09:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	153	58¢	$89	0xb78344…
07-01 14:46:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	153	39¢	$60	0x46f34e…
06-21 07:31:40	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x9305c9…
06-16 08:05:48	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x1421ba…
06-14 00:56:10	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xf469b8…
06-09 13:23:40	lol ewi goal 2026 06 09	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0xec83dc…
06-01 05:48:28	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc94806…
05-29 09:27:24	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0244ee…
05-18 07:24:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x0a2d5f…
05-16 07:38:03	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xa08066…
05-15 05:58:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x56a0b3…
05-06 06:38:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x4f8242…
04-22 07:14:14	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x6d4062…
04-05 08:22:31	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Mavericks	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x32443f…
03-23 08:17:21	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Senators	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xf41fcb…
03-19 07:42:31	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Jazz	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3a89db…
03-13 09:07:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	154	2¢	$4	0xea5d28…
03-13 08:59:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x6ff91d…
03-13 08:50:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x8b0b7c…
03-13 08:42:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x81d61a…
03-13 08:40:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x394bb6…
03-13 08:37:49	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x0afe65…
03-13 08:36:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xb4ddeb…
03-13 08:34:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	698	2¢	$16	0x72a633…
03-03 12:20:03	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,200	0¢	$4	0xc93704…
02-12 23:28:57	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x528319…
02-12 20:04:21	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xbb1a50…
02-11 07:12:05	Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x971e63…
02-08 21:43:51	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	510	2¢	$10	0x4f8044…
02-08 15:49:57	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0xbcbc15…
02-08 15:21:35	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1612e3…
02-03 11:24:52	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x27e8de…
02-03 09:10:30	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$12	0xc255cd…
02-03 05:50:24	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6d8f51…
02-03 05:22:48	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe4efda…
02-03 04:45:38	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xbe94bd…
02-03 03:58:16	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4c13fd…
02-03 03:46:36	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xef8a18…
02-03 03:23:32	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x60a8ba…
02-03 03:17:52	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$2	0xcbbf86…
02-02 06:15:52	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x36a90d…
02-02 06:00:48	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,135	3¢	$34	0xce57df…
02-02 06:00:48	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x28b015…
02-01 14:02:32	Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xa4ce00…
01-30 12:31:04	Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	BUY	880	1¢	$5	0x4ef812…
01-29 10:17:40	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x111f30…
01-29 10:15:56	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	565	1¢	$6	0xac5869…
01-27 06:43:21	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x577b60…
01-15 06:44:48	will cynthia erivo win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x593a94…
01-14 13:05:56	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x0152af…
01-14 13:04:36	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0x3f5baf…
01-14 12:34:14	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	108	91¢	$98	0x81f636…
01-12 05:56:24	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	280	91¢	$255	0x5aecac…
01-11 14:27:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 11	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xba8dd1…
01-10 03:27:18	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x63163e…
01-09 06:18:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 9	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x45e265…
01-09 06:01:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	270	95¢	$258	0x2e7188…
01-08 12:48:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	270	97¢	$262	0x7884ee…