Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$109

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$263

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-13 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

56% 11% +$1,695

Other

18% 7% -$1,988

Crypto

16% 0% -$1,510

Sports

11% 0% -$1,270

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	-10,386	-$229	2¢	$-208	+$21	07-03 23:37
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-1,167	-$86	3¢	$-36	+$50	07-03 23:37
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+1,316	$100	1¢	$14	-$86	10-13 02:20
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+3,157	$100	0¢	$5	-$95	10-13 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$4.5K	9,954	9,954	+0	Yes	+$3,337	03-01 19:36
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$1000	4,794	0	+4,794	No	-$1,000	03-01 19:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$500	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$500	02-09 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	15	$459	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	-$459	03-08 20:29
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	84	$432	39,302	0	+39,302	No	-$432	03-07 08:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$300	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$300	03-05 07:08
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$290	289,600	0	+289,600	No	-$290	07-04 00:02
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$229	0	10,386	-10,386	open	—	07-03 23:37
bitcoin above 72k on march 9	1	$200	7,218	0	+7,218	No	-$200	03-08 20:18
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$150	9,300	0	+9,300	No	-$150	03-08 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	9	$150	442	0	+442	Down	-$150	03-08 20:22
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	1	$140	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$140	03-07 13:48
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	16	$140	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$140	03-07 13:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$101	3,551	0	+3,551	No	-$101	03-05 14:23
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	1	$100	1,316	0	+1,316	open	—	10-13 02:20
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	1	$100	1,757	0	+1,757	No	-$100	03-05 07:06
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	1	$100	1,853	0	+1,853	No	-$100	10-13 02:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$100	03-06 04:05
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$100	03-07 05:11
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	1	$100	3,157	0	+3,157	open	—	10-13 02:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$100	6,257	0	+6,257	Yes	-$100	02-28 22:30
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$100	18,979	0	+18,979	No	-$100	03-05 14:29
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$100	21,210	0	+21,210	No	-$100	03-05 14:29
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$100	18,039	0	+18,039	No	-$100	03-05 14:29
will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	1	$100	3,511	0	+3,511	No	-$100	03-05 14:34
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$100	5,066	0	+5,066	No	-$100	03-07 05:17
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$100	4,183	0	+4,183	No	-$100	03-05 14:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	8	$100	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$100	03-07 03:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	19	$96	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$96	03-08 08:01
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$86	0	1,167	-1,167	open	—	07-03 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 02:22:32	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	676	6¢	$41	0x061be8…
10-13 02:22:11	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	780	3¢	$21	0x92e124…
10-13 02:21:02	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	3,157	3¢	$100	0x01e1d0…
10-13 02:20:39	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,316	8¢	$100	0xc7570a…
10-13 02:20:26	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,853	5¢	$100	0x1f4da8…
07-04 00:03:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	12,500	0¢	$12	0x0fb975…
07-04 00:02:04	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	289,600	0¢	$290	0x82e5a5…
07-03 23:37:56	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,167	7¢	$86	0x297464…
07-03 23:37:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,386	2¢	$229	0x5ae7fe…
06-22 00:59:49	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x4a1f87…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf192d8…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xe8a45f…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xc348fd…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x597038…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x52e853…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1b8fc4…
03-08 20:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x1a9b47…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	700	27¢	$189	0xd2f65c…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd01aa2…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xbaa055…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	731	27¢	$197	0x622dec…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x5c7937…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x468f29…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x21e3a8…
03-08 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	58	27¢	$16	0x165764…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xf50bc9…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xea2ff6…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7aa112…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x6df5c3…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x64f624…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	85	27¢	$23	0x356d38…
03-08 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1bca69…
03-08 20:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x97a158…
03-08 20:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x12abb4…
03-08 20:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x48ba37…
03-08 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xc9f07e…
03-08 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x928395…
03-08 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x64a813…
03-08 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x2ed215…
03-08 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1ef855…
03-08 20:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	142	50¢	$72	0x8d315e…
03-08 20:18:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	Yes	BUY	9,300	2¢	$150	0xbde99d…
03-08 20:18:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 9	Yes	BUY	7,218	3¢	$200	0xc59422…
03-08 08:01:57	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	6,311	1¢	$76	0x304688…
03-08 05:06:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbcbb2f…
03-08 04:54:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xfba2a4…
03-08 04:48:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x195c47…
03-08 04:48:25	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x9e4a93…
03-08 04:46:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xa7806b…
03-08 04:46:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x5261fa…
03-08 04:45:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc838aa…
03-08 04:44:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x962b3a…
03-08 04:43:59	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x54bcd5…
03-08 04:43:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x7671ac…
03-08 04:43:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x5e2da1…
03-08 04:43:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x248464…
03-08 04:41:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	496	1¢	$6	0xaa06db…
03-08 04:39:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$2	0x54d58a…
03-08 04:39:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe4a933…
03-08 04:39:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$2	0x1b5299…
03-08 04:38:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xe9371b…
03-08 04:38:41	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$2	0xf52e3c…
03-07 13:48:41	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	Yes	BUY	20,000	1¢	$140	0x20a836…
03-07 13:03:07	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	5,991	1¢	$84	0xfc57c6…
03-07 12:38:39	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7bd5c1…
03-07 12:38:31	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x07cfc0…
03-07 12:11:17	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x0199bb…
03-07 12:09:43	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8980eb…
03-07 12:09:19	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7262a5…
03-07 11:57:43	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	2,157	1¢	$30	0xe256ca…
03-07 11:57:37	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$6	0x5c9e55…
03-07 11:56:45	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0xc7bb04…
03-07 11:56:05	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$3	0x67b627…
03-07 08:26:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6,087	1¢	$67	0x9374e9…
03-07 08:25:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6,000	1¢	$66	0x38ad9b…
03-07 08:24:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaa5b6e…
03-07 08:24:47	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd82818…
03-07 08:24:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	424	1¢	$5	0xc6b90f…
03-07 08:23:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	678	1¢	$7	0x00d6fb…
03-07 08:22:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	679	1¢	$7	0x29456c…
03-07 08:22:17	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	679	1¢	$7	0xeb0c77…
03-07 08:21:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x81c9c9…
03-07 08:21:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0xb6a277…
03-07 08:13:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x31175e…
03-07 08:11:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$3	0x3adaac…
03-07 08:10:21	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x5520f8…
03-07 08:10:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xaa9d70…
03-07 08:09:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2d244c…
03-07 08:07:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	734	1¢	$8	0xe4d570…
03-07 08:07:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x48c954…
03-07 08:05:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x50b3d0…
03-07 08:04:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xd22db7…
03-07 08:02:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	602	1¢	$7	0xba6de9…
03-07 08:00:11	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x2c575c…
03-07 07:58:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0xc531a5…
03-07 07:54:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	8,739	1¢	$96	0x35890a…
03-07 07:52:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x324d1b…
03-07 07:42:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1f3e5a…
03-07 07:42:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x6dfbaf…
03-07 07:40:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	3,708	1¢	$41	0x7cb032…