Verifiable-Support — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

225

Trades

683

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$459

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-13 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

60% 54% -$620

Sports

28% 48% -$53

Politics

12% 50% -$545

Crypto

0% 0% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		-437	-$426	96¢	$-420	+$7	06-28 19:10
49ers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys		+113	$40	34¢	$39	-$1	11-13 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	18	$5.7K	7,371	7,371	+0	open	—	09-20 23:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	6	$1.8K	795	1,512	-717	No	-$125	05-27 19:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	5	$1.6K	1,595	2,032	-437	open	—	06-28 19:10
Kash Patel out by June 30?	9	$1.5K	1,104	1,104	+0	No	+$28	05-25 01:13
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$1.1K	3,360	3,360	+0	No	-$503	09-22 23:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$768	1,421	1,421	+0	Yes	-$424	10-04 20:59
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$766	20,820	20,820	+0	No	+$31	07-10 20:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	7	$707	746	746	+0	Yes	+$25	05-23 02:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	6	$644	540	488	+51	No	+$4	07-12 02:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$543	393	393	+0	Yes	+$63	05-24 01:14
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	5	$536	3,620	3,620	+0	open	—	08-26 00:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$533	2,056	2,056	+0	No	-$17	07-15 20:53
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	18	$497	432	405	+26	Yes	+$74	07-06 02:56
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$474	500	500	+0	Yes	+$204	07-07 00:21
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$451	498	498	+0	No	-$9	05-22 06:28
Ravens vs. Falcons	13	$349	277	229	+48	Ravens	+$7	10-12 03:22
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$336	321	321	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 01:53
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$305	255	255	+0	Yes	-$15	06-10 05:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$301	531	531	+0	Yes	+$7	02-01 07:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$293	246	246	+0	Yes	-$7	06-02 15:31
Bills vs. Rams	16	$292	291	291	+0	Bills	-$46	10-13 03:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	3	$280	211	211	+0	No	+$11	05-18 20:10
will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	2	$269	135	135	+0	No	+$1	02-02 20:04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	6	$262	169	169	+0	Yes	+$16	10-10 20:54
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	9	$240	203	203	+0	England	+$20	07-06 02:38
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	3	$236	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	06-08 06:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$235	176	176	+0	Yes	-$5	06-10 05:18
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$224	5,130	5,130	+0	No	+$104	07-01 04:05
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$218	1,510	1,510	+0	No	-$25	07-05 21:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	8	$205	510	510	+0	No	-$103	02-10 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:15:46	49ers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	113	35¢	$40	0x65a3c8…
10-25 22:33:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe1d7c…
10-25 22:12:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0faa63…
10-25 22:12:32	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4dc8cd…
10-25 21:50:53	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5372f1…
10-25 21:38:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x84ab9f…
10-25 21:37:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	129	19¢	$24	0x825b01…
10-25 18:57:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x9ca517…
10-25 18:56:21	Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	Cowboys	SELL	51	33¢	$17	0xb425de…
10-25 03:06:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	129	25¢	$32	0xa847aa…
10-20 02:24:20	Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	Cowboys	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x018c52…
10-20 00:52:53	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5	Under	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0x73381d…
10-20 00:23:32	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9e1011…
10-19 03:27:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0xf3385e…
10-18 23:56:23	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa286ad…
10-18 23:56:00	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xab076f…
10-18 23:31:36	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc934ae…
10-18 23:26:08	Spread: Chiefs (-21.5)	Chargers	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xf97928…
10-18 22:41:18	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x7a1db5…
10-18 22:24:56	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa09483…
10-18 21:53:20	Spread: Chiefs (-21.5)	Chargers	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdd7057…
10-18 21:52:27	Spread: Chiefs (-21.5)	Chargers	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xbd2c28…
10-18 20:34:26	Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xd13d6a…
10-18 20:27:14	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x68187b…
10-18 20:21:47	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe50950…
10-18 20:05:39	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 32.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0eb67f…
10-18 20:05:29	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 31.5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x6a243d…
10-18 18:23:47	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xd39848…
10-18 17:33:03	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 32.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xea1c39…
10-18 17:30:45	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 31.5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcfc48e…
10-18 17:29:12	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 31.5	Over	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xc7ff94…
10-17 18:20:30	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xeba528…
10-17 17:11:06	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x427aa8…
10-17 17:09:53	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x024b8e…
10-17 17:09:33	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x142533…
10-16 01:11:21	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x626630…
10-13 03:10:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8b4607…
10-13 03:09:35	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8ccf62…
10-13 03:08:51	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2c804b…
10-13 03:08:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xe28293…
10-13 03:06:30	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb7a438…
10-13 03:06:03	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 62.5	Under	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2ba7c7…
10-13 03:05:44	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	41	40¢	$16	0xbceb9a…
10-13 03:02:39	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xff03bd…
10-13 03:02:26	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	41	51¢	$21	0x11159e…
10-13 02:47:48	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x4019b0…
10-13 02:47:18	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x419314…
10-13 02:46:39	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	68	36¢	$24	0x5d6efd…
10-13 02:40:12	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe1b96e…
10-13 02:35:21	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6b7251…
10-13 02:35:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x71d2ce…
10-13 02:26:14	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xba093c…
10-13 02:25:48	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	38	43¢	$17	0x971c2e…
10-13 02:21:08	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x07f20c…
10-13 02:17:26	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	69	45¢	$31	0xab1fb9…
10-13 02:04:14	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x1ad688…
10-13 02:04:00	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 66.5	Under	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x5b59f9…
10-13 02:03:35	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x6f0d14…
10-13 01:10:54	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdff423…
10-13 00:59:56	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xa5e6dc…
10-13 00:57:30	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Bills	SELL	44	73¢	$32	0x1da1b0…
10-12 23:34:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xb6a0e4…
10-12 04:09:08	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x28d658…
10-12 04:08:56	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd5ef1e…
10-12 04:08:29	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 66.5	Under	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xb1b54d…
10-12 04:05:51	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xe67a8a…
10-12 04:05:24	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 64.5	Under	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x0597ed…
10-12 03:22:50	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x28086b…
10-12 03:22:33	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	69	52¢	$36	0x2be29e…
10-12 03:20:42	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xad8716…
10-12 03:19:44	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x07657a…
10-12 03:10:48	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	161	88¢	$142	0x485ac5…
10-12 02:04:39	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 54.5	Under	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0x936036…
10-12 00:51:50	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x042d92…
10-12 00:49:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	262	27¢	$70	0x41686f…
10-12 00:45:26	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5	Under	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x5a9579…
10-12 00:42:20	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x054f4a…
10-12 00:41:51	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe9beaa…
10-12 00:37:59	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x309e33…
10-12 00:31:50	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2ce2a8…
10-12 00:31:35	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x65276f…
10-12 00:30:38	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe7edaf…
10-12 00:26:05	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb4ab96…
10-12 00:23:26	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xcab35a…
10-12 00:01:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xfd5858…
10-12 00:01:21	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xbbead9…
10-11 23:43:02	49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 67.5	Under	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x8a4412…
10-11 23:34:21	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 68.5	Under	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xed236c…
10-11 23:17:32	49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 67.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8b4cd6…
10-11 23:17:14	49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 67.5	Under	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xd9ea5d…
10-11 23:14:03	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x56db9c…
10-11 23:07:57	49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 67.5	Under	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2a554e…
10-11 23:07:11	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	Ravens	SELL	75	52¢	$39	0x0963f8…
10-11 23:05:59	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x512739…
10-11 23:01:15	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 62.5	Under	SELL	79	66¢	$52	0xb951e9…
10-11 22:52:11	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4e7d5f…
10-11 22:51:08	Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 28.5	Over	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xd67f8b…
10-11 22:50:42	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 68.5	Under	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7d4ab3…
10-11 22:50:30	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 68.5	Under	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xc58534…
10-11 22:49:47	Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 32.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x07afd9…