Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

89 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.34K

$3.34K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-21 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

99% 33% -$56

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	14	$882	733	733	+0	No	+$66	10-09 09:08
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	12	$519	1,221	300	+921	Yes	-$159	10-11 03:57
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$297	219	219	+0	No	+$41	10-09 08:53
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	2	$243	660	660	+0	open	—	10-21 16:04
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	8	$219	358	146	+212	open	—	10-21 16:05
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	2	$215	156	156	+0	open	—	10-09 01:42
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	2	$201	502	502	+0	open	—	10-06 19:21
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	2	$143	109	109	+0	Yes	+$75	10-11 04:37
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	2	$92	344	344	+0	open	—	10-09 07:40
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$74	492	492	+0	No	-$26	10-09 08:42
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	5	$67	91	91	+0	open	—	10-13 12:38
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$64	968	143	+825	open	—	10-21 16:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$50	36	36	+0	open	—	10-09 07:43
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	1	$48	120	0	+120	No	-$48	10-11 07:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$39	34	34	+0	open	—	10-09 07:43
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$34	180	180	+0	open	—	10-17 14:31
Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	2	$30	100	100	+0	open	—	10-10 15:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	10-09 07:40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$22	773	773	+0	open	—	10-08 14:49
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$19	73	73	+0	No	-$1	10-09 07:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$19	312	312	+0	open	—	10-09 07:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	10-09 07:43
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	2	$14	43	43	+0	open	—	10-09 07:43
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$5	50	50	+0	No	-$1	10-09 08:36
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$3	50	50	+0	No	-$2	10-09 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:07:35	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	825	6¢	$50	0x202b42…
10-21 16:05:09	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc0fb2f…
10-21 16:04:32	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	660	20¢	$131	0x40e382…
10-21 16:04:12	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x8fb2e0…
10-21 16:03:59	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x1fa28a…
10-21 10:15:12	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x1a2894…
10-21 10:10:18	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	146	72¢	$105	0x09bc59…
10-17 14:32:30	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	660	17¢	$112	0xb6bec8…
10-17 14:31:09	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	6¢	$11	0xd62648…
10-13 12:38:25	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	50¢	$46	0x3971d3…
10-11 07:54:54	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	Yes	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x3d2432…
10-11 04:37:42	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	SELL	109	99¢	$109	0x5c63dd…
10-11 03:57:32	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb908b0…
10-11 03:55:54	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x14a4b5…
10-11 03:55:30	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$8	0x0d8955…
10-11 03:37:14	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	412	20¢	$82	0x831041…
10-11 02:50:27	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x8728df…
10-11 02:49:33	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x68397f…
10-11 02:49:23	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x858560…
10-11 02:49:12	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe0c7b8…
10-11 02:49:06	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x9c42af…
10-11 02:49:00	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x753fcc…
10-11 02:48:44	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x2a1e0f…
10-11 02:48:42	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x20b4dd…
10-10 18:36:01	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0x323dde…
10-10 15:12:49	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	13¢	$13	0xd18e60…
10-10 15:11:03	Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x0ee7bc…
10-10 14:59:24	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xa67975…
10-10 14:58:46	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	BUY	109	31¢	$34	0x504c5c…
10-10 08:26:21	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x4488bc…
10-10 05:30:58	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x71f2bb…
10-09 18:12:05	Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd1a3aa…
10-09 17:37:16	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x398513…
10-09 17:37:11	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x0f038f…
10-09 17:37:08	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xca68e1…
10-09 17:14:11	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0x03e12d…
10-09 17:14:08	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x484f12…
10-09 16:55:52	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa24da8…
10-09 16:53:53	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7c37fe…
10-09 16:43:10	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x238a65…
10-09 09:08:40	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$283	0xb95c19…
10-09 08:56:12	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x64e674…
10-09 08:54:24	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x73cfcc…
10-09 08:53:52	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x8c3baf…
10-09 08:52:55	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x725e7a…
10-09 08:52:52	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7ec265…
10-09 08:52:48	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	158	73¢	$116	0x0b8e73…
10-09 08:52:46	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x275cc1…
10-09 08:52:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x5b6bfc…
10-09 08:51:39	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x268a2d…
10-09 08:51:36	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x8767de…
10-09 08:51:25	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x11ecad…
10-09 08:48:19	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb0b4d6…
10-09 08:42:01	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	492	5¢	$24	0x45214c…
10-09 08:36:58	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x03b9af…
10-09 08:36:52	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf78139…
10-09 08:27:24	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xe78436…
10-09 08:26:01	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb6861f…
10-09 08:24:57	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x0a0af3…
10-09 08:20:57	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	137	74¢	$101	0x147dd1…
10-09 08:20:45	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8e267e…
10-09 08:18:49	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	492	10¢	$50	0x589e31…
10-09 07:59:28	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xa29901…
10-09 07:59:01	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	182	78¢	$142	0x89ff3f…
10-09 07:58:04	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	28¢	$88	0xa42bc8…
10-09 07:46:03	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0xc56fa8…
10-09 07:43:28	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x462c2d…
10-09 07:43:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xa3ee18…
10-09 07:43:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	312	3¢	$9	0xa559b4…
10-09 07:43:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0x35ecf0…
10-09 07:43:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0x4e50c7…
10-09 07:40:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0x5b93bc…
10-09 07:40:00	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	SELL	344	12¢	$42	0xb848ce…
10-09 07:35:43	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	12¢	$9	0x0e6d5a…
10-09 07:31:19	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x84552d…
10-09 07:27:07	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x134a6d…
10-09 01:42:41	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	156	73¢	$115	0x585aa4…
10-08 15:19:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xd45b88…
10-08 14:49:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	773	2¢	$12	0xa527d1…
10-08 14:46:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x498ab8…
10-08 14:46:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x43413b…
10-07 11:57:19	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	15¢	$50	0x1f978c…
10-06 19:21:57	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	502	20¢	$101	0x9c476a…
10-06 09:00:25	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x852156…
10-06 08:55:51	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x8019c1…
10-06 08:52:22	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	773	1¢	$10	0x832eb4…
10-06 08:48:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x3c62ca…
10-06 08:27:01	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	502	20¢	$100	0x735010…
10-06 08:20:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfd53d9…