Idolized-Tsunami-Guarantee — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

519 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.22K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

77% 60% -$113

Politics

14% 68% -$111

Sports

7% 67% +$25

Crypto

2% 62% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 75% -$1

Tech

1% 33% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+12	$12	99¢	$12	$0	05-21 00:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?	2	$103	109	+109	No	-$4	05-21 15:59
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-17 19:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	3	$88	148	+148	No	+$60	05-22 10:05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$71	85	+85	Yes	-$71	05-22 07:15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$64	66	+66	No	+$2	05-21 04:06
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$62	62	+62	No	+$0	05-17 03:39
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	1	$58	60	+60	No	+$2	05-17 01:07
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$55	66	+66	Yes	-$55	05-21 04:18
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	1	$46	49	+49	No	+$3	05-21 11:28
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$44	69	+69	No	+$25	05-22 02:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	05-22 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?	2	$36	46	+46	Yes	-$36	05-17 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 17?	1	$33	34	+34	No	+$0	05-18 01:53
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 17?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 18:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	2	$33	34	+34	Yes	-$33	05-17 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	05-21 13:52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$29	71	+71	No	+$41	05-21 03:25
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$27	28	+28	No	+$1	05-21 10:59
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-17 16:19
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$25	26	+26	No	+$1	05-17 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 22?	2	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-21 19:35
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-22 09:16
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-21 21:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-21 04:32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$24	50	+50	Yes	-$24	05-21 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	3	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-22 04:19
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$21	34	+34	No	+$13	05-22 07:03
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$20	24	+24	No	+$4	05-21 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?	2	$20	25	+25	No	$0	05-18 01:55
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-21 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ae7ab…
05-22 11:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x0835bb…
05-22 11:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x97e2b4…
05-22 10:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8293b4…
05-22 10:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 23?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x808c77…
05-22 10:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5f8561…
05-22 10:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9284cd…
05-22 10:05:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4aae80…
05-22 09:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x101ebd…
05-22 09:52:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x4e332b…
05-22 09:28:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x28e4a7…
05-22 09:16:48	Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x319db4…
05-22 09:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc0cf42…
05-22 08:56:16	Will Legacy win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x206992…
05-22 08:39:51	Will The MongolZ win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf2d103…
05-22 08:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf17720…
05-22 08:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x225067…
05-22 08:16:24	Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x97ff92…
05-22 08:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xa4869d…
05-22 07:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7c41f7…
05-22 07:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 50°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe04b0c…
05-22 07:15:24	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0x31c86d…
05-22 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbaf77c…
05-22 07:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc2e1a2…
05-22 07:03:53	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x069c82…
05-22 06:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x46c902…
05-22 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x35f73c…
05-22 06:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1f5665…
05-22 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7489af…
05-22 06:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xa705df…
05-22 06:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9f8da5…
05-22 05:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1805c…
05-22 05:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xab8cdb…
05-22 05:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0fb8fd…
05-22 05:22:06	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xb3bf19…
05-22 05:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x174d96…
05-22 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3cb5d3…
05-22 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5cd011…
05-22 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd3bf49…
05-22 05:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x91ebe8…
05-22 04:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0e4d95…
05-22 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4a348…
05-22 04:29:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x2ba988…
05-22 04:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d0806…
05-22 03:54:55	Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xaa9fab…
05-22 03:36:38	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x26c56e…
05-22 03:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x202739…
05-22 03:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe98163…
05-22 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa0ec31…
05-22 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x086d12…
05-22 03:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5dc86d…
05-22 02:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x41cd7a…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8a5f3…
05-22 02:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73a84c…
05-22 02:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x845a24…
05-22 02:27:44	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x0fa643…
05-22 02:05:06	Will Denman Rooke win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb319d…
05-22 02:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x868aa1…
05-22 01:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc67219…
05-22 01:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xfa5157…
05-22 01:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xb519a7…
05-22 01:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe2f7e…
05-22 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2f3e37…
05-22 01:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x046628…
05-22 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7717a9…
05-22 01:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80be0a…
05-22 00:39:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2908b4…
05-22 00:33:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0bd463…
05-22 00:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x10dc2c…
05-22 00:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa6aba…
05-22 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x642cf6…
05-22 00:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf933ab…
05-22 00:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f2780…
05-22 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb61fa…
05-22 00:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5c4e61…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6935cc…
05-22 00:01:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x438443…
05-21 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x022ef9…
05-21 23:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5a9d6e…
05-21 23:19:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf8e7d…
05-21 23:12:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b0de4…
05-21 23:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe12df6…
05-21 22:55:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd10a56…
05-21 22:41:14	Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x52c9cd…
05-21 22:29:56	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x240675…
05-21 22:20:38	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x122dfc…
05-21 22:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae59c…
05-21 22:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd5108d…
05-21 21:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3e8518…
05-21 21:54:27	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xdb7501…
05-21 21:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x08619f…
05-21 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc02e05…
05-21 21:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x21e228…
05-21 21:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xe7f372…
05-21 21:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9a501f…
05-21 21:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53bfe0…
05-21 21:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0ded42…
05-21 21:14:40	Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x781f45…
05-21 21:08:58	Will Tundra Esports win DreamLeague Season 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6a916…
05-21 21:03:59	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xea4743…