Tasty-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

512

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-27 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 40% -$119

Other

6% 25% -$14

Politics

2% 45% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:55 UTC	2	$132	109	106	+4	Up	+$16	04-22 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:45 UTC	6	$72	71	69	+3	Up	+$3	04-20 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:15 UTC	2	$50	37	36	+1	Up	+$12	04-21 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC	2	$43	37	36	+1	Down	+$3	04-21 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	1	$33	60	0	+60	Up	-$33	04-24 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 05:45 UTC	2	$29	20	19	+1	Up	+$10	04-23 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:55 UTC	2	$25	23	22	+1	Up	+$5	04-21 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:40 UTC	2	$25	20	19	+1	Down	+$5	04-22 04:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:40 UTC	2	$22	19	18	+1	Down	+$2	04-21 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:50 UTC	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:55 UTC	1	$20	39	0	+39	Up	+$19	04-20 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:05 UTC	1	$20	34	0	+34	Up	-$20	04-24 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$18	27	22	+5	Up	+$4	06-03 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC	4	$18	17	16	+1	Up	+$4	04-21 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:20 UTC	4	$16	15	15	+1	Down	+$2	04-21 12:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-20 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:15 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-21 04:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$15	13	12	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:10 UTC	4	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-23 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:25 UTC	4	$14	14	13	+0	Down	-$2	04-21 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:25 UTC	4	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	04-20 14:29
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1am et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	04-24 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$14	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:50 UTC	4	$14	12	11	+0	Down	+$2	04-22 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:35 UTC	3	$14	14	9	+5	Down	+$2	04-21 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:50 UTC	2	$13	10	9	+0	Up	+$4	04-21 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:05 UTC	3	$13	17	9	+7	Up	+$2	04-20 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:20 UTC	6	$13	13	12	+0	Up	+$1	04-21 13:24
mlbb tlph onic1 2026 04 19	2	$13	7	7	+0	Team Liquid PH	+$1	04-19 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 02:21:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x339c16…
06-27 02:15:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a43f9…
06-27 02:14:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x950eb0…
06-03 16:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	20¢	$12	0x2b2134…
06-03 16:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x27be4f…
06-03 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xe9c192…
06-03 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x063bb2…
06-03 16:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9a8604…
06-03 16:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc3c048…
06-03 13:46:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x844f90…
06-03 13:26:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3fd026…
06-03 07:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x28347f…
06-03 06:55:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd217c6…
06-03 06:43:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcc6a07…
06-03 06:22:32	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3aff11…
06-03 06:19:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x3d817f…
06-03 05:45:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd25c7d…
06-03 04:48:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x6cc525…
06-03 04:16:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x13e65f…
06-03 04:10:14	Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x48d4d1…
06-03 03:58:06	Will XRP reach $2.00 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xce9cbd…
06-03 03:50:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xc9a09a…
06-03 03:50:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x994622…
06-03 03:49:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc5942e…
05-31 18:21:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x71c761…
05-31 18:17:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5fcc92…
05-27 09:23:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x5eacad…
05-26 15:08:12	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xafba43…
05-26 15:00:51	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd6acdf…
05-26 14:54:12	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd715f0…
05-26 14:51:40	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xb8fc83…
05-26 04:56:52	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x83ca10…
05-24 23:03:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe5068f…
05-24 14:24:55	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x09786e…
05-24 13:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1790f8…
05-24 12:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x47bbf7…
05-24 05:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x073249…
05-24 05:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1707d0…
05-24 01:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x13d612…
05-24 01:25:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdb0245…
05-24 01:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x51d9a7…
05-24 01:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0e6d44…
05-24 01:14:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x62f4ae…
05-24 01:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2b9ad…
05-24 00:01:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8a4fd3…
05-23 16:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6d6ed…
05-23 14:10:16	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5fe865…
05-23 13:40:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda02b3…
05-23 13:05:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3c722d…
05-23 13:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf94548…
05-23 13:02:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe930c6…
05-23 13:00:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xffe68c…
05-23 11:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe35e78…
05-23 09:14:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x14518c…
05-23 05:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc85976…
05-23 04:51:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2ad5fe…
05-23 04:46:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x12f713…
05-23 04:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x60aa28…
05-23 04:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcd5465…
05-23 04:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe2e41…
05-23 03:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2e58d…
05-23 02:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x708216…
05-23 02:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6b01e3…
05-23 02:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7a256a…
05-23 00:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xed24ba…
05-23 00:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x97ac00…
05-23 00:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x87c0a6…
05-23 00:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbea410…
05-22 23:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xe28b43…
05-22 18:54:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x42b906…
05-22 13:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc23e65…
05-22 13:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x35bb12…
05-22 13:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe09ea6…
05-22 12:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe3585c…
05-22 12:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2b9f79…
05-22 11:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x68c387…
05-22 11:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x5eab54…
05-22 11:37:33	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6b126c…
05-22 11:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdfdf04…
05-22 11:30:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d1df5…
05-22 11:27:14	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0cd86a…
05-22 11:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc1b76a…
05-22 11:22:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x173bf4…
05-22 11:20:03	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x41e181…
05-22 11:19:49	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xde39cf…
05-22 11:19:34	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x50594a…
05-22 10:34:42	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x097d32…
05-22 10:34:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2328d6…
05-22 10:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8da8de…
05-22 10:11:26	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0cc734…
05-22 10:10:07	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7392a5…
05-22 10:08:13	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xd89e13…
05-21 11:13:41	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3b2716…
05-21 11:13:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xfc2bb6…
05-21 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5abe2d…
05-21 11:00:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x096705…
05-21 10:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x687f5a…
05-21 10:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7bb1a6…
05-21 10:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xbed5cd…
05-21 10:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x8ab9e8…