Quarterly-Inconvenience — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

337 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$836

$3.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-13 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$6

Politics

5% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-13 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:13
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:49
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:53
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 17:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:25
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:54
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:14
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 06:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x241bfd…
11-12 08:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2ed61…
11-11 08:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf48ec6…
11-08 11:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69dbb9…
11-07 10:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe10fae…
11-06 09:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x808ac1…
11-05 00:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb627af…
11-04 04:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaeb462…
11-03 17:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd24ee7…
11-03 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x204936…
11-02 08:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4bd220…
10-31 19:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa05e76…
10-31 04:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc72f3…
10-30 08:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad3feb…
10-29 04:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e83b9…
10-28 04:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x062f14…
10-27 04:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b27b5…
10-26 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x167808…
10-25 12:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ba7ae…
10-24 06:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe17ab5…
10-22 09:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x880c31…
10-20 03:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e9f17…
10-19 06:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68821c…
10-19 02:02:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe8dc98…
10-18 09:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc23e7c…
10-18 02:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf36523…
10-17 05:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x141bc0…
10-16 01:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf89de4…
10-15 04:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb52823…
10-14 00:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e3c02…
10-13 13:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1e539…
10-13 01:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x476d61…
10-12 13:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76e1bb…
10-12 00:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a81fb…
10-11 00:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6310f…
10-08 04:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0dab22…
10-07 08:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x227bfb…
10-06 14:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ef58b…
10-06 05:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x579bca…
10-04 02:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa48978…
10-03 00:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x060ce1…
10-02 07:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc35bb…
10-02 03:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x213e5c…
10-01 05:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8864eb…
09-30 08:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x035318…
09-29 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98ff75…
09-28 01:10:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec904d…
09-27 09:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1e139…
09-26 07:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc746c2…
09-25 01:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x169be8…
09-24 01:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb61ce9…
09-23 05:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cfda2…
09-22 10:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe23e37…
09-22 01:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf37d55…
09-21 06:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d982d…
09-20 02:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x889d2e…
09-19 05:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a8009…
09-18 09:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2daed…
09-18 01:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb81c66…
09-17 00:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33217b…
09-16 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbedb32…
09-15 23:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcbfba…
09-15 01:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa8763…
09-14 00:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbcad5…
09-13 12:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f34bf…
09-12 01:03:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f0493…
09-11 10:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7265ee…
09-11 01:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07bcf9…
09-10 01:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x704b80…
09-09 00:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16baf0…
09-08 00:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x002ff4…
09-07 16:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcea74…
09-07 09:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4a408…
09-07 01:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70b33f…
09-06 17:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e121f…
09-06 01:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf3130…
09-05 07:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0394c2…
09-04 07:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d2e11…
09-03 01:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0986…
09-02 09:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b12ac…
09-01 01:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe336…
08-30 16:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e9a59…
08-30 00:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fb2ab…
08-29 05:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1ac90…
08-28 01:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cbcb0…
08-27 00:59:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcff649…
08-26 01:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf764fb…
08-25 00:59:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1410…
08-24 07:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37d85a…
08-23 00:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5e5c1…
08-22 01:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f7481…
08-21 01:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc3bb8…
08-20 00:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f41eb…
08-19 00:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd56adf…
08-18 00:06:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd3188…
08-17 05:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x676342…
08-16 01:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd858c5…
08-15 01:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15b920…
08-14 01:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab280a…
08-13 06:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fbcc8…