Jovial-Hepatitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

5,478

Trades

13,489

lifetime

Volume

$479.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$391

10 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 11-04 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

97% 74% +$7,747

Crypto

3% 31% +$2,008

Politics

0% 29% -$291

Sports

0% 0% -$118

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,800	$172	4¢	$171	-$1	11-02 21:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$170	11¢	$105	-$65	10-30 10:16
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+59	$20	92¢	$54	+$34	11-03 16:47
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	+1,000	$36	5¢	$52	+$16	10-30 10:43
Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	+1,667	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	11-03 17:19
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	+1,667	$5	0¢	$3	-$2	11-03 17:19
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+500	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	11-03 17:19
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+400	$40	0¢	$1	-$39	11-03 16:47
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	+385	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-03 17:19
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	+273	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-03 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?	70	$10.1K	5,167	5,167	+0	No	-$116	07-04 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 1?	27	$10.0K	5,016	5,016	+0	No	+$5	07-01 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 30?	48	$10.0K	4,997	4,997	+0	No	+$19	06-30 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 22?	12	$7.5K	3,784	3,784	+0	No	+$34	09-22 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 29?	20	$6.5K	3,255	3,255	+0	No	+$3	05-29 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 5?	9	$4.4K	2,217	2,217	+0	No	+$8	09-05 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 12?	7	$4.3K	2,135	2,135	+0	No	+$7	08-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 8?	22	$3.9K	2,119	1,854	+265	No	+$23	10-08 21:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 19?	11	$3.5K	1,857	1,857	+0	No	+$229	07-18 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 2?	8	$3.4K	1,710	1,710	+0	No	+$7	10-02 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 12?	16	$3.4K	1,692	1,692	+0	No	+$2	07-12 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on July 21?	13	$3.2K	1,638	1,638	+0	No	+$23	07-20 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 18?	10	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$21	07-18 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 10?	9	$3.0K	1,502	1,502	+0	No	+$9	05-10 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 1?	5	$2.9K	1,557	1,557	+0	No	+$162	05-01 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 15?	32	$2.9K	1,592	1,521	+71	No	-$10	07-15 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 30?	12	$2.9K	1,593	1,593	+0	No	+$5	04-30 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	17	$2.8K	1,422	1,422	+0	No	+$4	06-26 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?	15	$2.7K	1,372	1,372	+0	No	+$5	07-14 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	5	$2.7K	1,398	1,398	+0	No	+$59	05-08 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?	7	$2.7K	1,348	1,348	+0	No	+$13	10-19 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 2?	26	$2.6K	1,512	1,512	+0	No	+$233	06-02 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 21?	2	$2.6K	1,313	1,313	+0	No	+$1	09-21 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	112	$2.6K	1,304	1,304	+0	No	+$30	10-28 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 21?	4	$2.4K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	+$2	09-21 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 3?	4	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	No	+$43	05-03 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 14?	4	$2.4K	1,257	1,257	+0	No	+$115	09-14 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 11?	8	$2.4K	1,203	1,203	+0	No	+$21	06-11 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?	2	$2.3K	1,317	1,317	+0	No	+$315	10-05 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15?	47	$2.3K	2,745	449	+2,296	Yes	+$799	06-15 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:00:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0xe6ee76…
11-04 17:43:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x7d24c2…
11-04 17:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	179	8¢	$14	0x33b9d9…
11-04 17:39:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x5d520a…
11-04 17:39:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0x4f0158…
11-04 17:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	151	14¢	$21	0xc30866…
11-04 17:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0xae83ae…
11-04 17:36:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	166	14¢	$24	0xae23c3…
11-04 17:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0xf6f4d2…
11-04 17:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0xabfde3…
11-04 17:35:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x1ecb5f…
11-04 17:33:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x41bf59…
11-04 17:27:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xb4c8b8…
11-04 17:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	585	8¢	$47	0x136b75…
11-04 17:19:09	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 4?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x956e4f…
11-04 17:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x081470…
11-04 17:12:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x34d071…
11-04 17:12:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	319	4¢	$11	0xaf8d12…
11-04 17:00:55	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6da6c0…
11-04 16:52:34	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 4?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x97658b…
11-04 15:24:37	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7537…
11-04 15:08:15	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcb53d2…
11-04 13:53:31	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8a5af9…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 4?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x401d51…
11-04 12:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 4?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4e6741…
11-04 11:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 4?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xc19ee2…
11-04 11:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 4?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xf1219e…
11-04 01:35:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1a6ad7…
11-04 00:36:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	259	5¢	$13	0xcede97…
11-03 23:45:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	328	11¢	$36	0x96b35f…
11-03 23:33:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	156	12¢	$19	0x2ba035…
11-03 23:28:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xfe0477…
11-03 23:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x12dae7…
11-03 23:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x612288…
11-03 23:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xf0497e…
11-03 23:27:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x56ea25…
11-03 23:20:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x779d1f…
11-03 23:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x856fd7…
11-03 23:11:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9adc52…
11-03 23:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	71	11¢	$8	0x9091db…
11-03 23:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	119	11¢	$13	0x93ef2d…
11-03 21:52:57	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6dbea8…
11-03 21:50:18	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on November 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6298a8…
11-03 21:50:07	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x6568d2…
11-03 21:25:27	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3f4e1…
11-03 21:20:10	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30cab1…
11-03 17:19:52	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x6be43a…
11-03 17:19:43	Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x7dae42…
11-03 17:19:33	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x527e6f…
11-03 17:19:22	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xf71a12…
11-03 17:19:16	Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xc84844…
11-03 16:47:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x97f33b…
11-03 16:47:07	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x07a091…
11-03 16:38:31	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x79246a…
11-03 16:38:13	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x710b0a…
11-03 13:18:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xa81c43…
11-03 06:06:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x8538ac…
11-03 00:58:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0x7f48ba…
11-02 21:59:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,800	4¢	$112	0x5b8786…
11-02 21:25:21	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd93ffd…
11-02 21:20:06	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 2?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1cdbce…
11-02 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x139a88…
11-02 09:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7527b6…
11-02 08:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x2a27ae…
11-02 08:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x8559ba…
11-02 08:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xb1c999…
11-02 08:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3ce4e…
11-02 08:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xd62a57…
11-02 08:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x059a1c…
11-02 08:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7c11b8…
11-02 08:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf7f935…
11-02 08:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf2e3d…
11-02 08:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe3d026…
11-02 08:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	253	98¢	$249	0xf15fdf…
11-02 08:26:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd3924f…
11-02 08:24:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x56a488…
11-02 08:22:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x0bbcbd…
11-02 08:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcc0cd3…
11-02 08:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	487	4¢	$20	0x184529…
11-02 08:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x90161b…
11-02 08:14:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0x67bf1b…
11-01 21:50:58	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa6d237…
11-01 21:19:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x30d311…
11-01 18:06:37	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x10d400…
11-01 17:27:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1bcee9…
11-01 17:27:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	389	5¢	$19	0x60c441…
11-01 11:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x99f648…
11-01 11:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe76f09…
11-01 11:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec52fa…
11-01 10:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xeee439…
11-01 10:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xa30c8e…
11-01 09:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7ebe2…
11-01 09:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6732b1…
11-01 09:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x235641…
11-01 08:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xb22863…
11-01 08:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe28b3f…
11-01 08:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x82feec…
11-01 01:25:37	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x863602…
11-01 01:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 1?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x00a9a0…
10-31 21:51:33	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 31?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0xe9e4ff…