Fitting-Gearshift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

520

Trades

1,451

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-11 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

97% 24% -$1,927

Crypto

2% 100% +$59

Sports

1% 0% -$66

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+41	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	05-28 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 28?	30	$1.2K	797	797	+0	Yes	+$351	04-28 21:24
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	12	$1.0K	533	531	+2	Yes	+$25	04-24 15:53
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	9	$853	503	498	+5	Yes	+$58	04-22 20:41
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	20	$794	1,151	647	+504	No	-$323	04-23 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 2?	29	$640	448	448	+0	Yes	+$230	05-02 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 30?	21	$480	615	384	+232	No	-$106	04-30 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	17	$480	1,036	283	+754	No	-$402	04-28 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 3?	49	$453	558	558	+0	No	-$135	05-03 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 3?	53	$400	676	676	+0	Yes	-$21	05-03 16:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$359	349	349	+0	No	+$59	05-16 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?	5	$344	209	206	+3	Yes	+$41	04-25 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 29?	14	$325	761	761	+0	No	-$93	04-29 17:53
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	11	$302	681	0	+681	No	-$302	04-24 17:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$271	365	0	+365	Yes	+$94	07-02 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 30?	26	$264	500	121	+379	Yes	+$180	04-30 18:56
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 24c	2	$262	177	174	+4	Yes	+$66	04-24 19:08
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 50 51f	4	$258	252	248	+4	No	-$70	04-21 18:03
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$250	403	0	+403	Yes	+$153	07-06 06:49
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 13c	4	$245	172	169	+3	No	+$25	04-24 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 25?	5	$233	160	156	+4	Yes	+$67	04-25 13:10
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 70 71f	2	$216	150	148	+3	Yes	+$18	04-23 20:02
highest temperature in lucknow on april 23 2026 42c	16	$215	144	143	+2	Yes	+$22	04-23 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1?	18	$212	923	0	+923	No	-$212	05-01 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 3?	16	$208	871	331	+541	No	-$163	05-03 16:55
highest temperature in lucknow on april 24 2026 42c	4	$200	143	141	+2	Yes	+$2	04-24 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 10?	8	$183	102	102	+0	Yes	-$3	05-09 18:25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$180	310	0	+310	Yes	+$130	06-28 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 1?	7	$177	206	206	+0	Yes	-$3	05-01 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 26?	6	$171	136	131	+4	Yes	+$75	04-26 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 27?	2	$163	181	177	+4	Yes	-$31	04-27 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 21:29:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x79f5f3…
07-10 15:13:34	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x88245a…
07-08 08:21:41	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x890179…
07-06 06:49:26	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	403	62¢	$250	0x9d2335…
07-03 05:55:25	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x75068b…
07-03 05:53:01	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x20a448…
07-02 06:18:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	365	74¢	$271	0x9f0945…
07-02 05:18:47	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	172	6¢	$11	0x01d6a9…
07-01 12:10:14	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xddecf7…
07-01 12:08:38	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x91ad9b…
07-01 06:18:43	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x466ee5…
07-01 06:18:28	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8f5707…
07-01 06:18:17	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x04a0fb…
07-01 06:18:04	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2da0c3…
06-30 17:29:44	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4d53bf…
06-30 17:22:44	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0d9976…
06-30 06:05:16	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5bf0c2…
06-28 16:43:14	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xf89672…
06-28 16:41:04	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x2931eb…
06-28 16:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x7bdbd4…
06-28 16:32:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0xd3505b…
06-28 16:31:59	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0xcbd58c…
06-28 16:24:25	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x876845…
06-28 16:22:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x29c647…
06-28 16:10:01	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbebe16…
06-27 10:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa1e3d1…
06-27 10:09:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4bd84d…
06-27 10:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xca720e…
06-27 10:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x03eb5e…
06-27 09:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8229bd…
06-27 09:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4bfd56…
06-27 09:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x04b4fd…
06-27 09:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd674e9…
06-27 07:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x0d081a…
06-27 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb1599c…
06-27 07:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0fd655…
06-27 07:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x08b60f…
06-26 17:43:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xaaf28b…
06-26 17:15:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xc5f8fa…
06-26 17:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd73536…
06-26 17:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0xcdd581…
06-26 11:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa8d078…
06-26 11:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5056d8…
06-26 11:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x692430…
06-26 11:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x73fd27…
06-26 11:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x79d689…
06-26 11:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xae18bb…
06-26 11:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9ae044…
06-26 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x44a014…
06-26 09:09:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x197ae7…
06-26 09:03:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x08b6e9…
06-25 16:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb1ef5e…
06-25 16:35:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x604bb0…
06-25 16:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xf44e4f…
06-25 16:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x42a856…
06-25 16:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x86ce62…
06-25 16:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x5e0e65…
06-25 16:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbd2585…
06-25 16:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe147f9…
06-25 14:54:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdaebae…
06-25 12:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfec10d…
06-25 12:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8d81f8…
06-25 12:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x328d24…
06-25 12:12:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5b625c…
06-25 12:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x31f570…
06-25 12:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x057fcf…
06-25 12:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x55251e…
06-25 12:11:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x78b4d8…
06-25 12:11:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x56fffc…
06-25 07:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xe3644c…
06-25 07:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x4bfbc3…
06-25 07:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xa0fa92…
06-25 07:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x325b88…
06-25 07:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd7628e…
06-25 07:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xec81c4…
06-25 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xa4875a…
06-25 07:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe26567…
06-25 07:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	466	1¢	$4	0xdc349d…
06-25 07:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	589	1¢	$4	0xdb289d…
06-25 07:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	303	1¢	$2	0x24ad88…
06-25 07:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0xc20db2…
06-25 07:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x58e1d2…
06-25 07:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xa7fe17…
06-25 07:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x84ff66…
06-25 07:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7,557	0¢	$20	0x8eb405…
06-25 07:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x8ce1d4…
06-25 07:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf6c5c9…
06-25 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfbee90…
06-25 07:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xd30fc2…
06-25 07:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x358c6a…
06-25 06:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf3c422…
06-24 19:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0x7719de…
06-24 19:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xd1db47…
06-24 19:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb8fc4e…
06-24 19:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc26144…
06-24 19:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd702fd…
06-24 19:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1393df…
06-24 19:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x22b846…
06-24 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xa381c3…
06-24 16:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x103426…