Realized P&L
+$157
Unrealized P&L
-$461
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
245
Trades
504
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$258
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-03 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
46% 37% +$1,220
Crypto
36% 50% -$358
Tech
18% 57% -$656
Politics
0% 0% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +823 $300 18¢ $152 -$148 09-08 18:11
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,146 $300 3¢ $74 -$226 09-08 10:43
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +620 $30 4¢ $24 -$6 09-23 15:39
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? Yes +1,026 $89 1¢ $8 -$81 09-23 11:09