Realized P&L (90d)
+$302
Unrealized P&L
-$547
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved (90d)
41
Trades (90d)
148
504 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.27K
$13.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$172
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-03 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
46% 37% +$1,220
Crypto
36% 50% -$358
Tech
18% 57% -$656
Politics
0% 0% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +823 $300 10¢ $86 -$214 09-08 18:11
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,146 $300 3¢ $61 -$239 09-08 10:43
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +620 $30 4¢ $23 -$7 09-23 15:39
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? Yes +1,026 $89 0¢ $2 -$88 09-23 11:09